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Better upset chance, SJU over Duke or Arkansas over Arizona?
Posted on 3/23/26 at 9:17 am
Posted on 3/23/26 at 9:17 am
What say you? Both games appear to be bad matchups for the underdogs according to KenPom (as Arkansas doesn't usually play good defense), but something about these teams and coaches make me think they will both continue their runs. Would love to see a SJU/Arkansas championship game (Pitino vs Calipari would be epic old school vibes) but the odds of that happening are about 1 in 10,000.
This post was edited on 3/23/26 at 9:23 am
11
Posted on 3/23/26 at 9:23 am to GeneralLee
Arkansas over Arizona.
SJU over Duke is the better chance on paper due to Duke missing Foster, but there's just a blue blood mystique that makes teams unable to close them out.
SJU over Duke is the better chance on paper due to Duke missing Foster, but there's just a blue blood mystique that makes teams unable to close them out.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 9:33 am to karmew32
I think St. John’s can win provided they don’t get bent over by the officials. Just don’t know if Arkansas can get enough stops to win
Posted on 3/23/26 at 9:36 am to GeneralLee
If SJU can make shots i’ll take them to beat Duke. I don’t think you can beat them in a scrappy game like they had yesterday.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 9:47 am to karmew32
quote:
but there's just a blue blood mystique that makes teams unable to close them out.
No player is thinking about the mystique of Duke late in the game while trying to close them out. That would occur in the lead up to tipoff
Posted on 3/23/26 at 10:16 am to GeneralLee
Arkansas will roll. 3500 to 1. Easy money.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 10:20 am to how333
It's odd ... I trust Pitino to get scrappy and pull one out over Scheyer ... tough, in your face defense that raddles Duke, but I just can't get past the poor offense of St. John's. They'd have to shoot their best game of the year while hoping Duke goes cold.
So, I have to go with Arkansas here...they can run and play tempo and, on the right night, outpace and outscore Arizona.
So, I have to go with Arkansas here...they can run and play tempo and, on the right night, outpace and outscore Arizona.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 11:52 am to GeneralLee
SJU. Duke is just not that good folks.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 12:05 pm to GeneralLee
I will be betting money on Arkansas to win
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:20 pm to GeneralLee
I picked Arky to upset Arizona. If Acuff continues to play well, they are a tough team to stop
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:29 pm to GeneralLee
I picked Duke to the final, but I think St John’s is going to make them very uncomfortable with that aggressive D. The ACC was a trash league and Duke has looked very pedestrian outside of the final 10:00 v. TCU.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 1:44 pm to GeneralLee
No idea if this is right but surprising if so
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Posted on 3/23/26 at 9:24 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Pitino is great but Duke is huge, long and athletic on defense. That’s a bad combo for an already offensively challenged St John’s squad.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 10:13 pm to S
Blue bloods like Duke love scrappy games. The way to beat Duke is to force them into a beauty pageant, not a street fight. Same goes for beating UConn.
Posted on 3/23/26 at 11:03 pm to karmew32
quote:
Blue bloods like Duke love scrappy games
That’s what im saying. (The “they” i was referring to was St. Johns.)
Posted on 3/23/26 at 11:12 pm to karmew32
quote:
SJU over Duke is the better chance on paper due to Duke missing Foster, but there's just a blue blood mystique that makes teams unable to close them out.
Duke hasn’t been right since he went down.
Ngongba back helps but they were a shadow of the team that beat Michigan at the end of the year in the ACC tourney and still aren’t close to that ceiling IMO.
Only worry I have for Arizona is dealing with Acuff and a peaking Arkansas team.
But to be clear both Duke and Arizona should be considered solid favorites in both those games and are (-6.5 and -7.5).
Posted on 3/23/26 at 11:31 pm to how333
quote:
Arkansas will get rolled
Fify
Posted on 3/24/26 at 11:36 am to GeneralLee
Arkansas has no chance. Their interior D stinks and that's right in Arizona's wheelhouse. All they want to do is get inside.
Posted on 3/24/26 at 10:05 pm to GeneralLee
St. John’s doesn’t shoot very well
Posted on 3/24/26 at 10:06 pm to CWilken21
quote:
Their interior D stinks and that's right in Arizona's wheelhouse. All they want to do is get inside.
True, but I’m hoping our guards can pressure them and make it hard for them to go inside
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