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re: What's the end game for hurricane tracking/projections?
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:53 am to TomSpanks
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:53 am to TomSpanks
Despite all the technology, weather prediction today, including hurricane forecasting, is no better than it was in the 1970s. Sometimes they’re spot on, other times they are as off as can be. Same then, same now.
2
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:59 am to 62Tigerfan
Whether or not we're better at predicting these things now vs 50 years ago or not (I honestly don't know if that's the case), I have to think we at least have a better idea of what can influence these storms, and certainly have more/better data points but maybe we just don't have the computing power to crunch all the data that changes constantly.
Posted on 10/7/20 at 9:36 am to 62Tigerfan
Hurricane Forecasting Accuracy
Well, that is incorrect. Forecasting has gotten better, but you can still see the error at even 48 hours is not approaching 20 miles very quickly. A chart at 7 days out would be considerably worse.
quote:
Despite all the technology, weather prediction today, including hurricane forecasting, is no better than it was in the 1970s. Sometimes they’re spot on, other times they are as off as can be. Same then, same now.
Well, that is incorrect. Forecasting has gotten better, but you can still see the error at even 48 hours is not approaching 20 miles very quickly. A chart at 7 days out would be considerably worse.
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