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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:12 pm to
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
97506 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:12 pm to
Will this affect LSU's opener in Green Bay?
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
145277 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

Will this affect my Punta Cana Trip?


ARe you going there? I went in late July early Aug.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:17 pm to
quote:


Also, 12z HWRF came in with what might end up being a more realistic upper level setup and doesn't blow the system up. It gave up on having a giant anitcyclone over the top and has a more sheared system. Model flip flopping in full force


pretty much the story with this system so far... hardly any run-to-run consistency with any of the models.
Posted by CapperVin
Member since Apr 2013
10615 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:17 pm to
Does this have the potential to ruin Labor Day Weekend? Canceled vacation in Florida and won't be able to watch LSU game because won't have power. Please tell me this won't happen
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20302 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:17 pm to
12z Euro is a little stronger and SW through D3.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

pretty much the story with this system so far... hardly any run-to-run consistency with any of the models.


except of course for the ECMWF.. just got a look at the 12z... it's got a fully formed system coming into Florida for the third straight run.
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6358 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Will this affect my Punta Cana Trip?


So many Punta Cana trips ruined by potential hurricanes.
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6358 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

Does this have the potential to ruin Labor Day Weekend?


If one of the initial model runs holds true, then yes. This far out, you have better odds of sleeping with an OT9.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20302 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:24 pm to
quote:


except of course for the ECMWF.. just got a look at the 12z... it's got a fully formed system coming into Florida for the third straight run.


This is getting into the Euros wheelhouse. Has the system coming together by D3. The complexity of the setup might be too much for the other models to resolve.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
103380 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

Also Peej said we have nothing to worry about with this one in the other thread.


well...shite
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:27 pm to
quote:



This is getting into the Euros wheelhouse. Has the system coming together by D3. The complexity of the setup might be too much for the other models to resolve.


yep. if any other model was the outlier with three straight consistent hits.. I wouldn't be so concerned. With it being the Euro, it feels like as sure a bet as it can be that it's going to be the one to break the gulf drought.
Posted by TaderSalad
mudbug territory
Member since Jul 2014
24905 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:30 pm to
#HLM
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
87780 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

Also Peej said we have nothing to worry about with this one in the other thread.

Take that as you will...



Stolen from the other thread. Credit to ForeverLSU.



dukkeV with the bold prediction.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20302 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:31 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20302 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:38 pm to
12z Euro has a strengthening system moving westward in the Gulf under the ridge nearing a week from now.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:40 pm to
I'm getting a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach watching it come in. Buckle up guys, this thread is going to be a ride.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41600 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:41 pm to
12z euro


Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20302 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:42 pm to
quote:


I'm getting a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach watching it come in.


Yep...
Posted by USEyourCURDS
Member since Apr 2016
12353 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:42 pm to
frick.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41600 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:42 pm to
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