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re: Why you should hope life isn't found in space: The Fermi Paradox / Great Filter

Posted on 11/14/14 at 8:41 am to
Posted by USMCTiger03
Member since Sep 2007
71176 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 8:41 am to
quote:

I guess I'm a big dummy when it comes to the topic...but in layman's term wtf does this mean exactly?

Read the whole article. Long but well worth it.
Posted by Domingo Ayala
NOLA
Member since Oct 2013
338 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 9:27 am to
Anybody ever read the Sci Fi novel Link ?
Posted by yankeeundercover
Buffalo, NY
Member since Jan 2010
36384 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 9:35 am to
Damn Great Filter, you scary
Posted by Farkwad
Byzantium
Member since Sep 2010
2669 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 9:38 am to
I think we are the ant colony existing next to the highway.

Possibility 9) Higher civilizations are here, all around us. But we’re too primitive to perceive them. Michio Kaku sums it up like this:

Lets say we have an ant hill in the middle of the forest. And right next to the ant hill, they’re building a ten-lane super-highway. And the question is “Would the ants be able to understand what a ten-lane super-highway is? Would the ants be able to understand the technology and the intentions of the beings building the highway next to them?
Posted by JawjaTigah
Bizarro World
Member since Sep 2003
22516 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:04 am to
quote:

One hypothesis as to how galactic colonization could happen is by creating machinery that can travel to other planets, spend 500 years or so self-replicating using the raw materials on their new planet, and then send two replicas off to do the same thing. Even without traveling anywhere near the speed of light, this process would colonize the whole galaxy in 3.75 million years, a relative blink of an eye when talking in the scale of billions of years...
The thought this conjures up in me is "Resistance is futile." Not entirely (or even remotely) comforting.
Posted by ShortGame
Member since Sep 2014
6 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:10 am to
quote:

quote:
One hypothesis as to how galactic colonization could happen is by creating machinery that can travel to other planets, spend 500 years or so self-replicating using the raw materials on their new planet, and then send two replicas off to do the same thing. Even without traveling anywhere near the speed of light, this process would colonize the whole galaxy in 3.75 million years, a relative blink of an eye when talking in the scale of billions of years...
The thought this conjures up in me is "Resistance is futile." Not entirely (or even remotely) comforting.


The thought this conjures up in me is that a bunch of nerds got together and started perpetuating a contrived theory... Y2K comes to mind.
Posted by SundayFunday
Member since Sep 2011
9322 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:23 am to
The more I read this article, the more I disagree. It is filled with complete assumptions and wild theories based on nothing.
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 10:24 am
Posted by LSU8654722
Member since Apr 2014
1495 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:36 am to
The Great Filter is just a theory though. You can have a theory about anything. Like the "2 friends theory" which says every hot girl has 2 friends they hangout with. One friend is fat, and the other friend is annoying.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89777 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:41 am to
quote:

The Great Filter is just a theory though.


Correct - a theory that is very difficult to test, other than continuing to actively/passively observe the negative.

Ultimately, the big question remains: Does intelligent life of extraterrestrial origin - in the entire vastness of the known universe - exist?

There are only 3 possible answers: "Yes," "No," and "Not anymore." Any of the three answers are both fascinating and terrifying.
This post was edited on 11/14/14 at 10:42 am
Posted by USMCTiger03
Member since Sep 2007
71176 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 10:54 am to
Well yeah, but it's interesting and puts it into a pretty logical and easy to digest form.

One thought regarding the Type II or III intelligent life, if a concerned benefactor type theory were true, you'd think they would have stepped in during past global events, esp. Atomic bombs being dropped, when it became more and more possible that we could blow ourselves out of existence.
Posted by mpar98
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
8034 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Lets say we have an ant hill in the middle of the forest. And right next to the ant hill, they’re building a ten-lane super-highway. And the question is “Would the ants be able to understand what a ten-lane super-highway is? Would the ants be able to understand the technology and the intentions of the beings building the highway next to them?


great explanation...we havent evolved enough to understand whats going on
Posted by SundayFunday
Member since Sep 2011
9322 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:05 am to
quote:

One thought regarding the Type II or III intelligent life, if a concerned benefactor type theory were true, you'd think they would have stepped in during past global events, esp. Atomic bombs being dropped, when it became more and more possible that we could blow ourselves out of existence.




Depends on if we are their only product or if they don't mind letting us end ourselves and then just simply start over.
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27844 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:09 am to
It's just amazing to see what we've accomplished in a few hundred years: From the horse and mule to landing a probe on a comet that we can communicate with.

So just imagine what technology we'd have in just the next 100 years? I can for see us sending out many vessels with people on board that will never return. In a few thousand years we'd likely have colonized dozens of habitable planets and explored ~10% of our galaxy with probes.

So if there was another planet that's developing at just rate of .01% slower than us then human like intelligence wouldn't have even developed. Likewise if there was plant that developed just a bit fast than us, they'd likely have already explored most of the milky way and have presence just about anywhere they'd have chosen. Maybe those are the little green men people have claimed to have seen...
Posted by uway
Member since Sep 2004
33109 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:18 am to
quote:

It's very difficult for that step to occur-


How DID prokaryotes "make the evolutionary jump to being complex and having a nucleus"?
Posted by mpar98
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
8034 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:18 am to
quote:

I can for see us


"why won't the aliens talk to us!!!"
Posted by drunkenpunkin
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2011
7659 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 11:57 am to
Have you looked around lately? I pray the filter is ahead of us.
Posted by Walking the Earth
Member since Feb 2013
17260 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

I think we are the ant colony existing next to the highway.

Possibility 9) Higher civilizations are here, all around us. But we’re too primitive to perceive them. Michio Kaku sums it up like this:

Lets say we have an ant hill in the middle of the forest. And right next to the ant hill, they’re building a ten-lane super-highway. And the question is “Would the ants be able to understand what a ten-lane super-highway is? Would the ants be able to understand the technology and the intentions of the beings building the highway next to them?



Exactly. A civilization a mere 10,000 years ahead of us would have abilities at their disposal that we couldn't imagine.

One out there that's a million or more years ahead? How in the hell could we possibly begin to even conceive of their existence unless they just blatantly popped up and said "Here we are!"

And I disagree with an earlier posted assumption that "1 percent of civilizations should get to Type III". That is so powerful that it seems like fractions of a percent ever get that advanced/lucky.

Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72379 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

How DID prokaryotes "make the evolutionary jump to being complex and having a nucleus"?
Possibly began as a symbiotic relationship between two prokaryotic organisms.
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51954 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

This wouldn't be a bad bet. It's very difficult for that step to occur--otherwise we would have seen it happen repeatedly throughout the history of the earth.


What I don't understand is the assumption of there only being one "filter."


The jump to high level sentience is most definitely one considering the caloric cost.
Posted by LSU03
Tiger Mecca (aka Baton Rouge)
Member since Dec 2003
514 posts
Posted on 11/14/14 at 12:56 pm to
It's not about them hearing us...it's about us hearing them.
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