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re: Your best guess at what the basketball team needs to do to make the tourney?
Posted on 1/18/12 at 8:42 am to Hat Tricks
Posted on 1/18/12 at 8:42 am to Hat Tricks
That is a fricked up schedule. We could realistically go 0-6 and then 6-0.
In my opinion, the goal should be to finish .500 or better in the conference this year and be a bubble team. At that point, making the field is in the hands of others.
In my opinion, the goal should be to finish .500 or better in the conference this year and be a bubble team. At that point, making the field is in the hands of others.
0
Posted on 1/18/12 at 8:53 am to Hat Tricks
a win over one of those ranked teams (miss. st at home or florida/vandy/msu on the road) would be big plus going AT LEAST 8-5. then win a game or two at the conference tournament. need a couple more key wins to go along with the marquette win. splitting with bama/state/arky would help somewhat assuming we take care of business against the auburn's uga' and ole miss's of the world.
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:13 am to Hat Tricks
to make it in the NCAA's and not be a bubble team.
LSU needs to win one road game of Florida and Miss State
and one home game of Alabama and UK.
And win two SEC tournament games
and lose no more than 10 games total, which would be losing only 3 more regular season and the one game in the SEC tournament.
also, as a bubble team:
Please note, that if LSU beats UK and also loses 4 more games total including the SEC champ game loss, they could possibly get in as the play in game team. I think that is a 12 or 13 seed game against another good team playing in.
Finally, for a best guess as to what happens really,
I predict NIT for LSU. Based on current attendance, that will be a road game.
LSU needs to win one road game of Florida and Miss State
and one home game of Alabama and UK.
And win two SEC tournament games
and lose no more than 10 games total, which would be losing only 3 more regular season and the one game in the SEC tournament.
also, as a bubble team:
Please note, that if LSU beats UK and also loses 4 more games total including the SEC champ game loss, they could possibly get in as the play in game team. I think that is a 12 or 13 seed game against another good team playing in.
Finally, for a best guess as to what happens really,
I predict NIT for LSU. Based on current attendance, that will be a road game.
This post was edited on 1/18/12 at 9:15 am
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:18 am to Zack1447
win games 
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:19 am to fjohns1
Just win baby!
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:24 am to Hat Tricks
The next game in Gainesville will be the measuring stick to see if they can beat some teams with some RPI on the road.
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:38 am to Hat Tricks
They need to win three of the next seven and four of the last five. Nineteen wins and nine in the SEC will make them a bubble team.
This post was edited on 1/18/12 at 9:40 am
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:45 am to ottothewise
quote:
and lose no more than 10 games total, which would be losing only 3 more regular season and the one game in the SEC tournament.
Florida 2010 - 21-11 (1 SEC tourney win)
Georgia 2009 - 21-11 (0 SEC tourney wins)
Tennessee 2009 - 19-14 (2 SEC tourney wins)
Arkansas 2008 - 22-11 (2 SEC tourney wins)
Kentucky 2008 - 18-12 (0 SEC tourney wins)
So, what's different this year?
Why won't 22-11 (9-7 in conference) and 2 SEC wins get LSU in, when it would any other year?
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:49 am to Sheep
ok Sheep.
I stand corrected.
We need an SEC fark. to hold up like the Geaux Tigers sign.
SEC SEC SEC.
I still think LSU will need to actually beat a couple of the better teams on the schedule, if they do come in with 11 or 12 losses.
Beat UK or Florida, and a couple of the other middle weights (MSU/ARk/Bama).
I stand corrected.
We need an SEC fark. to hold up like the Geaux Tigers sign.
SEC SEC SEC.
I still think LSU will need to actually beat a couple of the better teams on the schedule, if they do come in with 11 or 12 losses.
Beat UK or Florida, and a couple of the other middle weights (MSU/ARk/Bama).
This post was edited on 1/18/12 at 9:52 am
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:49 am to Hat Tricks
quote:Realistically, they probably won't do better then 8-4 and one SEC tourney win. That puts them at 21-11, and very much on the bubble. Unless they have some winning streak like they did a few years ago, on the bubble is the most anyone can really excpect.
