Last 25 CFB Champions and Offensive Rankings

Will improve greatly with our next 3 opponents.

Ole Miss & SC don’t have good defenses. It looks like Vandy will be our next big test

it’s early in the season.

Right now allowing 19 PPG makes you the 53rd ranked defense.

If you aren’t scoring 40ppg you’re not in the top 30 in scoring

well that doesn’t hold up over a season.

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Right now allowing 19 PPG makes you the 53rd ranked defense.

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Did I miss something? Who is allowing 19 ppg? Not LSU for sure.


Edit: I think I know what you are getting at now.

Regression to the mean will certainly unfold as competition balances.

Looking into this, I found the Simple Rating System "SRS" on sports-reference: a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

ATM, Miami, LSU, Houston and Ole Miss are your top 5. Here's a LINK

I share in the concerns of LSU's offensive woes to date, but digging into the available data suggests stiff competition and greener pastures ahead. With the fact that no one can predict the future, I'll focus on these points to remain positive and steadfast in my support. Hoping for some fireworks on Saturday night.

Let’s look at these after a full slate of conference games and once teams are through with the rent a win games. Also, Vegas disagrees with you and has LSU a top five favorite right now to win the Championship.

So you are assuming a bad offense will out perform a bad defense? One of which will be on the road at night.

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it’s early in the season.

Right now allowing 19 PPG makes you the 53rd ranked defense.

If you aren’t scoring 40ppg you’re not in the top 30 in scoring

well that doesn’t hold up over a season.

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Last year LSU was top 20 in ypg...and ~50th in ppg. Sloan's offense moved the ball but was inefficient when it came to scoring points. This year they aren't really moving the ball NOR are they scoring points.

For reference, here are ppg rankings for last year's CFP teams

(2) Indiana
(5) Notre Dame
(7) Boise St
(8) Oregon
(9) Ohio St
(13) SMU
(19) Clemson
(22) Penn St
(24) Texas
(26) Tennessee
(37) Georgia

LSU has the defense to be a championship team. But this offensive output isn't going to cut it. It's not plays. It's not players. It's the crappy overall approach by the OC. We now have 16 games of data to reflect that. Luckily, there is still time to adjust the approach. But if he doesn't this will be 2023 all over again.

I agree, it is a small sample size. Vegas and I also agree, LSU has a good chance at competing for a championship. If LSU is to WIN the championship, history suggests the offense will be in the top 50. I can't predict the future, my personal opinion is that the offense will continue to improve and end up similar to last season which would qualify for a championship. I'll revisit this at the end of October and we can see if you, Vegas and I are on track to be right together.

Not even gonna touch on SELA

Ole Miss & SC don’t have stingy defenses. We will score on them.

Ole Miss is 13th in SEC giving up 65 pts (21.67 ppg). Giving up 381.7 yds/g (15th out of 16)

South Carolina is 10th in SEC giving up 52 pts (17.33 ppg). Giving up 309.7 yds/g (11th out of 16).

Vandy is looking like our next toughest test, but they play @ Bama on 10/4.

A&M’s defense has NOT been good either (currently ranked 13th & 15th in SEC)