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Message
re: a VERY optimistic wins projection
Posted on 8/21/19 at 7:27 am to cgrand
Posted on 8/21/19 at 7:27 am to cgrand
so.......
last place in the west, Kings
Thunder winning 44 games
Clippers barely being above .500, same with Warriors
Blazers and Spurs having a losing season
The Grizzlies winning as many as the Nets, who somehow will be worse this year than last.
When your projections come out like this, maybe start looking into what makes up the projections and start making some adjustments.
last place in the west, Kings
Thunder winning 44 games
Clippers barely being above .500, same with Warriors
Blazers and Spurs having a losing season
The Grizzlies winning as many as the Nets, who somehow will be worse this year than last.
When your projections come out like this, maybe start looking into what makes up the projections and start making some adjustments.
1
Posted on 8/21/19 at 8:02 am to TeddyPadillac
those projections are based on statistical modeling
the inputs take into account player impacts (PIPM), estimated minutes, strength of schedule
they differ dramatically from Vegas odds (subjective) but that’s where you find value, by using objective measurements to compare. just another tool, as nobody can see the future.
I’m just happy that the league appears to be more wide open this year for a change with a broad range of possible outcomes
the inputs take into account player impacts (PIPM), estimated minutes, strength of schedule
they differ dramatically from Vegas odds (subjective) but that’s where you find value, by using objective measurements to compare. just another tool, as nobody can see the future.
I’m just happy that the league appears to be more wide open this year for a change with a broad range of possible outcomes
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