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Tropical Storm Cindy

Posted on 6/10/17 at 12:01 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 6/10/17 at 12:01 pm



Models can be found at Tropical Tidbits.
This post was edited on 6/22/17 at 10:52 pm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
63013 posts
Posted on 6/10/17 at 12:05 pm to
Is this our annual hurricane season long thread?

rds dc > Weather channel goofs
Posted by jamboybarry
Member since Feb 2011
32694 posts
Posted on 6/10/17 at 12:08 pm to
My body is

[ready]

not ready
Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
8008 posts
Posted on 6/10/17 at 12:13 pm to
In!!!
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
38262 posts
Posted on 6/10/17 at 12:18 pm to
What's the outlook for Punta Cana?
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 6/10/17 at 12:19 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 10:53 pm
Posted by Flashback
reading the chicken bones
Member since Apr 2008
8354 posts
Posted on 6/10/17 at 12:47 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 6/10/17 at 2:31 pm to
12z model runs from today:

Euro @ D10:



GFS farther out:



New Version of GFS:



All of these are very low confidence solutions. I'll explain later why this storm probably won't happen.
Posted by fatboydave
Fat boy land
Member since Aug 2004
17979 posts
Posted on 6/11/17 at 11:31 am to
Is it beenie weenie time already?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 6/14/17 at 9:23 pm to
NHC is monitoring two areas and giving the one over the Yucatan 30%:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jun 14 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave is
located well south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slight
development of this system is possible during the next few days
while the wave moves westward near 20 mph over the tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. A complex area of low pressure is expected to form over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Yucatan peninsula by the
weekend. Conditions appear to be favorable for some gradual
development of this system while it moves slowly northwestward
toward the southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
66226 posts
Posted on 6/14/17 at 9:26 pm to
In Page One:



The Weatherman assures us that someplace will get screwed this season.
Posted by Dick Leverage
In The HizHouse
Member since Nov 2013
9000 posts
Posted on 6/14/17 at 10:43 pm to
This is where science goes off the rails with predictions. There is just no way that they can guarantee that the red areas will be hit by hurricanes this year. I think I'll just wait and see what really happens. They are going to be so embarrassed if they don't get hit.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 6/15/17 at 8:37 pm to
As a climate whore, I'll be paying attention.
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 6/15/17 at 8:40 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 6/29/17 at 1:56 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 7:12 am to
NHC up to 60%

quote:

2. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan peninsula during the next day or two. Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development of this system while it moves slowly northwestward into the southern Gulf of Mexico early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.


Overnight models,

GFS Para:



Euro:



Take your pick
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 8:08 am to
Unrelated to the potential Gulf system, 92L has been activated in the Atlantic:

Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 6/17/17 at 7:51 am to
Hurricane Gods:

Throw a baw a bone.

I'm getting married Saturday the 24th in BR. Should I be worried.

Thanks, genuflects, bows and scrapes in advance.

ETA: worried about weather!
This post was edited on 6/17/17 at 7:58 am
Posted by Fatty Magoo
USA
Member since Nov 2015
1025 posts
Posted on 6/17/17 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

rds dc


Do you post anywhere else, other than TD? I come here for laughs and to threaten to fight people at sonic. I need to mentally segregate actual serious news from all the knuckle checks.

If you post on Reddit or twitter or your own blog somewhere, can you let us know?

Thanks for all this info... you've always been extremely helpful!
Posted by ellishughtiger
70118
Member since Jul 2004
21135 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:34 am to
Hopefully it takes down those awful confederate statues in New Orleans.
Posted by Athis
Member since Aug 2016
11885 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 12:35 pm to
I am sure in next few days they will it going right up the wazoo of New Orleans.
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