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Started By
Message
I'm Concerned about the Potential "Mushrooming" Effect with Ebola
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:34 pm
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:34 pm
I'm reading these threads, and realizing that there are people here who are still saying that this aEbola situation is practically much ado about nothing. Well, let me throw out a few facts:
(1) The WHO is now projecting that we will soon see 10,000 new cases of Ebola EACH WEEK. Now, obviously they are talking about the epidemic growing in the already affected areas of Africa.
HOWEVER, this projection of an exponential increase means that the potential for Ebola-infected people traveling to America could increase exponentially, too.
(2) Each one of these Ebola victims has had dozens of "direct" contacts. It appears that we have had mostly good news so far regarding the contacts for Duncan, except for 2 healthcare workers, but if/when there are more people testing positive for Ebola, the number of contacts for these people will probably be in the dozens, too. In fact, the second healthcare worker was on a commercial flight just 2-3 days ago, and her potential contacts from the flight alone is up to 132.
That's my biggest concern. The sheer number of people coming into contact with infected people, and the possibility that these numbers could end up growing exponentially. I'm reluctant to use the term "law of averages," but this is what bothers me the most.
Are we already in the process of experiencing this?
EDIT - I've corrected my mistake of attributing that projection to CDC. it was the WHO that issued the projection.
(1) The WHO is now projecting that we will soon see 10,000 new cases of Ebola EACH WEEK. Now, obviously they are talking about the epidemic growing in the already affected areas of Africa.
HOWEVER, this projection of an exponential increase means that the potential for Ebola-infected people traveling to America could increase exponentially, too.
(2) Each one of these Ebola victims has had dozens of "direct" contacts. It appears that we have had mostly good news so far regarding the contacts for Duncan, except for 2 healthcare workers, but if/when there are more people testing positive for Ebola, the number of contacts for these people will probably be in the dozens, too. In fact, the second healthcare worker was on a commercial flight just 2-3 days ago, and her potential contacts from the flight alone is up to 132.
That's my biggest concern. The sheer number of people coming into contact with infected people, and the possibility that these numbers could end up growing exponentially. I'm reluctant to use the term "law of averages," but this is what bothers me the most.
Are we already in the process of experiencing this?
EDIT - I've corrected my mistake of attributing that projection to CDC. it was the WHO that issued the projection.
This post was edited on 10/15/14 at 3:03 pm
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:35 pm to KCT
I have met no one who is unconcerned FWIW.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:36 pm to KCT
Still don't care here. Worrying about stuff is not how I'm gonna live my life.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:40 pm to KCT
quote:That was the WHO talking about Africa.
The CDC is now projecting that we will soon see 10,000 new cases of Ebola EACH WEEK.
It won't happen.
quote:Well, get back to Scruffy when it actually starts spreading.
Each one of these Ebola victims has had dozens of "direct" contacts. It appears that we have had mostly good news so far regarding the contacts for Duncan, except for 2 healthcare workers, but if/when there are more people testing positive for Ebola, the number of contacts for these people will probably be in the dozens, too.
Until then, unbunch your panties, Cindy.
quote:
Are we already in the process of experiencing this?
No.
This post was edited on 10/15/14 at 12:41 pm
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:41 pm to KCT
quote:
(1) The CDC is now projecting that we will soon see 10,000 new cases of Ebola EACH WEEK. Now, obviously they are talking about the epidemic growing in the already affected areas of Africa.
Categorically false. FFS people.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:41 pm to TT9
TT9, I will personally buy you and Rex one way tickets to Liberia to care for those Ebola infected patients.
Have a heart.
Have a heart.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:41 pm to Scruffy
Not only was it WHO, WHO was not projecting we'd see that. WHO said it was a possibility we'd see 5k-10k a week, but that they hoped we'd be seeing a decline in cases per week by the new year.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:42 pm to Pettifogger
quote:Whoa.
Not only was it WHO, WHO was not projecting we'd see that. WHO said it was a possibility we'd see 5k-10k a week, but that they hoped we'd be seeing a decline in cases per week by the new year.
Slow your roll. We can't scare people more with talk like that.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:45 pm to Scruffy
I just heard the CDC is quarantining a town 70 miles from Dallas because 5 new patients tested positive
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:48 pm to deltaland
quote:Are they going to firebomb the town?
I just heard the CDC is quarantining a town 70 miles from Dallas because 5 new patients tested positive
Hopefully Dustin Hoffman is available.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:48 pm to deltaland
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:52 pm to goatmilker
quote:
I have met no one who is unconcerned FWIW.
There are many on here who are adamant (strangely so, IMO) that there is nothing to be concerned about.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:53 pm to moneyg
quote:At this time, there is nothing to be concerned about.
There are many on here who are adamant (strangely so, IMO) that there is nothing to be concerned about.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:54 pm to Scruffy
quote:
At this time, there is nothing to be concerned about.
This line of thinking is illogical, IMO.
Once there is something to worry about by your definition, it will have already happened.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:56 pm to moneyg
if you are going to be worried about something be worried about Enterovirus D68
its airborne and also has caused several fatalities. Its spreading like wildfire through schools.
its airborne and also has caused several fatalities. Its spreading like wildfire through schools.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 12:59 pm to moneyg
quote:From the standpoint of an individual who lives in a state that has not had a case of Ebola and who cannot do anything to affect whether or not it spreads, no, there is nothing to worry about.
Once there is something to worry about by your definition, it will have already happened.
Are you afraid? Are you scared for your health and your family's health?
Why? There have been no cases in LA and the only 2 known cases are in healthcare workers who had direct contact with the original host.
At this time, I see no reason to be concerned. If it continues to spread, I'll be more concerned.
Until then, everyone's fears are more disruptive and destructive than this "outbreak" is.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 1:00 pm to Hawkeye95
quote:It has also shown a possible link to polio-like syndromes in children.
if you are going to be worried about something be worried about Enterovirus D68 its airborne and also has caused several fatalities. Its spreading like wildfire through schools.
No one gives a crap about that anymore though.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 1:02 pm to Scruffy
quote:
It has also shown a possible link to polio-like syndromes in children.
No one gives a crap about that anymore though.
i care scruffy
apparently its burning through hospitals too.
some lady in denver died last week of it, adult too.
Posted on 10/15/14 at 1:06 pm to KCT
Drudge headline : Passenger wears Hazmat suit to Dulles Airport.
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