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I have not felt this good about LSU football since 2019. A breakdown as to why:

Posted on 5/5/25 at 1:52 pm
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6416 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 1:52 pm
Since 2020, I've done a lot of research before each season and have not really felt we had all the pieces since 2020 every pre-season. I feel it this year.

Start with last year's final 4 teams all had defenses that finished top 10-ish in the country. It was obvious especially after having arguably one of the greatest offenses of all time (Jayden set FBS passer rating record, 46 ppg) in 2023 and 4, high 1st round picks, 2nd round TE, that it can't be done without a defense. 2023 Ole Miss was evidence enough.

What we addressed on Defense:

A fantastic transfer class. My hat is off to BK. He saw what our weaknesses were. Said, F it, if I don't get enough money to buy them, then I'll put up $1,000,000 of my own money. Huge respect there. DBs were by far weakest point on the team. What does BK do? Replaces all of them. Mansoor Delane, 1st round mock draft pick, 4 picks 2 FF, will start. DJ Pickett will start imo. He's too impactful like Stingley was to bench. AJ Haulcy, 5 INTs, 7 PD, will play Safety. Tamarcus Cooley, 3 INTs, 2 FF, is another great pickup.

Just like that BK in just 3 DBs, picks up 12 INTs and 5 Force Fumbles. That's 1.5 turnovers a game JUST IN 3 PLAYERS. Not even counting Pickett. I have a feeling this team will average 2.5 turnovers or more a game on Defense, which is HUGE.

Patrick Payton is a huge get. Massive guy with high speed. 16 sacks over his career. Our weakest spot on Defense will be the other weak side DE either Pyburn or Reliford. DT's Dominick McKinley will be an absolute unit. Only played 4 games last year and had 3 sacks. That's 9 sacks extrapolated over a season which is just insane from the DT position to have to clear a huge pile to get through. He's healthy now and is huge. Going to need Ahmad Breaux and Reliford to step up big. We have 2 elite, 5-star level on Dline though which is huge and takes pressure off other guys.

Linebackers, not much needed to say here. Whit Weeks is playing to get a 1st round draft pick. Gives 110% every play. I know the stereotypical "has a high motor" phrase could be used here, but it's 110% applicable. Have no worries about him other than injury. If healthy, he'll be a force. Harold Perkins. A name that was once touted a top 5 pick, and now it seems he's not even a presence on the team. Look, he's too talented, and FINALLY has defensive help. DB's will lock up passing game, so he has free roam to do what he wants, and that's QB spy. I think what we saw in 2022 Arkansas will be happening again due to our huge pickups in DB. He had a lot of responsibility dropping back in coverage because Sage Ryan and the likes. This will free him up to go full spring on the QB, which is huge. Putting pressure on the QB has severely lacked for a while now. It will be back.

Offense:

I have zero worries about Offense.

We will have by far the fastest WR group in the country. No one else will come close. Aaron Anderson will break 1,000 yards. Chris Hilton is healthy. He played 2 healthy games last year and went for over 200 yards and 3 TDs and absolutely burnt every defender. No one could keep up with him last 2 games. Nic Anderson has only played 1 year for OU. 2023 he put up 800 yards and 10 TDs as a Freshman. Biggest stat: 21 ypc. An absolute burner. He was injured all last year, but 6'4" 220 lbs and 21 ypc sounds like Brian Thomas Jr to me. Barrion Brown, a luxury to have your 4th string run a 4.3 (or faster) that has 5 kickoffs returned, averaging over 30 yards per kickoff return and will be a reliable 400 to 500 yard guy. Trey'Dez will have a Mason Taylor type stat year. Big for red zone.

Can't overstate the speed at WR. Malik and BTJ ran 4.3 40s. Speed this team will have will absolute kill opponents. Expect as many 25+ yard plays as 2023 Fall who averaged a #1 overall 46 points per game
Aaron Anderson: 4.3 40
Chris Hilton: 4.3 40
Nic Anderson: I assume 4.4 40 with 21 ypc
Barrion Brown: 4.3 40
TreyDez Green: Not a burner, but a unit that is huge in red zone

RB, Caden Durham is all that needs to be said. The guy turned what should of been LOS runs from our bad run blocking into 30 yard TDs. I would like to see Caden get 75% of handoffs. Harlem Berry, 5 star, coming in at 2nd string. I can't say I know too much about Harlem Berry, if anyone has watched him in New Orleans, please detail what you think. Kaleb Jackson at 3rd string. Kaleb will have to show that he can carry a ball without running into the back of an offensive lineman or right into the pile. He has to work on vision and lateral agility. Without it, he won't find himself getting any handoffs.

