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re: I'm actually more confident after last night

Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:31 am to
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
59752 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:31 am to
quote:

I like our odds boys.


Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time.
Posted by ibleedprplngld
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4387 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:33 am to
quote:

Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time.


Sure, winner of the championship series also don't come out of the losers brackets.



STFU
Posted by TigerDat
Member since Aug 2010
7768 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:33 am to
quote:

Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time



Osu only lost 4 all year and never back to back.
Posted by canyon
MM23
Member since Dec 2003
19122 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:36 am to
71% actually.
But then you knew that after the 1,274 times they said it last night.
Posted by Sir Fury
Member since Jan 2015
4673 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:40 am to
quote:

Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time.



No one in the history of the CWS has hit multiple HRs in one game, with at least one coming from either side of the plate.

Screw statistics.
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
24732 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:43 am to
quote:

Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time.


Yeah, and 57% of game 1 winners that lose game 2 also lose game 3.

(Based off my memory of the stat line on the broadcast concerning game 1 winners: 7 have swept in two, 4 have lost in three, and 3 have won in three.)
This post was edited on 6/27/17 at 11:58 am
Posted by Box Geauxrilla
Member since Jun 2013
19132 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:48 am to
quote:


Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time.


100% of LSU teams who make it to the finals go on to win the CWS.

100% of Florida teams who make it to the finals go on to lose the CWS.
This post was edited on 6/27/17 at 11:49 am
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
60186 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:53 am to
quote:

Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time.


Is that because it's such a huge advantage to win game 1 or simply because the better team usually wins? Like if somebody said the home team wins more NFL playoff games is that because of home field advantage or just because they were the better team and that's why they had home field in the first place.

My point is that with the way the pitching was set up, though they won, I'm not sure Florida proved to be the better team(they may well be). What's the % of teams that win the 2nd game winning the series? I think tonight's winner will win the championship. Obviously, much more pressure on us, though.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20945 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 11:54 am to
quote:

quote:
I like our odds boys.


Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time.

Read that, like, a million times.

Out of curiosity, what's the percentage for Game 2 winners? I would think THAT'S the key game... it's either a sweep (figures in the game 1 winners), or it's a momentum shift.

Would like to see a breakdown: how many teams who won game 1, won in game 3; how many swept; how many teams took 2 & 3.

My uneducated guess is that the sweeps and the 2-3 winners are the two highest.
Posted by DirtyMike
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Aug 2014
1175 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time


I am not sure what the pitching situation was in those other series but tonight and Wednesday (if we make it there) heavily favors LSU.
Posted by TigerAlum93
Member since Sep 2010
3044 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:09 pm to
True, but it is also about match-ups, and one has to like Poche and Lange over the remaining Florida pitchers.
Posted by Godfather1
What WAS St George, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
82344 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Game 1 winners wind up winning the series over 70% of the time.


And Game 1 losers win the series 30% of the time.

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