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Message
1
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:54 pm to TotesMcGotes
quote:This would be helpful if you knew who would win the toss before making the 2pt decision though.
The team that wins the toss has essentially the same percentage of winning the game as the two point success rate.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:55 pm to Tiguar
quote:You said GB didn't have a chance to win in OT. They did.
The offense never touched the ball. Stop being obtuse. They had no chance to answer like in college.
Not sure what else to tell you.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:55 pm to shel311
I dunno. I don't know what the numbers say. Just me, personally, the idea of not having a chance to respond because of a coin flip is awful.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:55 pm to Melvin
Coaches would rather let the defense lose than make a ballsy decision.
Nobody will be talking shite about McCarthy after this. But if he had gone for two and failed? Oh ho lee frick, his head would be on a First Take platter
Nobody will be talking shite about McCarthy after this. But if he had gone for two and failed? Oh ho lee frick, his head would be on a First Take platter
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:55 pm to NawlinsTiger9
quote:Not sure what you're getting at on this one.
Green Bay's defense gave up a touchdown drive.
Green Bay's offense never got on the field.
Two different things.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:56 pm to Tiguar
quote:
They lost the coin flip and never got a chance to win.
More of a coin toss than a flip.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:56 pm to Tiguar
quote:I do not like that OT rule, I do agree with that.
Just me, personally, the idea of not having a chance to respond because of a coin flip is awful.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:57 pm to shel311
You said "They didn't have a chance to win in OT? Was the game called?"
I'm saying that green bay's offense didn't have a chance because their defense failed them.
I'm saying that green bay's offense didn't have a chance because their defense failed them.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:58 pm to Tiguar
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:58 pm to shel311
If I have AR, I'm going for two every single time. I'd rather that than the possibility of him never seeing the ball in an overtime.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:58 pm to Tiguar
You have all the momentum and a defense sulking about a fluke play.. No better time to go for the win IMO..
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:59 pm to NawlinsTiger9
quote:There shoulda been a question mark after my statement, i misspoke.
You said "They didn't have a chance to win in OT? Was the game called?"
I was actually disagreeing with the guy who said they didn't have a chance to win in OT.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:59 pm to castorinho
2 point conversion rate is about 50%.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 10:59 pm to TROLA
This, too.
No chance the Arizona defense was ready for a conversion. They were in fricking shock.
No chance the Arizona defense was ready for a conversion. They were in fricking shock.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 11:01 pm to castorinho
46.2% win probability right?
All NFL teams converted 47.8% of two point conversions this year according to this LINK.
Also, according to that site, Green Bay was 4 of 6 in their two point attempts this season.
All NFL teams converted 47.8% of two point conversions this year according to this LINK.
Also, according to that site, Green Bay was 4 of 6 in their two point attempts this season.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 11:01 pm to Tiguar
A team should never go for two in that situation unless the defense has either failed to stop the opposing team all night or if the team is completely exhausted due to injuries/depth issues/opposing team's pace of play/weather.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 11:01 pm to castorinho
quote:
he end of regulation 2pt conversion has lower odds.
Over the past five years, teams have converted 47.8% of two point plays. Odds would be VERY SLIGHTLY in favor of going for it. Although, I'm just guessing that the conversion rate is slightly lower for visiting teams. It's actually an extremely tough call.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 11:01 pm to TotesMcGotes
Another consideration. The possibility of your best player on the team never having the chance to touch the ball should be a factor.
Posted on 1/16/16 at 11:03 pm to NawlinsTiger9
It really boils down to a matter of opinion and there's no wrong answer I suppose.
In my view:
- I'd rather try to go 2 yards in 1 play than go 75+ on X plays.
- I'd rather not risk losing the coin toss and not touching the ball.
- I'd want to jump on THAT defense in THAT situation given their recent trauma.
- Aaron fricking Rodgers
Just my two cents.
In my view:
- I'd rather try to go 2 yards in 1 play than go 75+ on X plays.
- I'd rather not risk losing the coin toss and not touching the ball.
- I'd want to jump on THAT defense in THAT situation given their recent trauma.
- Aaron fricking Rodgers
Just my two cents.
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