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NC finished its absentee/early voting.

Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:40 am
Posted by purpleandgoldhaze
San Antonio
Member since Oct 2015
134 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:40 am
Dems hold a 256K lead over Pubs in votes by party affiliation. I can't imagine that was the firewall they were hoping for, given the dynamics of this race and the Dems emphasis on mail-in voting vs. Pub emphasis on voting in person. Of the Southern states, I would think NC is most vulnerable to breaking to Biden, and that seems less likely at this point. Anyone see it differently?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164608 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:41 am to
Quite a bit smaller than 2016

Now the question is what kind of reserves does Trump have for Election Day in NC.
Posted by Langland
Trumplandia
Member since Apr 2014
15382 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:42 am to
Holding my spot to find a post.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36473 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:42 am to
What’s the Dem v Rep ratio?
If it’s like La. there are considerably more Dems. Is it the same in NC?
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6027 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:42 am to
For comparison sake, D's led North Carolina in 2016 by 310,000 and lost by 3+ points.
This post was edited on 11/1/20 at 9:43 am
Posted by MFn GIMP
Member since Feb 2011
19497 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:43 am to
Not only that but the black share of the vote is at 19.4% in 2016 it was 20%. That's good news for Trump, he is also going to get a larger percentage of that 19% than he did of the 20.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
16498 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Dems hold a 256K lead over Pubs in votes by party affiliation.


This will be 2.56 million by the time they find all of the "lost ballots" and ballots stuffed in car trunks, etc.
Posted by DougsMugs
Georgia
Member since Aug 2019
8239 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:54 am to
How are all the mail-ins considered counted? Won't more come in up to election day or do they think almost all were returned shortly after mailing out?
Posted by jlovel7
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
21470 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 9:59 am to
How many North Carolina voters have been registered democrats since before the republicans party made its inroads in the south?
Posted by LSUTIGER in TEXAS
Member since Jan 2008
13613 posts
Posted on 11/1/20 at 11:19 am to
Add this:

Trump has historic in party approval. All those registered Rs are excited to vote trump.

There’s quite a few categories of Biden voters:
-OMB. reliable voters
-pro Biden. Reliable
-Bernie bros. Not reliable
-lifelong registered Dem, who has voted R for multiple cycles. Vote R
-lifelong Dems who have finally walked away. Vote R
-registered Dems who made bank during trump’s booming economy. Unreliable voters for joe
-the democrat who lives in a liberal echo chamber, and tell everyone they know they love Biden, but know in their hearts he’s a crook and want to MAGA, pull the level for trump, and never tell a soul. Hidden trump vote.
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