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re: There’s no way we have as many deaths as being reported

Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:20 pm to
Posted by Steadmans Cheddar
Member since Dec 2019
1347 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:20 pm to
SlowFlow, where in the article you cited does it actually speak about fewer people suffering from heart attacks and strokes?

Certainly, the author describes lower incidence of people showing up to ERs with these problems, but I couldn’t find a single sentence that says people are actually suffering fewer heart attacks or strokes. Can you point me in the right direction, or did you just find an article with a catchy headline?
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
30546 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:22 pm to
I may have just missed it, but I've mostly seen people citing various projections for CV-19 when comparing the two, as opposed to current CV stats vs a "season's worth" for flu. Whether that's a fool's errand or not, merely comparing only for the sake of comparing, I won't speculate....BUT throw in the contrast between the two comparables (the contrast being the factor of severe actions against the economy in the case of CV-19), IMO the exercise of comparing/contrasting the two becomes quite a bit more justified.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28746 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:29 pm to
quote:

did you just find an article with a catchy headline?
This, and he thought it was extra cute because it was the NYTimes.

If a damned dirty liberal tried to pass off a bullshite fluff piece like that as a source they would get roasted and downvoted to hell.
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:31 pm to
I'd be curious if he stands by that piece as evidence.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
75163 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:32 pm to
quote:

More deaths caused by COVID


Posted by LSU2a
SWLA to Dallas
Member since Aug 2012
2853 posts
Posted on 4/9/20 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

I guess the whole world is in on it

Global Deaths - 95,678, nCFR 6%

US Deaths - 16,684, nCFR 3.6%


It's telling that such an upvoted thread can be destroyed so easily.
Posted by GeauxFightingTigers1
Member since Oct 2016
12574 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 6:11 am to
LINK /

quote:

Of the coronavirus-related deaths, 3,155 patients suffered from underlying conditions, while 76 of those deaths did not have an underlying condition. It is currently being determined if the 1,126 remaining patients had an underlying condition.


Okay, so the question is, how many total deaths (not just corona but all deaths) has NYC had in the last 30 days as their first death was reported around March 14th?

About 8.4m people live in NYC, so on any given day well over a 100 people die based on a death rate of 575 per 100,000 population which was the rate in 2016.

Census data for NYC
LINK

Death rate for 2016 in NYC
LINK

So, what is the total death count for NYC for the last 30 days for all deaths? If only 5,000-7,000 total people died this would not even be anything that would be noticeable as on average NYC has 4,000+ deaths per month.

Also, the observation of people dying at home makes sense, our hospital here is more or less closed except for emergency services, but the ambulances we hear basically every other day now... before we would be lucky to hear/see ambulances go by once a month, we're very rural and I can see the highway they use. (not proof but I suspect this might be somewhat truth)
This post was edited on 4/10/20 at 6:18 am
Posted by BHS78
Member since May 2017
2160 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:33 am to
Bullsh**, heart attack cases are down over 40%
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111802 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:34 am to
No they’re not.
Posted by DaGarun
Smashville
Member since Nov 2007
26191 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:50 am to
quote:

So, what is the total death count for NYC for the last 30 days for all deaths? If only 5,000-7,000 total people died this would not even be anything that would be noticeable as on average NYC has 4,000+ deaths per month.


This is the beginnings of what I'm waiting to see. Hospitals have a key performance indicator that measures observed to expected mortality in all sorts of disease groups. Generally speaking, if the ratio is under 1 you are doing better than expected given historical data or your peer groups, over 1 you are doing worse.

I'm thinking it won't be long before we see some official O/E stats coming out of major systems, then we might be able to put to rest the co-morbidity question (and I suspect it would reduce the number attributed to COVID)
Posted by LSUfanGuy13
Member since Mar 2017
432 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:57 am to
quote:

Very well orchestrated from liberals and the liberal media

Would have seen millions of healthy dropping dead in the middle of the streets if this was anything but a major hoax


You people are disgusting.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111802 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 7:58 am to
I don’t think that’s going to happen. Hospitals aren’t seeking patients to turn into Covid patients. I don’t know why that’s become a narrative.
Posted by GeauxFightingTigers1
Member since Oct 2016
12574 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:05 am to
Interesting enough, same or similar results in Sweden as they had in Italy.

Very high age of deaths, I don't have exact numbers (see ranges) but rough guess is average age is near or around 80 - basically in line with life expectancy in Sweden.

My guess, if the virus does exist that the death rate will be significantly below the flu, and on the other end... there is no virus.

LINK /
Posted by GeauxFightingTigers1
Member since Oct 2016
12574 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:15 am to
LINK /
I would imagine the average age of someone being categorized as dying from the beer disease in Spain as well into their 80s, maybe even mid-80s. (no exact data)

LINK

Spain does have a rather high life expectancy as well.

Old people are dying of old age, sick people are dying because they're sick.

Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111802 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:51 am to
quote:

. there is no virus.


Your posts over the past couple of weeks have devolved into insanity.
Posted by GeauxFightingTigers1
Member since Oct 2016
12574 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Your posts over the past couple of weeks have devolved into insanity.


Not at all. I've been right from the beginning flu+ on the top end, my guess is much less than the flu now... and maybe non-existent.


This post was edited on 4/10/20 at 8:57 am
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56712 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 9:43 am to
quote:

"It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it"

I guess, but I dont think most of the positions here are because of loss of income. I think people are more invested in gotcha games
Posted by DaGarun
Smashville
Member since Nov 2007
26191 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 9:54 am to
quote:

I don’t think that’s going to happen. Hospitals aren’t seeking patients to turn into Covid patients. I don’t know why that’s become a narrative.


I'm not saying that they are. Just that if the O/E for their overall pop relative to their normal is >1 I think you could attribute the additional deaths to COVID.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111802 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Not at all.


You have multiple posts where you question whether there is a virus at all. That’s insanity. I’m not asking you to recognize it.
Posted by frogglet
Member since Jul 2018
1161 posts
Posted on 4/10/20 at 10:31 am to
quote:

Jesus. That’s ugly.


Just to get a sense of what they are going through right now, I saw this story about NY having to make much more use out of a mass burial site for unclaimed bodies.

LINK

Apparently they are going from burying about 25 per week there to 25 per day so far.
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