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Who won the gold medal for Most Accurate Poll?

Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:12 pm
Posted by tigerpawl
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
22628 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:12 pm
I haven't bothered to check. Any poll aficionados out there?
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
46672 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:13 pm to
Trafalgar

Had him winning PA, MI, FL, and NC
This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 7:14 pm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:14 pm to
I know it wasn't James Carville or Van Jones
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48124 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:14 pm to
Professor Helmut Norpoth.

Hillary won the popular vote. Norpoth predicted that Trump would win with an 88% probability for the last 9 months using his methodology.
Posted by themunch
bottom of the list
Member since Jan 2007
71326 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:14 pm to
PoliBoard.
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8131 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:16 pm to
quote:

I haven't bothered to check. Any poll aficionados out there?

I didn't think any poll got the national / EV mixture.
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9761 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:16 pm to
Kelly Ann
Posted by RobbBobb
Member since Feb 2007
33359 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:20 pm to
quote:

Trafalgar

And yet Nate Velcro rates them as a 'C' pollster. And people on here defend that guys BS, like hes some guru. Yet . . . .

He missed on Trump as nominee
Trump as Prez
Britain exiting
2014 midterms
And the Cubs winning
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
53500 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:27 pm to
I agree that it's the Trafalgar Group.
Posted by MastrShake
SoCal
Member since Nov 2008
7281 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:49 pm to
the USC/LA Times Daybreak poll

quote:

It was the only major public survey that consistently showed Donald Trump winning. As a result, it drew frequent and loud denunciations from many Democrats, especially as election day neared and passions rose.


they used a new system; instead of poling different people every time, they went back to the same group of 3,000 every time. they were the best in the last Presidential election as well.
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