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UTEP Study: Judges’ and referee calls favored Kansas City Chiefs from 2015-2023

Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:08 pm
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
38898 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:08 pm
quote:

EL PASO, Texas (Oct. 8, 2025) – A new study from The University of Texas at El Paso has uncovered how financial incentives may subtly shape officiating decisions in one of America’s most iconic institutions: the National Football League.

By analyzing more than 13,000 penalty calls from 2015 to 2023, researchers found that postseason officiating has disproportionately favored the Patrick Mahomes–era Kansas City Chiefs, coinciding with their rise as one of the NFL’s most marketable franchises.


quote:

“Our findings suggest that when the league’s financial health is at stake, rule enforcement may subtly shift to protect market appeal,” said Spencer Barnes Ph.D., assistant professor of finance in UTEP’s Woody L. Hunt College of Business and the lead author of the study. “The fact that postseason penalties consistently favored one franchise, while similar dynasties showed no such pattern, points to the powerful role of financial incentives in shaping supposedly neutral decisions.”


LINK
Posted by msutiger
Houston
Member since Jul 2008
71254 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:19 pm to
Now do a study on mid majors in the NCAA basketball tournament

And one of G5 schools playing on the road at a P5

I promise you will find the exact same results.
Posted by JetsetNuggs
Member since Jun 2014
15267 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

“Our findings suggest that when the league’s financial health is at stake, rule enforcement may subtly shift to protect market appeal,”


Posted by Dr RC
The Money Pit
Member since Aug 2011
60861 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:24 pm to
If the NFL was going to force a dynasty they wouldn't be doing it w/the #31 TV market.

This study sounds like it started w/a conclusion and worked it's way backwards to justify it.
This post was edited on 10/10/25 at 1:25 pm
Posted by Spelt it rong
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2012
10729 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

If the NFL was going to force a dynasty they wouldn't be doing it w/the #31 TV market.

With its #1 QB it absolutely would.
Posted by Dr RC
The Money Pit
Member since Aug 2011
60861 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:30 pm to
Except if you are purposely giving overly favorable calls to one team to help them win it heavily implies the QB of said team can't possibly the #1 QB in the game. So no, it really doesn't make sense. If they were going to force things they'd be making sure the Cowboys were going deep into the playoffs every year. There are 20+ teams in larger markets than the Chiefs. They are the kind of franchise that's more likely to threaten to move to a bigger market than to have a league wide conspiracy to aid them in winning.
This post was edited on 10/10/25 at 1:36 pm
Posted by gdzgft28
Member since Nov 2015
934 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:43 pm to
It only looked at defensive penalties during the playoffs. I’m sure they analyzed both offensive and defensive penalties but only published the defensive stats because they could massage the data enough to fit their narrative.
Posted by SludgeFactory
Middle of Nowhere
Member since Jun 2025
2079 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:51 pm to
Well no fricking shite.

Now do the SEC when it had a literal Bama alum running the show lol

The main reason I quit watching the NFL was how blatant the game fixing has become. I really and truly do not think it is a conspiracy at all since it is so obvious and in your face. They are entertainment, and they will leverage the officials to manufacture that drama if needed.

Just watching the KC offensive linemen false start and then literally tackle NFL all pro DEs all playoffs, then in Super Bowls (where they were not called for obvious penalties one time) should have alerted any average fan what the results were going to be lol

Then you factor in Taylor Swift and the additional hundreds of millions of dollars she brought in. The NFL did what was best for the NFL. You can't blame them.

ETA: Then the replays of what I saw from the Texans and Bills playoff games last year just floored me. I'm so glad I quit wasting hours of my life watching that. Also glad I never bet on this garbage either.
This post was edited on 10/10/25 at 1:53 pm
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
24876 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

purposely giving overly favorable calls to one team to help them win it heavily implies the QB of said team can't possibly the #1 QB in the game.


Or...and stay with me here, he was the most marketable and those favorable calls made him the #1 QB in the game. You can have both of those things be true. Stars in the NBA have always gotten calls so this wouldn't be that different
Posted by Champagne
Sabine Free State.
Member since Oct 2007
53128 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Our findings suggest that when the league’s financial health is at stake, rule enforcement may subtly shift to protect market appeal,”


Yes, I have noticed that as well. How did I do that? Because I'm not in a coma.
Posted by nvasil1
Hellinois
Member since Oct 2009
17317 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

If they were going to force things they'd be making sure the Cowboys were going deep into the playoffs every year.

Not necessarily. Getting favorable calls and taking advantage of favorable calls are two different things.
Posted by bcoop199
Kansas City, MISSOURI
Member since Nov 2013
8698 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 2:07 pm to
They should do a study on whether Michael Jordan and Tom Brady got favorable calls. Spoiler Alert....they did...I know it's shocking news.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
39992 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

coinciding with their rise as one of the NFL’s most marketable franchises.


What makes KC one of the NFL’s most marketable franchises?

Posted by AgCoug
Houston
Member since Jan 2014
6500 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

referee calls favored Kansas City Chiefs from 2015-2023

Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
89976 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 2:12 pm to
Aaron Jones
Posted by lionward2014
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2015
13236 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 2:23 pm to
Former UTEP offensive line coach Fat Andy won’t like this one bit.
Posted by CR4090
Member since Apr 2023
7917 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 3:35 pm to
Don't forget Swifty.
Posted by PrimeTime Money
Houston, Texas, USA
Member since Nov 2012
27799 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 6:35 pm to
I still can’t believe that non-call. It was the most blatant pass interference in the history of pass interference. It is the very definition of pass interference. It’s still unbelievable.
Posted by Scumbag from NewYork
Member since Aug 2025
87 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 6:40 pm to
they would've rigged the SB for KC had the game been competitive.
Posted by EphesianArmor
Member since Mar 2025
1927 posts
Posted on 10/10/25 at 7:00 pm to
quote:

“The fact that postseason penalties consistently favored one franchise... points to the powerful role of financial incentives in shaping supposedly neutral decisions.”




* cough DraftKings, Fan Duel, Vegas, NFL "Entertainment", Refs flags & non-calls *
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