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re: It’s over. Biden has a 71% chance of winning

Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:05 am to
Posted by beastieboys
South Jordan, UT
Member since Jan 2008
2193 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:05 am to
Based on those maps it seems like everything comes down to Florida. Trump doesn't have a path without FL.
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
135767 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:06 am to
I saw this earlier and it made me laugh. They learned absolutely nothing from 2016.

Many people, especially now, are terrified to voice their support of Trump so they won't answer these polls truthfully.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
94012 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:10 am to
Have they polled the people that refuse to say who they’re voting for in fear of backlash?
Posted by Gatorbait2008
Member since Aug 2015
22953 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:20 am to
There is zero chance Biden has more support than Clinton at this time.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
102284 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Biden also enjoys more overall support than Clinton.


Are you fricking kidding?

Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:36 am to
quote:


It’s over. Biden has a 71% chance of winning


totally meaningless


Biden wins - see I am right!
Trump wins - well I did say he had a 3rd of a chance

This literally says nothing.


I did some calculations this AM and I believe Trump has a 56.23519% chance of winning.

Prove me wrong.
Posted by LSUSkip
Central, LA
Member since Jul 2012
18664 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:45 am to
you can't trust any polls because people don't even answer them truthfully anymore.

I say Biden because if it looks like Biden will win, maybe more people that weren't planning to vote feel the urgency to go vote if they are a Republican.
Posted by GurleyGirl
Georgia
Member since Nov 2015
13340 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 10:48 am to
Yea, Biden can't lose.
Posted by TigerAxeOK
Where I lay my head is home.
Member since Dec 2016
27578 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 11:20 am to
quote:

Clinton had only a small advantage in most surveys
97% chance of winning is only a "small advantage" now...

Posted by Lithium
Member since Dec 2004
62814 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 11:25 am to
Clemson had a 72 percent chance of winning the 2020 NCG. How'd that work out?
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
13305 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 12:02 pm to
Well Hillary had a 98% chance so this must mean a Trump landslide
Posted by More&Les
Member since Nov 2012
14684 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

In other words, there’s a genuine difference between Biden’s position now and Clinton’s four years ago.


Yes 4 years ago Trump was an unknown politically and Conservatives didn't know if they could trust him, plus TDS was as yet an undiagnosed phenomenon so would be Trump voters had know way to know that all the hate and vitriol coming from the press/left was simply a symptom of an apparently incurable disease.

Now we know.

MAGA(A)
Posted by N.O. via West-Cal
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2004
7298 posts
Posted on 8/12/20 at 2:07 pm to
I love that "snake chart" they included. I really gives a clear picture of which states are really in play, and even with their polling, it shows how few states would have to flip for Trump to win re-election.
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