What do they realistically need to do in your opinion to have any shot at making the tourney?
The only way I will say they are a lock is if they get to 23-24 wins. Not likely.
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:51 am to alajones
quote:
The only way I will say they are a lock is if they get to 23-24 wins. Not likely.
Look up two posts.
Posted on 1/18/12 at 9:54 am to bbap
quote:
I kinda doubt that gets them in. Their RPI is dogshit.
yep. 8-4 (10-6) gives us a 20-10 regular season, and rpiforecast projects us to be at #52.
11-5 = #42
12-4 = #34
13-3 = #28.
the site just uses sagarin to project the rest of the season but it's a good indicator of the hole we are in.
LINK
that being said, lots of things can happen, plus they wont go by straight rpi
Posted on 1/18/12 at 10:05 am to Sheep
quote:
Florida 2010 - 21-11 (1 SEC tourney win)
Georgia 2009 - 21-11 (0 SEC tourney wins)
Tennessee 2009 - 19-14 (2 SEC tourney wins)
Arkansas 2008 - 22-11 (2 SEC tourney wins)
Kentucky 2008 - 18-12 (0 SEC tourney wins)
i believe your years are off on these teams, what i looked up had them as below, but anyway, the RPIs of these teams make it encouraging as well.
ky made it b/c they were 12-4 in conf though..
uf 2010, 9-7, 56 rpi
uga 2011, 9-7, 47 rpi
tenn 2011, 8-8, 33 rpi
ark 2008, 9-7, 26 rpi
ky 2008, 12-4, 58 rpi
Posted on 1/18/12 at 10:10 am to Sheep
quote:I said LOCK.
Look up two posts.
Posted on 1/18/12 at 10:16 am to AreJay
quote:
i believe your years are off on these teams, what i looked up had them as below, but anyway, the RPIs of these teams make it encouraging as well.
2010 = 2010-11 season.
That IS encouraging. Thanks for looking that up.
9-7 in conference is an achievable goal for this team.
Posted on 1/18/12 at 10:26 am to Hat Tricks
Jan. 21 at Florida 6:00 - W
Jan. 25 at Mississippi State 8:00 - L
Jan. 28 Kentucky 4:00 - L
Feb. 4 Arkansas 1:30 - W
Feb. 8 at Vanderbilt 9:00 - L
Feb. 11 Alabama 7:00 - W
Feb. 14 Mississippi State 9:00 - W
Feb. 18 at South Carolina 1:30 - W
Feb. 22 Georgia 8:00 - W
Feb. 25 at Ole Miss 1:30 - W
Feb. 29 Tennessee 9:00 - W
Mar. 3 at Auburn 2:00 - W
That would be 21-9 11-5 SEC record. Win a game in the SEC and your in the NIT at least, maybe last 4 in bubble wise
Jan. 25 at Mississippi State 8:00 - L
Jan. 28 Kentucky 4:00 - L
Feb. 4 Arkansas 1:30 - W
Feb. 8 at Vanderbilt 9:00 - L
Feb. 11 Alabama 7:00 - W
Feb. 14 Mississippi State 9:00 - W
Feb. 18 at South Carolina 1:30 - W
Feb. 22 Georgia 8:00 - W
Feb. 25 at Ole Miss 1:30 - W
Feb. 29 Tennessee 9:00 - W
Mar. 3 at Auburn 2:00 - W
That would be 21-9 11-5 SEC record. Win a game in the SEC and your in the NIT at least, maybe last 4 in bubble wise
Posted on 1/18/12 at 10:26 am to Hat Tricks
I wish we wouldn't have lost to Coastal Carolina and South Alabama. If we won those two games and are sitting at 14-4, it would make it a lot more plausible that we could get in the tournament. I know one thing, these next 7 games are going to be extremely difficult for LSU.
Posted on 1/18/12 at 10:44 am to Hat Tricks
This is an NIT team
Posted on 1/18/12 at 10:47 am to Hat Tricks
quote:minimum
9-7 in the SEC, two SEC tournament wins.
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