Skip and Jay = Bear and Saban

Slow down. Let Jay coach

Does that make Paul Mainieri Gene Stallings and Smoke Laval Frank Perkins? Who gets to role play as Mike Dubose?

Who was Javi? Derek Dooley?

Good analogy

Where there’s smoke there’s fire.

quote:

---

SmoothBrain

---

FTFY

Folks will give you shite about the title - as they should. However, the content is correct, albeit very premature.

It is widely accepted that Saban surpassed the Bear as GOAT. It isn't that clear cut in baseball. Objective and subjective arguments can be made for Dedeaux, Augie, and Skip as the GOAT. There is no doubt these 3 are on college baseball's Mount Rushmore and will remain for a long time - potentially forever.

Therefore, this is the universe you look to put Jay in after 4 years. At this point, he is a damn strong candidate, and 1 of only 2 still coaching, but it is premature. Via an AI estimate there have been approximately 1500 coaches total that have had a chance to win a natty: 3 have won more than 3, 4 have won 3 (P. Casey being the most recent), and 10 have won 2 (with T. Corbin being the only other active coach).

Cumulatively, 43 of 1500 coaches have won a national title in baseball (2.87%). However, the aforementioned 17 coaches accounted for 52 natties or 67%. Jay currently exists in an elite class of coaches with 2 or more championships, comprising of 17 of 1500 coaches all time (1.1%).

To add a bit more context, the average amount of seasons between these coaches 1st and second natty was 3.75 to 4.35 years (depending upon how you account for A. Lopez and Augie at CSF and Texas). Regardless, the trend is this: across these 17 coaches that have multiple national championships the overwhelming majority win their first and second within 4 years or across 1 to 2 recruiting classes. The 3 GOATS did it across multiple recruiting classes, years, and decades.

Thus, while we can quantify that Jay Johnson is an elite coach and in the top 1.1% all time - based upon results, it is premature to put him in the same universe as Skip, Augie, and Dedeaux.

ChatGPT only got me to the 1500 coaches estimate.

Going back to the subjective/objective line, it is not hard to make an objective argument that Augie is the best. Five times, at 2 schools (albeit over 44 total years), and not only 4 decades but 4 to 5 different tourney formats. Skip does have one from the super regional format, but it was before the change to a 3 game final series.

You're DEAD WRONG. It's 99%+.