OLine - You're going to have to forgive me, but even a seasoned veteran fan will still have some issue scouting an O Line simply because you pay attention to the ball in football which O Line doesn't get. You only really notice if the QB gets sacked or the QB has 8 seconds to throw. I have more faith in DJ Chester than most here. He'll be off center so don't have to worry about Center induced penalties, but he was a great blocker. I never saw Nuss get sacked from the nose guard position coming through Chester. Tyree Adams, well I never noticed him letting up sacks, and if you can say that about an OL, then he's doing pretty well. OL will absolutely have to run block better. With Nuss having experience and threats at WR, I think that could happen naturally to open up run game. We have 2 highly rated 4 star OL transfer, can't speak to them. Weston Davis, I didn't see much of him last year. Our skill position is so deep this year, that I am comfortable with the level of talent we have on the OL.

Grand finale, Nuss. I have faith in NUSS BUS. He comes across to me as a coachable player. One who will learn from his mistakes in the off season. The coachable players like Burrow and Jayden made strides in the past. I don't see why Nuss wouldn't make a stride up. Will he be as good as those 2? Well those were heisman's and put up potentially the best 2 seasons every by any QB (yes Jayden set FBS Passer Rating record vs a Top 10 SOS). I could see Nuss putting up a Jaxon Dart type passing yards. 180+ passer rating. Very, very solid season. I think he will be good enough and have enough talent that yes, he could win a Nati.


Upside: 12-0 Expected: 10-2 Downside: 9-3

Losses: @ Clemson and @ Bama. If we win on the road at Clemson week 1, 11-1 will be the record. I know it'd suck so bad to lose 6 straight home openers, but Clemson has top 5 talent, and it is on the road. Can't ask for a shittier week 1 matchup. Big donors needs to talk to AD/BK about that has to end. Luckily, I don't see any top 10 matchups after Clemson in '26.

10-2 with our schedule will get you a 1st round bye. Probably a 5 or 6 seed. That means very first CFP game in Baton Rouge, first ever in December? I don't know.

Chance to make CFP: 75%

Chance to make Nati game: 30%
This post was edited on 5/5/25 at 1:59 pm
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
50482 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 1:52 pm to
Can we beat clemson
Posted by chadr07
Pineville, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
10479 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 1:53 pm to
All that typing just to see LSU go 9-3 at best this year again
Posted by tigerbait1.6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2013
4183 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 1:54 pm to
Don't NEED to, but a win at Clemson would be huge for this team. OL is a question, as well as Nuss' decision-making. If he takes a Burrow/Daniels year 2 leap, we could be in for a very special season. I'm ready to just sit back and enjoy te ride, because it should be a fun season none the less
Posted by MasterAbe1
Member since Oct 2016
5871 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 1:55 pm to
The defense is what gives me hope. We made strides last year, but against better teams it was evident we didn’t have the horses to keep up.

As long as the offense doesn’t give short fields and we can establish some balance on offense, we’re going to be fine there.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
29326 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 1:57 pm to
Clemson, SC is where the keys of the kingdom are housed. Win there, and the sky's the limit. Lose, and a tailspin is possible, with several formidable SEC foes looming before the big event in Tuscaloosa.
Posted by Saunson69
Member since May 2023
6416 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 1:58 pm to
Reading comprehension. 10-2. Being realistic. That still gets you a 1st round bye in the playoffs.
Posted by Gings5
Member since Jul 2016
9359 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:06 pm to
I also think this team can be great. We may not beat Clemson but they’ll be solid once the team gels. Defense should be the best it’s been in years. Nuss is gonna slang it. Only question mark is the oline with losing so much talent from last year.

Playoff or bust kinda year.
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
6394 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

I have zero worries about Offense.


I like your optimism, but the biggest concern I have is the o-line. It's tough to replace four guys, including two elite tackles. Particularly when you have a QB who has shown mind-numbing reluctance to run with the ball.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
32073 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Don't NEED to, but a win at Clemson would be huge for this team.


If LSU loses at Clemson the margin for error to reach the CFP gets MUCH thinner. At that point, LSU likely has to go 7-1 in SEC play considering reaching the CFP with more than 2 losses might be a tough task. Does LSU absolutely have to win at Clemson to reach the CFP? No. But doing so makes their path much more realistic if they do.

This is the most optimistic I've felt about an LSU team since...2023. Going into that season LSU was returning at 5th year starting QB and the majority of their offense. All while teams like Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee were replacing veteran QBs. Given the defense performed relatively well in 2022, even carrying LSU in some games, I didn't expect such a massive drop-off in 2023. And it took a massive drop-off to keep LSU out of the SEC championship race given just how great the offense was.

The transfers on the defensive side ahead of this year suggest BK learned from 2023 and he's not taking chances with unproven and/or players with minimal production. He knows productive 5th year starting QBs with multiple years in your program are a rarity now. Last year wasn't ever likely to be a championship year because of so much "new"...even though as fans we always convince ourselves every offseason it will be. This year is different. This is an "all in" year for LSU. