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Math nerds say there's a 13.58% chance of the Pels winning the series

Posted on 4/16/15 at 12:54 pm
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
62446 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 12:54 pm
The most likely outcome (30.29%) is Golden State in 5, but they actually give the Pels more of a chance than I expected.

quote:

The Warriors should win their first-round series against New Orleans in five games, according to numberFire.com, a Web site that uses mathematical modeling to predict and analyze sports. Here are some pretty cool stats provided by the site:

New Orleans Pelicans win in 4: 0.95%

New Orleans Pelicans win in 5: 2.21%

New Orleans Pelicans win in 6: 5.42%

New Orleans Pelicans win in 7: 5%

New Orleans Pelicans win series: 13.58%

LINK
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
176013 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

13.58% chance


that's a pretty good chance
Posted by DJ3K
Member since Dec 2011
7367 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

New Orleans Pelicans win series: 13.58%


So, you're telling me there's a chance!!! YEAH!!
Posted by GCTiger11
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Jan 2012
45806 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 12:57 pm to
So you're saying.....
Posted by Signal Soldier
30.411994,-91.183929
Member since Dec 2010
8549 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 1:31 pm to
Posted by TigerinKorea
Member since Aug 2014
8861 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 1:34 pm to
Right now the Pels are not an easy out for anybody. I believe they will make it a lot more difficult for Golden State than people think.

We have one of the best players on the planet with a fully healthy squad around him.

I realize it's really difficult to do, but if we can win one in Golden State, this series will be extremely interesting.
This post was edited on 4/16/15 at 1:40 pm
Posted by quail man
New York, NY
Member since May 2010
41220 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 1:37 pm to
What percent chance did the Pels have to land AD?
ETA. It was 13.7. Hmmmm.
This post was edited on 4/16/15 at 1:38 pm
Posted by suavecito80
Member since Apr 2014
3210 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

I realize it's really difficult to do, but if we can win one in Golden State, this series will be extremely interesting.


I have been telling people this at work all day. Let them get one in Oakland and this will go six games.
Posted by ShamelessPel
Metairie
Member since Apr 2013
13034 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

What percent chance did the Pels have to land AD?
ETA. It was 13.7. Hmmmm.


Oh shite...
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9762 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 3:12 pm to
That ESPN Basketball Power Index is the same one that got down to like 7% chance of making the playoffs at one point. I like our chances.

Posted by DJ3K
Member since Dec 2011
7367 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 4:55 pm to
Seriously?

That is fricking fantastic
Posted by Thurber
NWLA
Member since Aug 2013
15405 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 5:56 pm to
I'll take it
Posted by Smedium27
Bestbank
Member since Aug 2010
3519 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 7:25 pm to
quote:

New Orleans Pelicans win in 4: 0.95%





Only means I win more money when I bet Pelicans win in 4
Posted by 42
Member since Apr 2012
3703 posts
Posted on 4/17/15 at 10:39 pm to
I said 7% earlier this week, as well.

My logic was a 1/4 chance at each game. Pour in math, stir, 7%.
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5264 posts
Posted on 4/18/15 at 6:48 am to
Yeh, and the Cavs have a 6.1% chance of winning a title. List is shite.
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