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Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:14 pm to bamarep
quote:
Will this affect my Punta Cana Trip?
ARe you going there? I went in late July early Aug.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:17 pm to rds dc
quote:pretty much the story with this system so far... hardly any run-to-run consistency with any of the models.
Also, 12z HWRF came in with what might end up being a more realistic upper level setup and doesn't blow the system up. It gave up on having a giant anitcyclone over the top and has a more sheared system. Model flip flopping in full force
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:17 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Does this have the potential to ruin Labor Day Weekend? Canceled vacation in Florida and won't be able to watch LSU game because won't have power. Please tell me this won't happen
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:17 pm to roadGator
12z Euro is a little stronger and SW through D3.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:21 pm to baytiger
quote:
pretty much the story with this system so far... hardly any run-to-run consistency with any of the models.
except of course for the ECMWF.. just got a look at the 12z... it's got a fully formed system coming into Florida for the third straight run.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:21 pm to bamarep
quote:
Will this affect my Punta Cana Trip?
So many Punta Cana trips ruined by potential hurricanes.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:23 pm to CapperVin
quote:
Does this have the potential to ruin Labor Day Weekend?
If one of the initial model runs holds true, then yes. This far out, you have better odds of sleeping with an OT9.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:24 pm to baytiger
quote:
except of course for the ECMWF.. just got a look at the 12z... it's got a fully formed system coming into Florida for the third straight run.
This is getting into the Euros wheelhouse. Has the system coming together by D3. The complexity of the setup might be too much for the other models to resolve.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:25 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Also Peej said we have nothing to worry about with this one in the other thread.
well...shite
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:27 pm to rds dc
quote:
This is getting into the Euros wheelhouse. Has the system coming together by D3. The complexity of the setup might be too much for the other models to resolve.
yep. if any other model was the outlier with three straight consistent hits.. I wouldn't be so concerned. With it being the Euro, it feels like as sure a bet as it can be that it's going to be the one to break the gulf drought.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:31 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Also Peej said we have nothing to worry about with this one in the other thread.
Take that as you will...
Stolen from the other thread. Credit to ForeverLSU.
dukkeV with the bold prediction.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:38 pm to rds dc
12z Euro has a strengthening system moving westward in the Gulf under the ridge nearing a week from now.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:40 pm to rds dc
I'm getting a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach watching it come in. Buckle up guys, this thread is going to be a ride.
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:42 pm to baytiger
quote:
I'm getting a sick feeling in the pit of my stomach watching it come in.
Yep...
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