Page 1
Page 1
Started By
Message

Economic ramifications of Israel/Iran conflict

Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:08 pm
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:08 pm
"Economic ramifications of Israel/Iran conflict:

1. Oil prices could rise as high as $130/barrel, per JP Morgan

2. Iran currently produces 3.3 million barrels of oil per day, or ~3.5% of global supply

3. Oil at $130 would likely double US CPI inflation to ~5%

4. Interest rate cuts likely to be delayed further as a result

5. Strait of Hormuz shutdown seen as worst case scenario

Without immediate de-escalation of this conflict, the global economy shift."






Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:12 pm to
We could simply not depend on that oil and open ours up. Our world doesn’t need to rely on them and others. Hence the tariffs
Posted by TigersHuskers
Nebraska
Member since Oct 2014
14400 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:14 pm to
Anything for our greatest ally!!!
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
69174 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:18 pm to
We don’t depend on that oil, Europe and Asia does. However, oil is an international market, so supply disruptions over there will inevitably cause prices to rise everywhere else.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
92598 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:21 pm to
If we opened up our own oil along with Canada we should all be paying a $1

Couldnt we also just be the worlds supplier raking in so much money
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

We could simply not depend on that oil 


We don't depend on it now but other countries do. Oil is a world market hence why JP Morgan said prices could reach $130. Not to mention we couldn't fully replace Iran's supply and what we could increase would take months.


"If Iran's oil supply is disrupted, the U.S. has the capacity to partially replace it, but fully offsetting the loss would be challenging and depend on several factors. Iran produces around 3.3 million barrels per day (bpd), about 3% of global supply, with exports over 2 million bpd, mostly to China.

U.S. Capability:

The U.S. is the world's largest oil producer, with output around 13 million bpd in 2024, and has significant spare capacity. However, ramping up production quickly is constrained by infrastructure, investment, and logistics.

U.S. shale oil, primarily from the Permian Basin, can increase output, but scaling up by 2–3 million bpd would likely take months, not weeks, due to drilling and completion timelines.



This post was edited on 6/15/25 at 12:23 pm
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40006 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

We could simply not depend on that oil and open ours up.


It’s more open now than ever in history.

We’ve been setting production records for like 3 years running now.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

If we opened up our own oil along with Canada we should all be paying a $1 Couldnt we also just be the worlds supplier raking in so much money


Correct. But here we are having simps worry about global prices. frick them we have the most powerful military yet we are suckers.
Posted by TigerMyth36
River Ridge
Member since Nov 2005
40910 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:26 pm to
Same JP Morgan predicted $100 - $180 oil if Russian Ukraine war happened. Last time I checked we had the war but never got close to the projections.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40006 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

Correct. But here we are having simps worry about global prices. frick them we have the most powerful military yet we are suckers.


Are you in the industry?
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
92598 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:31 pm to
Its really incredible. I start to think that King Orange should just take both Can/Mex make it the Amero and rule as a constututional monarch
Posted by Bayoutigre
29.9N 92.1W
Member since Feb 2007
5893 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 12:47 pm to
it`s all fake
Posted by trinidadtiger
Member since Jun 2017
18446 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 1:33 pm to
If monkeys could fly out......

They might as well have started the article with "sources say".....

China needs to worry not the rest of the world, and the rest of the middle east can take up that slack.

Straits of Hormuz.....didnt the houthis just beg the US to stop slapping their arses like a well used horse? Yeah they want no part of it, and since Iran cant even protect shat in their own town I doubt they will venture there either.
Posted by honeybadger07
The Woodlands
Member since Jul 2015
3670 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 2:14 pm to
My bonus doubles and that far exceeds any prices hikes… soooo I’ll selfishly take that


Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
170314 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

We could simply not depend on that oil and open ours up.

It's a global fungible commodity you retard

We're already a net exporter. That still doesn't change the calculus on prices.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
20984 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 2:21 pm to
Folks are so damn shortsighted......
Especially those infected with the ailment known as TDS.

Let's talk about the ramifications if Iran is allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon!
Posted by Pecos Pedro
Member since Nov 2024
745 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 3:12 pm to
Another spam post by Chicom John.

Grok says once again you are a fricking retard.

LINK

Seriously, run every tweet you see that makes your little pecker hard through grok before you run to TD to start a thread.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
20984 posts
Posted on 6/15/25 at 3:16 pm to
quote:


Let's talk about the ramifications if Iran is allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon!

Replyreplies0...
up vote 0. down vote 2


Lol.... 2 downvotes. I know, it's a scary thought.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 1Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram