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Economically: could the USA be split in half to two ‘countries’ & have similar GDP?

Posted on 7/25/25 at 12:40 am
Posted by Bison
Truth or Consequences
Member since Dec 2016
1301 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 12:40 am
If you split the USA in roughly equal halves : Louisiana to Minnesota east in American A; vs Texas* to North Dakota west is America B …

*BUT in Texas everything north/east of Colorado River goes with America A:

Which GDP would come out on top if American (east) and American (west) each functioned as 2 separate countries?

Cross Trade would be allowed. So consider who has the most valuable commodities.


Posted by Artificial Ignorance
Member since Feb 2025
1424 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 12:53 am to
Which side does Trump and his tariffs go?

Matters.
Posted by Snoop Dawg
Member since Sep 2009
2842 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 1:04 am to
Both sides lose in a split.
Posted by jennBN
Member since Jun 2010
3242 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 1:04 am to
The left side is all the resources and food. the right side is gonna have some problems.
Posted by Bison
Truth or Consequences
Member since Dec 2016
1301 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 1:31 am to
quote:

Which side does Trump and his tariffs go?


Imagine both countries have a Conservative moderate in office who’s only goal is to grow the GDP.
This is an economic , non political, theoretical.

You can trade with other countries too.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30006 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 1:50 am to
Assuming no ill will and basically free trade between them the East would likely have a much larger GDP.

I think there are only 3 western states and the portion of TX you assigned that are in the top half of GDP now. With no reason to ship trade away from each other those numbers would stay more or less stable at the split and probably follow the same path seperate in the future as they would without the split.














Posted by Artificial Ignorance
Member since Feb 2025
1424 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 2:50 am to
I say East by a nose

GDP

Services:
Finance (East)
insurance (East)
real estate (East)
healthcare (East)
education (East)
retail (West)
hospitality (West)
tech services (West)

Manufacturing (East)

Energy revenue (West)

Agriculture (West)

Construction (East)

Tech (West)




Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
48964 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 6:54 am to
West wins. Apple alone would account for at least a third.
Posted by TDTOM
Member since Jan 2021
24484 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 6:57 am to
Whoever has CA with a republican governor wins.
Posted by CHGAR
Haile, LA
Member since Aug 2022
1245 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 8:20 am to
quote:

Whoever has CA with a republican governor wins.


Whoever has CA with a democrat governor loses.
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
90285 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 8:28 am to
quote:

The left side is all the resources
yup, California alone swamps the rest of the states, especially as far as GDP.
Posted by Dadren
Jawja
Member since Dec 2023
3042 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 8:33 am to
With no trade barriers, I’m not sure I can see how one would be materially better off. West has all the tech output and east is the financial center. I’d think they’d both be all right.
Posted by bad93ex
Walnut Cove
Member since Sep 2018
33970 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 8:36 am to
Taking this further, if you were to put up the Big Ten vs. SEC in GDP, what does the comparison of GDP look like?
Posted by Adajax
Member since Nov 2015
8180 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 8:50 am to
What's the point unless you move all progs to one side and conservatives to the other. If anything it would be an interesting experiment.

Posted by jodyHighroller
TD Premium Member
Member since Apr 2016
714 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 8:51 am to
Big10 by a landslide considering they now have ucla and usc.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
20089 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Both sides lose in a split.

This is obviously true from a GDP standpoint but might not at all be true when measured from an average taxpayer standpoint if a full conservative populist platform were enacted resulting in reduced taxes, increased wages and job creation.

I’d argue we do a horrible job of spending tax revenue in this nation because half the country is buying voters via social programs and the lobbyists play off our political divide to further divert spending to donor projects that don’t benefit the average tax payer.
Posted by Bison
Truth or Consequences
Member since Dec 2016
1301 posts
Posted on 7/25/25 at 2:35 pm to
What about tourism?

West has all the national parks.

Who has more oil? Natural resources to sell off?
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