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re: Oracle of Dilbert: Trump is leading as a CEO, not a politician

Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:19 pm to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

Persuading people that Trump is an effective leader and understands what other successful leaders employ to be successful is a negative.
No, but revealing the psychological manipulations of irrationality can't do him any favors.

If I told you I'm trying to trick you into thinking the product is more valuable than it truly is, are you going to then pay more for it?
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45380 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:23 pm to
If I thought that aspect was a characteristic of a quality leader I'd hire you to sell them for me
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64685 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:24 pm to
Geez its not a WWII secret.
Trump is trying to get a good start.
Get some early victories.
Get some confidence back into the American people and business.
Get on a roll and keep getting people on board.
I don't get all your counter arguments.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

If I thought that aspect was a characteristic of a quality leader I'd hire you to sell them for me
But would you tell the buyers that he's manipulating their irrationality? The value of the manipulation is in the asymmetrical insight into the irrationality of the manipulator. Revealing that to the manipulatee decreases the value and effectiveness.

Of course, this also assumes that Adams isn't actually making hackish arguments; since it's a hack argument, as usual, then it really doesn't matter.
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45380 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:30 pm to
I would tell my stockholders
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

Geez its not a WWII secret.
Trump is trying to get a good start.
Get some early victories
And that's logical. Adams is trying to make it sound more complex by misrepresenting psychology.

That's what bothers me; he either doesn't understand or is misrepresenting basic psychological concepts.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64685 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:32 pm to
Not my field can't help you.

He writes funny comics though.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119554 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

stock market that dropped precipitously upon hearing Trump won, t


The "stock market" didn't drop. DJIA futures dropped.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

The "stock market" didn't drop. DJIA futures dropped.
Good point. They decided to make a risky investment based on an overreaction. Not quite the "first impression."
Posted by Dick Leverage
In The HizHouse
Member since Nov 2013
9000 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 1:46 pm to
You have never been wrong. Ever.

Trump would not win the primary

Trump would not win the GE


You are always right and everyone should heed your opinions.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Trump would not win the primary
I never said this; I don't think I even argued that he was an underdog in the primaries.
quote:

Trump would not win the GE
I never said he "wouldn't" win. I said many times that the odds weren't in its favor, but I never said he wouldn't win.
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
63559 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 2:15 pm to
You act like an editorial is pulling back the curtain for the majority of people. We saw how big a piece of shite Hillary is and that didn't stop 60 million from voting for her.

We talk about responses based on perception all the time. If simply discussing them opened people's eyes, this world would be very different. Neither Trump nor Hillary would be president, for one.
Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32966 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 2:16 pm to
I wish I could bump all of the threads shitting on the Based Dilbert Merchant.
Posted by AUin02
Member since Jan 2012
4283 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 2:17 pm to
Change is where money is made in the stock market. Predictable volatility like this election is big, easy money for a lot of people playing the market.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

I wish I could bump all of the threads shitting on the Based Dilbert Merchant.
He still made terrible arguments. I mean Hillary was a terrible candidate so it wasn't like he had tough competition, and that was without wikieaks and the Comey bombshell.

Therefore a "master persuader" should have absolutely dominated her in the EC and popular vote.
This post was edited on 12/1/16 at 2:25 pm
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
63559 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

Therefore a "master persuader" should have absolutely dominated her in the EC and popular vote.



Now that's a terrible argument.

And he did dominate her in the EV. Congrats to Hillary for that GOTV effort in fricking NYC and LA, though. Really padded her stats with those.
This post was edited on 12/1/16 at 2:29 pm
Posted by MrCarton
Paradise Valley, MT
Member since Dec 2009
20231 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

stock market will be smarter.




good. ferckin. lerd.
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8126 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

I don't understand this point. The market initially wanted Hillary for "stability" because they knew what she was about. Once the market actually looked at Trump's policies and how they would be, according to many, pro-growth, they rallied behind that.

Doubtful.

People speculated on a Hillary win, and they bet on equities that would benefit from a Hillary win. When that looked unlikely, they spun their "Hillary" assets to entered "Trump" positions.

The market had a sell-off overnight, then bought potential "Trump" wins all day Wednesday.

This is Wall Street / money people; they don't care about feelings, they only care about math.
This post was edited on 12/1/16 at 3:09 pm
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 12/1/16 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

And he did dominate her in the EV.
There have been 56 presidential elections. 44 of the winners (78.5%) had a greater proportion of the EV than Trump. Even if you only include the 14 elections that had 538 EV (since 1964), Trump had a smaller margin than 9 (64%) of those.

That doesn't seem like a domination, especially since Hillary had one of the worst favorability ratings.

Quite the master persuader to beat a terrible candidate by one of the closer EV margins, while losing by 2.5 million (1.8%) votes.
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