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Started By
Message
ADP: Payrolls up Only 22k in Jan-26
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:23 am
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:23 am
8
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:24 am to IMSA_Fan
And inflation is below 2% yet you dont want rate cuts?
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:25 am to SDVTiger
Where have you seen inflation south of 2%
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:25 am to IMSA_Fan
I think it’s only gonna get worse with AI taking jobs.
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:26 am to SDVTiger
quote:
And inflation is below 2% yet you dont want rate cuts?
I’ve seen no data that supports that.
This is a puzzling data set. We are having a boom in GDP growth but it is jobless. The GDP growth, with inflation running a little high at 2.7%, suggests we stand pat of fed rates. The joblessness suggests cuts. I don’t recall ever having seen this, and I’m starting to believe that Bessent might be correct and the GDP boom is due to historic productivity gains.
This post was edited on 2/4/26 at 7:30 am
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:28 am to IMSA_Fan
Companies appear to be getting tentative on hiring
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:38 am to SDVTiger
quote:
And inflation is below 2% yet you dont want rate cuts?
Nah
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:40 am to Penrod
quote:
This is a puzzling data set. We are having a boom in GDP growth but it is jobless. The GDP growth, with inflation running a little high at 2.7%, suggests we stand pat of fed rates. The joblessness suggests cuts. I don’t recall ever having seen this, and I’m starting to believe that Bessent might be correct and the GDP boom is due to historic productivity gains.
I don’t think it is that puzzling. It is pointing to the initial impacts of AI adoption in the American workforce
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:41 am to IMSA_Fan
quote:
Where have you seen inflation south of 2%
We are below 1% currently
Warsch thankfully understands that the data being used by the BLS is all BS especially shelter
https://truflation.com/marketplace/us-inflation-rate
Now we will get certain posters who will cry about Trudlation yet they believe the BLS
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:42 am to IMSA_Fan
Not bad considering AI
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:43 am to SDVTiger
Delete
This post was edited on 2/4/26 at 7:47 am
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:44 am to SDVTiger
it is 2.7.
Manufacturing jobs leading the slowdown, loss of 8,000 jobs.
Manufacturing jobs leading the slowdown, loss of 8,000 jobs.
This post was edited on 2/4/26 at 7:47 am
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:46 am to BigGreenTiger
quote:
it is 2.7
quote:
Who is Warsch and is he quite politically biased
The guy who is thankfully replacing too late who said inflation was transitory
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:50 am to tigersbh
quote:
I think it’s only gonna get worse with AI taking jobs.
There are still quite a few people who don't believe AI is going to lead to massive job losses in certain sectors of the economy.
Go on Youtube and watch the 2026 CES vids and you'll see what's coming with the latest AI, robotics and automation. For those in logistics, transportation, medical, accounting, etc. it's not great news.
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:51 am to SDVTiger
quote:
And inflation is below 2% yet you dont want rate cuts?
You really believe this shite?
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:51 am to IMSA_Fan
quote:
I don’t think it is that puzzling. It is pointing to the initial impacts of AI adoption in the American workforce
That's about the only explanation possible, at least if the next month’s data confirms the GDP growth. If it is true, then we are indeed late on Fed cuts. But if we cut the Fed rate we had better embrace budget austerity or else we will ignite inflation.
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:52 am to AirbusDawg
quote:
You really believe this shite?
You really believe the BLS?
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:52 am to IMSA_Fan
Maybe we should start by expelling 20 million illegals from the country.
Posted on 2/4/26 at 7:54 am to Penrod
quote:
That's about the only explanation possible, at least if the next month’s data confirms the GDP growth. If it is true, then we are indeed late on Fed cuts. But if we cut the Fed rate we had better embrace budget austerity or else we will ignite inflation.
How are rate cuts going to thwart the impacts of AI on the labor markets?
Posted on 2/4/26 at 8:20 am to Penrod
quote:
Bessent might be correct and the GDP boom is due to historic productivity gains.
This is not necessarily good if it’s due to things like AI boosting productivity
You end up in a situation of increased productivity and efficiency without the increase in jobs and real wages. AI computers don’t consume products. All this trend will do is siphon money from the middle class into the pockets of the elite few like Musk. Then when money starts running out there will be over abundance and everything will crash. Then it will be UBI and central planning and supply controls. Welcome to living in the pods and eating the bugs
AI is how they finally destroy the middle class and accomplish the WEF agenda
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