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Started By
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Gurus - Where is the market going?
Posted on 2/4/10 at 3:44 pm
Posted on 2/4/10 at 3:44 pm
Where do you guys see the overall market heading over the next year or two (assuming our starting point is 10,000)? This ought to be interesting...
11
Posted on 2/4/10 at 3:49 pm to LSUgolf04
Up and down or down and up. (repeat as needed)
Posted on 2/4/10 at 3:52 pm to LSURussian
Thanks for clearing this mess up for me! 
Posted on 2/4/10 at 3:54 pm to LSUgolf04
up
eventually
eventually
Posted on 2/4/10 at 4:12 pm to LSUgolf04
This question would be better asked on the OT. Everybody over there makes $100+k and only nails 10's.
Posted on 2/4/10 at 4:33 pm to Parliament
If I wanted to ask a bunch of 19 and 20 y/o college kids where the market was going, I would've consulted the OT. 
Posted on 2/4/10 at 4:46 pm to LSUgolf04
For a 2 year outlook, they'll probably be at least as accurate.
Posted on 2/4/10 at 4:54 pm to kfizzle85
Double dip baby.
I've been almost all cash since a little after the market broke 10k.
I've been almost all cash since a little after the market broke 10k.
Posted on 2/4/10 at 4:57 pm to TheHiddenFlask
quote:
I've been almost all cash
Don't feel like going short, eh?
Posted on 2/4/10 at 5:02 pm to rollthatback
quote:
Don't feel like going short, eh?
Not with my money at least.
I'm short RCII in my portfolio for school.
Posted on 2/4/10 at 5:11 pm to TheHiddenFlask
when you say going short, how short term do you mean?
Posted on 2/4/10 at 5:23 pm to LSUgolf04
quote:Uh....that's not what he means. He means 'short' as in 'selling stocks short.' It's where you borrow a stock, sell it and then when its price goes down, you buy it back and replace it to whoever you borrowed it from making a profit on the difference between what you sold it for and bought it back for.
when you say going short, how short term do you mean?
Or, it can mean you buy an ETF with a 'shorting' investment objective. Some short (bear) ETF's are leveraged which multiplies the shorting effect. When the market goes down, the price of the ETF goes up. And vice versa, of course.
Stick around here and we'll learn you good!!
Posted on 2/4/10 at 5:23 pm to LSUgolf04
Might still have a lot of excess equity return from 1982-2007 to work off, I have a hard time believing 2010 will be a good year for equity or fixed income. Then again, I have been known to be wrong. I am down to 30% equity and out of collateralized commodities, and have a short on the S&P 500 in place to further reduce beta. Times are tough on the investment horizon.
Posted on 2/4/10 at 6:38 pm to LSUgolf04
Buy Buy Buy!!!
No clue here, but when XOM hits 60 I will buy some.
No clue here, but when XOM hits 60 I will buy some.
Posted on 2/4/10 at 7:06 pm to LSUgolf04
quote:
Where do you guys see the overall market heading over the next year or two
Do you mean bonds, stocks, currencies, oil, ???
Posted on 2/4/10 at 8:04 pm to LSUgolf04
I just went all cash, but I'll likely have to take the hit tommorrow on iternational markets. According to Rush, things are looking bad for the EURO, I can stay on the sides for a while.
Posted on 2/4/10 at 8:11 pm to LSUgolf04
Low to mid 9s short-term (i.e. next month or so). Long-term ... you might as well pick a number out of a hat.
Posted on 2/4/10 at 9:27 pm to tirebiter
I love David Rosenberg's analysis, but I think he's dead wrong about the bond market. Bond funds have been killing it on inflows compared to equity funds. If there's any market that's in a bubble, to me, its fixed income (doesn't mean equities might be over-reaching right now either).
Posted on 2/4/10 at 10:49 pm to LSUgolf04
Not much support around 10,000 so we head south. How far is anyones guess? All cash is probably a good idea until we get some certainty. The GDP numbers were all inventory driven and we have a jobless recovery going on so Im scared sheetless about this economy. Throw Europe and 10 billion in loans poping back into the news and we might be on falling into a double dipper.
Cash is King...
Cash is King...
Posted on 2/5/10 at 7:32 am to ANAKINSKY
quote:I enjoy listening to Rush as much as anyone, but I don't think I'd put my money on the line based on what he says. The euro has been shaky for several months now so he's just jumping on the bandwagon like a neo-Saints fan.
According to Rush, things are looking bad for the EURO,
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