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re: Red Wave Coming? GOP Sweeps Election in Virginia Democratic Stronghold

Posted on 5/24/20 at 11:34 pm to
Posted by MattA
Member since Nov 2019
1610 posts
Posted on 5/24/20 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

In other words, they had no idea voters were actually paying attention and noting democratic insanity and heavy handiness.


Well just watch any mainstream news, talk shows, and tons of other social media. Every day you’re bombarded with how trash trump is, his supporters are racist, and 100 other things to try and push that story. A good chunk of trump supporters don’t GAF about that, but a good number do. So they do a number of things; don’t answer silly polls, lie about their support for trump to avoid flack, or just stay quiet altogether. But rest assured in November they are voting for him, and the pundits will play the “how could that have happened” card once again.
Posted by cadillacattack
the ATL
Member since May 2020
4472 posts
Posted on 5/25/20 at 8:09 am to
quote:

A good chunk of trump supporters don’t GAF about that, but a good number do. So they do a number of things; don’t answer silly polls, lie about their support for trump to avoid flack, or just stay quiet altogether. But rest assured in November they are voting for him, and the pundits will play the “how could that have happened” card once again.


So true. As I recall, there was only one major poll that correctly called the 2016 election correctly, ... the LA Times Poll.

How did they do it? Very simple. Among a series of questions, they began by asking Voters (both registered and a healthy sprinkling on unregistered) who they would vote for. This resulted in a significant number of "Undecided" responses.

Later in the same interview, respondents were asked "who do you think your neighbor will vote for?" ... THAT was the key question that other polls didn't care to ask. .... and those answers indicated a heavy lean towards Trump.

Seems people were comfortable admitting their neighbor would vote Trump, while secretly sheltering their own viewpoint in the election.
This post was edited on 5/25/20 at 8:10 am
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