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Allan Lichtman 2020 election prediction
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:03 pm
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:03 pm
Looks like he updates it over time but this is where he currently has things.
Keep in mind this is the same idiot who said this:
Professor Allan Lichtman, the man who has correctly predicted the last nine presidential elections, said President Trump is on track for another term unless Democrats do what is "politically right" and impeach him. In an interview with CNN's Brooke Baldwin on Wednesday, he said, "It's a false dichotomy to say Democrats have a choice between doing what is right and what is constitutional, and what is politically right. Impeachment is also politically right."
Right now, based on my system, there has to be six negative factors against the party holding the White House, the Trump party to predict their defeat. They're down only three. But an impeachment would nail down the scandal key, a fourth key, it might trigger other keys like a real challenge to his re-nomination or a third party, enough to defeat him.
And let's not forget, impeachment is not just a vote in the House. It involves public hearings, as part of the impeachment inquiry. And what everyone forgets, a public trial in the Senate in which House prosecutors present evidence, present documents, make opening and closing statements. Now Richard Nixon before the public revelations was at 67 percent approval. It was public revelations of his misdeeds that drove him down to 25 percent.
There’s one problem: there is no scandal
He added a fake point to his required 6 points
Keep in mind this is the same idiot who said this:
Professor Allan Lichtman, the man who has correctly predicted the last nine presidential elections, said President Trump is on track for another term unless Democrats do what is "politically right" and impeach him. In an interview with CNN's Brooke Baldwin on Wednesday, he said, "It's a false dichotomy to say Democrats have a choice between doing what is right and what is constitutional, and what is politically right. Impeachment is also politically right."
Right now, based on my system, there has to be six negative factors against the party holding the White House, the Trump party to predict their defeat. They're down only three. But an impeachment would nail down the scandal key, a fourth key, it might trigger other keys like a real challenge to his re-nomination or a third party, enough to defeat him.
And let's not forget, impeachment is not just a vote in the House. It involves public hearings, as part of the impeachment inquiry. And what everyone forgets, a public trial in the Senate in which House prosecutors present evidence, present documents, make opening and closing statements. Now Richard Nixon before the public revelations was at 67 percent approval. It was public revelations of his misdeeds that drove him down to 25 percent.
There’s one problem: there is no scandal
He added a fake point to his required 6 points
This post was edited on 6/17/20 at 5:00 pm
11
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:22 pm to FlexDawg
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/17/20 at 4:23 pm
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:28 pm to FlexDawg
Biden wins Florida? 
This post was edited on 6/17/20 at 4:29 pm
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:51 pm to FlexDawg
This guy is a fkg moron. ??
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:51 pm to Eli Goldfinger
With this map, If Trump wins Florida is a 269/269 split
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:55 pm to tigerfan84
Which still doesn’t favor Trump since Dems hold the House and likely have a majority of delegations in the most important states.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:56 pm to FlexDawg
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/23/21 at 11:28 am
Posted on 6/17/20 at 4:59 pm to Eli Goldfinger
And somehow wins MI while losing his home state of PA?
Posted on 6/17/20 at 5:03 pm to AUin02
quote:
And somehow wins MI while losing his home state of PA?
I wish people would stop with the Biden PA thing. No one in Pennsylvania considers him a Pennsylvanian, he’s lived in Delaware most of his life. The PA thing is a national media narrative that’s complete BS.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 5:32 pm to Free888
quote:
I wish people would stop with the Biden PA thing. No one in Pennsylvania considers him a Pennsylvanian, he’s lived in Delaware most of his life. The PA thing is a national media narrative that’s complete BS.
No, it's not. It's a Biden narrative.
When in Delaware and running for office, he'll claim the First State as his home.
But when he's running for national office (VP and Pres) and he's not literally standing in Delaware, it's Biden who starts with the "scrappy guy from Scranton" crap. He tries to attach himself to PA because it's: 1: up for grabs in national elections, and 2) got a lot of electoral votes. Delaware is a very small state that Biden will win easily.
Biden creates this PA connection, not the media.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 5:39 pm to DallasTiger
What did Lichtman’s graph look like in June 2016?
Posted on 6/17/20 at 5:41 pm to FlexDawg
He isn't going to be impeached, I honestly think Trump has the election in the bag.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 5:51 pm to StringedInstruments
quote:
What did Lichtman’s graph look like in June 2016?
I don’t know that he had one but he predicted a Trump win based on the 13 keys.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 6:01 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
Lichtman
All you need to know.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 6:02 pm to Tunasntigers92
quote:Uhh, he already was.
He isn't going to be impeached
Posted on 6/17/20 at 6:04 pm to FlexDawg
LOL at Missouri being Pink
Trump will win Missouri for fun. ONly libturds in KC and STL will vote Biden. Rest of state will be the Brightest red.
Trump will win Missouri for fun. ONly libturds in KC and STL will vote Biden. Rest of state will be the Brightest red.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 6:05 pm to FlexDawg
All of these models weigh economic performance heavily and usually that is a good sign of the incumbent's policies. Big difference this time was the economic downturn being forced by an unprecedented event that had nothing to do with Trump's economic policies.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 6:11 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
Impeachment is also politically right."
Impeach him for what exactly, Alan? Damn, this gets old.
I have some Jewish ancestry and I support Israel. Having said that, when it comes to politics Jews are some of the most dysfunctional people on the planet. Way too many "Bernie Sanders" types (Socialist/Marxist/Communist). And frankly, I truly believe there's a strong prejudice in the Jewish community against Christian whites. Something is just a little dicey there.
Posted on 6/17/20 at 6:22 pm to FlexDawg
Did he just wish cast Fla for Biden and think Trump loses MI & WI while Biden loses his home State? 
Is he telling on the States where the dems will try to cheat in?
Did he really act like a credible predictor and go on like a full blown TDSer about peach minty foety five?
Is he telling on the States where the dems will try to cheat in?
Did he really act like a credible predictor and go on like a full blown TDSer about peach minty foety five?
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