re: Where does the New Orleans Saints' defensive turnaround rank in terms of being unexpected?

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unexpected for sure but in the NFL teams can get good or bad at the drop of a hat so not off the charts unexpected.

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Yep. If a young player steps up and you avoid the injury bug that’s a great first step. The Saints endured a possibly unprecedented rash of injuries to their secondary last year which makes this turnaround seem even more drastic.

I always chuckle in prediction threads when people act like they know what they are talking about and unwittingly base their predictions on last year. Last year is last year.