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LSU (18-8, 7-6) vs Florida (13-13, 6-7) - Sat noon - PMAC - CBS
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:18 am
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:18 am
Who: LSU Tigers (18-8, 7-6) vs Florida Gators (13-13, 6-7)
When: Saturday, February 21 - Noon (central time)
Where: Maravich Center (13,215 - 45th NCAA)
How:
***TV: CBS
***Radio: 98.1FM
***Stream: CBSSports.com/stream
It was a month ago that LSU went into the O-Dome and left Gainesville with an 18 point victory over the Florida Gators. LSU's Martin and Mickey totaled 36 points and 22 rebounds in a contest where LSU was a 10 point underdog. The last month has not been pleasant to the Gators.
Florida has lost 7 of their last 10 games and are almost certainly looking at Billy Donovan's first sub 20 win season as head man of Florida. Things won't get easier for the Gators who will be without their top two scorers Dorian Finney-Smith (suspended) and Michael Frazier (injury). The duo scored 18 of Florida's 61 points against the Tigers a month ago and leaves Florida with no player averaging over 9 points per game.
After a disappointing loss at Texas A&M, LSU knows they need a win this weekend against Florida. Squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble, the Tigers are still projected to be in the field, however LSU cannot lose anymore home games. With five regular season games and the SEC Tournament remaining, 5 wins should be enough to get the Tigers into the tournament, depending on autobids and other bubble teams finishes.
Without Florida's top two sharp shooters, Florida has no one shooting over 33% from deep, so Florida has to go inside. The Gators used Devin Robinson (12 pts) and Alex Murphy (11 pts) as primary scorers in their 47-50 win against Vanderbilt this week, but Florida will have to find a way to score more points against LSU if they expect to win. The Tigers have not scored less than 60 points in a game this season.
Most Interesting Matchup:
Devin Robinson and Jordan Mickey will both be asked to be interior presences in this matchup. The freshman, Robinson, will need to be an offensive presence in order for Florida to have a chance in this one. Jordan Mickey needs to defend the paint and protect the ball more than he has lately.
Keys to the Game:
1. LSU cannot allow easy baskets. In a game where Florida features no true scorers, the easiest way for Florida to score will be in transition and on offensive rebounds. LSU cannot allow either to be a factor in this game.
2. Don't fall in love with the three pointer. LSU did it again versus Texas A&M. They hit a couple three's and fell in love with the deep ball. They ended the night shooting 33% (42.9% in first half and 20% in second half) and missed key shots toward the end of the game. LSU needs to attack the basket and make sure they put pressure on the Florida Defense.
3. Stay focused. LSU has gotten leads this year and lost focus. LSU cannot allow a Florida team, who plays good defense, to make a run on offense due to a lack of intensity on the defensive end. Protect the ball on offense, and defend the entire shot clock on the defensive side.
Prediction:
LSU 72, Florida 55
This post was edited on 2/20/15 at 9:20 am
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:25 am to SouthOfSouth
Good job SOS. To say this is a must win is an understatement.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:32 am to SouthOfSouth
KenPom still loves UF (they're ranked one spot ahead of LSU) because of their great defense. I'm shocked that they're still ranked so high despite being a .500 team. In the first game LSU was able to play more at their pace as opposed to UF's, and also did a very good job on the defensive end. Hopefully they can do the same.
You hate to speak in absolutes with this team, but shame on LSU is they lose this game.
Possibly the worst UF team in the Donovan era
They are without their two leading scorers
LSU is at home, with postseason hopes on the line.
You hate to speak in absolutes with this team, but shame on LSU is they lose this game.
Possibly the worst UF team in the Donovan era
They are without their two leading scorers
LSU is at home, with postseason hopes on the line.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:32 am to SouthOfSouth
I have faith that LSU gets this one. Hopefully, LSU gets a nice sized crowd to cheer them on.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:45 am to Alt26
quote:
LSU is at home, with postseason hopes on the line.
This alone should be enough to get our mind right. No excuses. Tournament teams win home games when they are trying to get in the tournament. Period.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:52 am to SouthOfSouth
How many in a row have you predicted wrong?
Really wish you would go with Florida on this one!
Really wish you would go with Florida on this one!
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:55 am to The Truth 34
There are ZERO excuses for losing this game. Would love to see a Tennessee-esque blowout, and on paper that's what should happen, but I don't have a clue as to where this team's head is right now. They may see Florida's two leading scorers out and play like the football team did against Ole Miss a couple years ago when Ole Miss was depleted as F.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:57 am to GeismarGeauxer
With those 2 guys out I think we win this one and get back to our winning road ways at Auburn getting us to 9 wins. We should beat Tennessee in the PMAC but I'm worried about Ole Miss.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:59 am to GeismarGeauxer
quote:
How many in a row have you predicted wrong?
Pretty sure he predicted us to lose to UK
This post was edited on 2/20/15 at 10:00 am
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:03 am to TigerCub
quote:
Pretty sure he predicted us to lose to UK
And he had us beating Vandy. South gets it right sometimes.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:06 am to ALT F4
You realky can't play the "we should beat them" game with this team
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:10 am to massiveattack
that's true... we're a better team that UF, Tennessee, and Auburn however we BETTER beat those 3 and steal one out of Ole Miss and Arkansas
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:26 am to SouthOfSouth
Thanks SOS. If LSU loses focus at any time in this game then it's time to start thinking about next year. I don't think they will do that. I agree with your score prediction. If both teams play their best LSU should win by 15-20. Get it done Tigers!
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:07 am to SouthOfSouth
Time for J Martin to show back up off of a 2 game hiatus. He's needing the double-double numbers.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:09 am to The Truth 34
quote:
This alone should be enough to get our mind right. No excuses.
Feel like we have said this before and not gotten the outcome we hoped for.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:13 am to SouthOfSouth
With their top two scorers out, this game should resemble the Alabama game.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:16 am to RANDY44
quote:
If LSU loses focus at any time in this game then it's time to start thinking about next year.
If LSU is not focused for this game then it's time to start thinking about a new coaching staff. This isn't game 2 against some directional school. It's game 27 against a (although down) perennial conference power at a time where LSU cannot afford to lose anymore games if they want to make the NCAAT. Sometimes the shots aren't going to fall, a ref may make a bad call, but a lack of focus at this point is INEXCUSABLE.
I will give CJJ a bit of credit though. He ripped into Martin and Mickey in the first half against A&M for letting them get like 4 offensive rebounds on one possession and not getting in position on defense. I was glad to see it. A coach doesn't have to get on his players all the time like Frank Martin, but there are times where a coach needs to light a fire under some asses. Until that point I didn't think Jones would be willing to do so.
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:32 am to SouthOfSouth
quote:
With five regular season games and the SEC Tournament remaining, 5 wins should be enough to get the Tigers into the tournament
With the loss to A&M, it is looking like we most likely will not be in the top 4 in SEC for the tournament. Could this benefit us if we win the first two games in the tournament more than getting the BYEs and being rested going into the next game?
Posted on 2/20/15 at 11:32 am to SouthOfSouth
Considering UF is missing its best players I expect this one to be a knuckle down drag out to the bitter end, these are the games we completely lose focus.
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