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Posted on 9/17/09 at 7:48 am to moneyg
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/17/09 at 7:49 am
Posted on 9/17/09 at 7:50 am to moock blackjack
quote:19.5 with both Taylor Mays and Barkley out is a bit high. I'd be very impressed if we went up there and beat them by 3 TD's.
I'll take Washington and the 19.5 points at home over USC.
I expect we'll win, but they will play hard and it will be a fun game. I might take UW and the points, but I don't bet against SC.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 7:53 am to loweralabamatrojan
quote:
I expect we'll win, but they will play hard and it will be a fun game. I might take UW and the points, but I don't bet against SC.
But still, I'm sure SC will be up for the game more than LSU was, considering the players are facing former coaches. LSU thought it was facing sister mother mary of the poor and looked lethargic the whole game... and was still up by 15 points until the last play.
This post was edited on 9/17/09 at 7:54 am
Posted on 9/17/09 at 7:53 am to Purple N Gold Blood
You are right to give the original poster grief on his analysis. But if LSU/UW is this weekend, LSU wins by more than 17.5. I mean, as poorly as the Tigers played, we were up 15 until the last play of the game.The advantage we had over UW was our offense v. their defense. We did not take advantage of that--remember all of the "vanilla offense" posts. In game 3 we will open that up.
Oh and USC is going to hang 50 on UW. Locker and co will score on the Trojans but the Trojans are just as talented as LSU on offense and Pete Carroll doesn't hold stuff back.
Oh and USC is going to hang 50 on UW. Locker and co will score on the Trojans but the Trojans are just as talented as LSU on offense and Pete Carroll doesn't hold stuff back.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:01 am to Mike Linebacker
Another way of looking at the 17.5 points...more money is being placed on Washington, they are trying to get more money placed on usc.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:02 am to loweralabamatrojan
quote:
I expect we'll win, but they will play hard and it will be a fun game. I might take UW and the points, but I don't bet against SC.
Always a good bet not to bet on your favorite team because emotion sometimes gets in the way. But I think USC probably wins this one, but Washington is catching them at an opportune time since USC won the big game last week. This should be an interesting game.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:09 am to loweralabamatrojan
quote:
And they'll just get better as the season goes on, IMHO.
As will most of the players on most of the other top teams. imo
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:13 am to loweralabamatrojan
quote:
And they'll just get better as the season goes on, IMHO.
bullshite, according to the rant teams are incapable of improving.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:17 am to Purple N Gold Blood
quote:
Why isn't anyone pointing out that USC is only -19.5 favs @ U W
and LSU was-17.5 @ UW ....
Thats telling me the oddsmakers think USC is only 2 points stronger than LSU
No, they think USC is 11.5 points stronger than LSU. They already know what the actual point spread was when LSU played UW.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:20 am to Nuts4LSU
FYI New line out has USC at -18.5 not 19.5
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:20 am to LSUTANGERINE
quote:
and if LSU was playing UW now after UW played a similar caliber SEC team in the first game with the same score, with LSU playing a similar caliber team in game one with the same score-- LSU would be favored by much less than it was.
You don't have to go through all the similar caliber opponent stuff. You can just say what if LSU were playing UW this week, knowing what we know right now. And, for what it's worth, I agree with you that we would be favored by less than we were two weeks ago if we were playing them again.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:21 am to OBUDan
quote:
And USC is likely playing without their starting QB...
Actually, Aaron Corp was their starting QB. Barkley played because Corp got hurt. Corp will play Sat.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:29 am to Catman88
quote:
FYI New line out has USC at -18.5 not 19.5
Posted on 9/17/09 at 8:35 am to mikedatyger
quote:Sort of. Corp got hurt, and Barkley got a chance to beat him out. Even when Corp got better, Barkley remained the starter. If Corp is 100% and Barkley is 100%, Barkley wins the job.
Actually, Aaron Corp was their starting QB. Barkley played because Corp got hurt. Corp will play Sat.
I kinda actually prefer Corp, but he is an unknown quantity as a starter, so we'll see how it works out. It's a great problem to have, IMHO.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 11:40 am to Wideman
quote:
and was still up by 15 points until the last play.
Love how LSU fans keep talking about this but fail to realize LSU didn't go up by 15 until 1:30 left in the game...
If that makes you feel better, so be it. But LSU didn't put the game away until 1:30 left in the game despite being thwarted on the offensive stats.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 11:48 am to LawDawg1
quote:well yeah it makes me feel better.
If that makes you feel better, so be it.
and after that score, the game was over. the points scored on the last play meant nothing to the game.
Posted on 9/17/09 at 11:51 am to Purple N Gold Blood
quote:Betting lines are fluid, relative to the situation, and based on situations. A betting line for 2 different teams from 2 weeks ago can't be compared logically to one today.
Why isn't anyone pointing out that USC is only -19.5 favs @ U W
and LSU was-17.5 @ UW ....
Thats telling me the oddsmakers think USC is only 2 points stronger than LSU ......... Wait that can't be true , from what I been reading on this board that LSU don't deserved to be ranked in the top 10 !!
Well I guess USC don't deserved a top ten ranking either
I guess some people on here know more than the oddsmakers
Posted on 9/17/09 at 11:53 am to Purple N Gold Blood
quote:
Purple N Gold Blood
you are retarded..
do you really think LSU would be at -17.5 if they played washington right now??
Posted on 9/17/09 at 11:57 am to LSUTANGERINE
quote:
LSUTANGERINE
quote:OK Nastroanus.
Guaranteed.
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