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O/U on number of years for SEC team to make ATL in a 5 roadie year?

Posted on 12/5/25 at 7:05 am
Posted by John cocktoasten
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2018
448 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 7:05 am
10? Bout right.
…. Not to mention the playoffs .. .bad times for the SEC. You’re going to see more parity in league rankings bc of alternating years of 5 road games across half the league. The 4 roadie half will dominate the rankings.
Posted by Tarpon08
Cut Off, LA
Member since Dec 2014
8039 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 7:31 am to
I know what you're asking but you'll get more responses if you type out your words in English.

I think your top team can get in in a year where they played 5 road games. I think 2019 LSU or 2020 Bama could have had 9 road games and still run the table.
Posted by Nutriaitch
Montegut
Member since Apr 2008
10566 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 7:33 am to
will depend on "which" 5 teams are your road games.
Posted by TexTgrTed
Parker County, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
6257 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 7:54 am to
It’s an absurd schedule approach.

There are 4 teams (UGA, UF, OU & UT) that will NEVER have a 5-road game year, so they have an advantage every year over the other 12 teams.

Go to a 4-4-1 schedule for all 16 teams.
Posted by Nutriaitch
Montegut
Member since Apr 2008
10566 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 7:58 am to
quote:

There are 4 teams (UGA, UF, OU & UT) that will NEVER have a 5-road game year, so they have an advantage every year over the other 12 teams.



how is that any different than the last forever years when those teams never had 4?
or in the opposite years where they never have 5 true home games?
Posted by Salviati
Member since Apr 2006
7155 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 7:58 am to
Home field usually translates to an additional 3-points to the home team in the spread, which yields about an additional 7% chance of winning.

Of course, the greater factor for computing percentage chance of winning is the opponent.

Accordingly, one half of the SEC having one additional away game should not have a particularly large impact on determining which two teams go the SECCG.
This post was edited on 12/5/25 at 8:04 am
Posted by BhamTigah
Lurker since Jan 2003
Member since Jan 2007
17339 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 7:58 am to
quote:

There are 4 teams (UGA, UF, OU & UT) that will NEVER have a 5-road game year, so they have an advantage every year over the other 12 teams.


They will also never have a 5 home game year, so it evens out.
Posted by IM_4_LSU
Savannah, GA
Member since Mar 2014
12624 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 8:07 am to
quote:

O/U on number of years for SEC team to make ATL in a 5 roadie year?


The way you have this worded is very poor.

I agree with you that it will be more difficult for the teams that have 5 SEC Road games in a season to make the SEC Championship but there are going to be years where teams are down where 5 Road games are not nearly as difficult as it seems prior to the season. It might not be every season someone with 5 SEC road games makes the SEC Championship but it won't be a seldom as you think.
Posted by Domeskeller
Astrodome
Member since Jun 2020
9678 posts
Posted on 12/5/25 at 8:08 am to
With the right mix of the other 4 road opponents, LSU could make it in a year it has to play at Arkansas. Same for Alabama if Auburn stays down.
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