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Started By
Message
re: Tigers a 9.50 pt favorite over Bulldogs
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:39 pm to AZTiger7072
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:39 pm to AZTiger7072
I called 16-10 LSU, but I'm a retarded homer, so TIFWIW
This post was edited on 9/14/14 at 7:39 pm
1
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:39 pm to MOT
quote:
Right, but do you think State should be favored if the game was there? I'm just trying to get what you think the point differential is between the two. This means they have LSU lined less than a TD above State, that doesn't really seem unreasonable. And I think it opened a little lower in some places and has been bet up.
Its being bet up big time right now. Id have it as a pickem in starkville but im obviously not thinking the same as vegas.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:40 pm to ell_13
quote:
That scares me, Will. Seriously.
Its a good thing.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:40 pm to ell_13
quote:
That scares me, Will. Seriously.
My initial thought, yes ... agreed.
Would have rather seen a line of 12 at opening.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:40 pm to harry coleman beast
Sharps and Kiges will both take us at -10 
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:41 pm to frog legs
I see it going down to 5 or 6. LSU isn't last years LSU
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:41 pm to Bulldog288
quote:
I see it going down to 5 or 6. LSU isn't last years LSU
Its going to be bet down 5 points? LOLZ
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:42 pm to ell_13
Do any of you actually believe lines have any relevance to the outcome?
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:42 pm to harry coleman beast
quote:
Id have it as a pickem in starkville but im obviously not thinking the same as vegas.
That really isn't far off from the open when you account for hfa.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:43 pm to Bulldog288
quote:
I see it going down to 5 or 6. LSU isn't last years LSU
This number won't go that low. Won't cross over critical number of 7.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:44 pm to madcap
quote:
Do any of you actually believe lines have any relevance to the outcome?
LSU - 30.5 vs. ULM
LSU 31
ULM 0 F
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:45 pm to madcap
quote:Vegas is better than anyone. They're good at making money. Lines are usually very reliable.
Do any of you actually believe lines have any relevance to the outcome?
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:45 pm to Will Cover
Also post the ones they missed badly.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:46 pm to Will Cover
quote:That was my first thought, too. Which is why it scares me. Had it started at 6, I would have felt it was about right. 10 or 8 seems too much to start, TBH.
Won't cross over critical number of 7.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:47 pm to Will Cover
North Texas -3
Final:
La tech 41
North Texas 20
Final:
La tech 41
North Texas 20
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:48 pm to madcap
quote:
Also post the ones they missed badly.
Obviously a lot can impact the outcome of a game and in college games unexpected stuff happens all the time. But a lot of work is done in their power ratings to get the most reasonable opening line possible, because they get taken to the cleaners otherwise.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:48 pm to Will Cover
Will, what is the most you've ever seen a line drop for a CFB game without something major happening (injury,suspension,coaching change)?
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:48 pm to madcap
You should bet.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:48 pm to madcap
quote:
Also post the ones they missed badly.
No need to.
But you asked the question of whether or not the lines have any relevance to the outcome?
Ideally, the odds makers want even action on the game - this works in a perfect world. Unfortunately, the betting work and public bettors along with sharps can overload them from time to time and sports books are betting just like many of us.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:49 pm to ell_13
quote:
10 or 8 seems too much to start
Same question I had to hcb, what do you think the line would be in Starkville?
Also, looking forward to the countdown.
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