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I'll update 90proof's thread for him: gdp estimate up to 3.3% for 4th quarter 2017

Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:32 pm
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73207 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:32 pm
quote:

Latest forecast: 3.3 percent — January 12, 2018

The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2017 is 3.3 percent on January 12, up from 2.8 percent on January 10. The forecast of fourth-quarter real consumer spending growth increased from 3.0 percent to 3.8 percent after this morning's retail sales report from the U.S. Census Bureau and this morning's Consumer Price Index release from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.


LINK
Posted by truthbetold
Member since Aug 2008
7637 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:33 pm to
Really good for a 4Q.

Buy, folks. BUY BUY BUY.
Posted by Azkiger
Member since Nov 2016
27004 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:35 pm to
Not tired of winning yet!
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42193 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:35 pm to
That 90proof guy literally hates anyone talking positive about the economy. Haven’t seen anything like it.
Posted by Jyrdis
TD Premium Member Level III
Member since Aug 2015
13429 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:35 pm to
I don't understand why y'all update forecasts. Why not wait until the actual numbers are released?
Posted by CptBengal
BR Baby
Member since Dec 2007
71661 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

That 90proof guy literally hates anyone talking positive about the economy. Haven’t seen anything like it.



he was one of the ones CONVINCED if Trump won the economy would crash....

Posted by truthbetold
Member since Aug 2008
7637 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

I don't understand why y'all update forecasts. Why not wait until the actual numbers are released?



In terms of the market, the forecasts are just as material as the actual number. Its priced in. Efficient market, and all.
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:38 pm to
I was told that TRUMP could never get the economy to grow over 3%
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

That 90proof guy literally hates anyone talking positive about the economy. Haven’t seen anything like it.
Or maybe he’s an economist that doesn’t views it more objectively instead of based on who is in power. I mean every time a GDP QUARTERLY estimate comes out above 3%, numerous posters will say, “we haven’t had 3% growth in a decade.
Posted by Jyrdis
TD Premium Member Level III
Member since Aug 2015
13429 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:44 pm to


There is a large body of economic literature very critical of the efficient market hypothesis.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 2:45 pm to
We have not had a year of 3% economic growth in a decade
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

We have not had a year of 3% economic growth in a decade
Are you intentionally trying to prove my point? I even capitalized it but maybe bolding it will help.
quote:

Or maybe he’s an economist that doesn’t views it more objectively instead of based on who is in power. I mean every time a GDP QUARTERLY estimate comes out above 3%, numerous posters will say, “we haven’t had 3% growth in a decade.
This post was edited on 1/12/18 at 3:18 pm
Posted by DarthRebel
Tier Five is Alive
Member since Feb 2013
24989 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

We have not had a year of 3% economic growth in a decade



We have not had an Alpha Male as President in over a decade, well until





Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10606 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 3:24 pm to
He's just a text book economist, and probably correct.

The interesting thing would be to go back and look at the tax policy debate. There we will find out the uneducated pig farmer from Iowa had pretty good instincts, and might not have been as stupid as the LSU Graduate School of Banking experts thought.
This post was edited on 1/12/18 at 3:25 pm
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
154713 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

Or maybe he’s an economist that doesn’t views it more objectively


Wut?

Or maybe he's just angry. Economists seem eerily like actuaries.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10606 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 3:33 pm to
Actuarial data is much more accurate generally. Free market forces guaranty this.
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
154713 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 4:02 pm to
I was just talking about the anger level of actuaries. They are some strange and sometimes angry folks. Staring at numbers all day could do that I guess.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 1/12/18 at 4:17 pm to
I was stating a fact. We have not had a 3% year in a decade.

What about what I said is incorrect?
Posted by 90proofprofessional
Member since Mar 2004
24445 posts
Posted on 2/1/18 at 3:12 pm to
oh hey guys, was just wondering how this turned out
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