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For those that work for public companies

Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:16 pm
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24185 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:16 pm
Are you able to project how the market will react to earnings releases for your company? I’m on our blackout list but I honestly never know how the stock will respond even with “inside” information.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82056 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 3:30 pm to
Nope, never on earnings. Seems like I'm always surprised by the movement and when I get movement right, I'm still surprised by the magnitude.

quote:

but I honestly never know how the stock will respond even with
this however, I've been able to "predict" mainly because it's obvious...e.g: mergers, management changes and other big announcements.
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
620 posts
Posted on 10/31/20 at 5:30 pm to
No it never makes sense to me. Analysts talk to CFO during the quarter. Analysts also subscribe to different analytics services for the industry so they have a pulse of what’s going on. I find it most interesting how they sell the story on the calls versus knowing internal story.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50358 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Are you able to project how the market will react to earnings releases for your company?


When I did consulting, my public clients usually didn't move the needle on earnings much unless it was a big surprise announcement. The thing is management is always adjusting earnings targets, the last thing they want is for the street to be surprised.

Over the long haul, I definitely could have benefited from trading the stock. Insider trading is illegal for a reason, it works.
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