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re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22

Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:26 pm to
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7366 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 7:26 pm to
Bumped and updated the OP. This will be a fun week. The model predicted the outcomes last week. Let’s get some wins and pull off an upset soon.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
17976 posts
Posted on 2/10/20 at 10:01 pm to
I am going to guess that our odds improved on 538 (without us playing a game) because Nurkic had a setback in his recovery, and he is likely going to be out even longer than previously expected.

One of the good things about 538 is that they make educated guesses about when players will return from injury, and then they run their computer simulations from that data.

Their simulation gives us a 75% chance of winning tomorrow night, which I think is too high.
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