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re: A little statistical reality for all you corona Nazis
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:07 pm to League Champs
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:07 pm to League Champs
(no message)
This post was edited on 2/2/21 at 7:05 am
2
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:10 pm to Lakeboy7
Daddy Trump told me this is serious though. Are you trying to say that he is a corona Nazi?
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 7:10 pm
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:12 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
Well this isn’t true.
It certainly is true. And they've been caught doing it.
Conn. gov lies about infant death
JBE lies about 17 year old's death
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:13 pm to the808bass
quote:
Unfortunately, the number of deaths is going to rise pretty significantly over the next 10-14 days. We’re probably looking at 3,000 deaths per day in around 10 days.
That’s also a statistical reality.
I just don't believe those numbers at all. Sorry.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:14 pm to League Champs
~7,700 Americans on average die every day
This virus has killed a mere 1 days worth of average deaths thus far.
This virus has killed a mere 1 days worth of average deaths thus far.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:18 pm to PEPE
quote:
This virus has killed a mere 1 days worth of average deaths thus far.
Get prepared for lock downs over gun deaths, automobile deaths, and wait for it … climate deaths.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:20 pm to Lakeboy7
quote:
Does that happen often?
What the hell are you talking about? Are you experiencing a fever, shortness of breath? I'm starting to get concerned.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:22 pm to Mizz-SEC
quote:
My wife's cousin died in her sleep (not attributed to COVID) then 10 days later her boyfriend was hospitalized with a confirmed case.
Sorry to hear that.
Just curious -- did she have any pre-existing conditions -- respiratory ailments of any sort?
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:24 pm to the808bass
Fake news
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:26 pm to the808bass
3,000 deaths per day?
That would be astronomical.
That would mean, what's the point of even staying away from work?
"They're going to get us no matter what we do, so we might as well have a good time."
That would be astronomical.
That would mean, what's the point of even staying away from work?
"They're going to get us no matter what we do, so we might as well have a good time."
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:32 pm to League Champs
quote:And last Sunday it was 0.82 deaths per county, 2 Sundays ago it was 0.13 deaths per county, 3 Sundays ago it was 0.02 deaths per county, 4 Sundays ago it was 0.007 deaths per county.
That translates to 3 deaths per county. 3.01 to be precise.
If the increase in deaths maintained the same rate as the previous 4 weeks (24.25% daily; and Sunday’s figures aren’t final) over the next 4 weeks, we would be looking at 1338.1 deaths per county. And even if we managed to half that growth (12.1% daily) we would be looking at 73.5 deaths per county.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:34 pm to buckeye_vol
So you just statistically admitted the Stay at Home orders aren't that effective? That was the point of my OP. Thanks!
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:39 pm to Tiger Khan
quote:
Just curious -- did she have any pre-existing conditions -- respiratory ailments of any sort?
Not that I know of my wife and her weren't super close.
She was a smoker however.
The truly scary part is the sister of the deceased spent an afternoon with the boyfriend going through her sister's things and she subsequently may have exposed her husband, all of her kids and most of her grandkids.
The possible contagion rates you hear among those in close contact is what makes it scary.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:40 pm to League Champs
You miss my point
No one in the medical community has manufactured or even exaggeratedthis pandemic. It’s a real problem.
There’s no need to question every single utterance from public health officials.
No one in the medical community has manufactured or even exaggeratedthis pandemic. It’s a real problem.
There’s no need to question every single utterance from public health officials.
This post was edited on 4/5/20 at 7:45 pm
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:47 pm to mizzoubuckeyeiowa
quote:
3,000 deaths per day?
quote:Over the last 4 weeks, deaths have grown by about 25% daily. Using yesterday’s totals (1330 deaths), we could increase by about half that to get to 3,000 in 7 days.
That would be astronomical.
And a per capita basis, 3,000 would be well below the equivalent of deaths (if they had our population) of the peak deaths of the countries ahead of us Spain on the curve (6,803 death equivalent), (Italy 5,031 death equivalent), as well as countries around us (France; 5,680 death equivalent) and even behind us (UK; 3,452 death equivalent) on the curve.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:53 pm to League Champs
quote:No. Eventually, we’ll be able to determine how effective they were; however, I was was actually showing the opposite.
So you just statistically admitted the Stay at Home orders aren't that effective?
If the rate continued, we would be looking at millions dead, but if we can slow it down, and given the nature of exponential growth, 50% of the the daily growth rate results in a 5.6% of the total deaths in 28 days.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:54 pm to League Champs
2017/18 influenza deaths had 50,000+ American deaths by this time in the flu season.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:56 pm to League Champs
While the CFR is going to come out extremely low on this Covid-19 Pandemic if it doesn’t mutate to something worse. It’s now jumping to animals again which is extremely concerning. The overall idea of the shutdown was never the death rate. It was solely due to overwhelming the healthcare system. Period! That would cause extreme amounts of unnecessary death. Basically people wouldn’t be dying of the virus per say they would be dying from the lack of any reasonable healthcare.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:57 pm to League Champs
I’m not saying it isn’t overhyped some but looking at results AFTER sweeping efforts to mitigate disaster have been implemented seems to be disingenuous.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:58 pm to buckeye_vol
No, you clearly demonstrated that during a 21-day lock down, the numbers became exponentially larger as the lock down continued. If its not slowing the spread, and not overwhelming anything, why continue the deception?
And let's not pretend that the numbers you are citing haven't been padded, to even get to where you are claiming. I didn't even cite the huge numbers of hospice patients that died and then tested positive. They were in hospice because of a previous determination that they were days away from death. But they still counted as corona victims.
And let's not pretend that the numbers you are citing haven't been padded, to even get to where you are claiming. I didn't even cite the huge numbers of hospice patients that died and then tested positive. They were in hospice because of a previous determination that they were days away from death. But they still counted as corona victims.
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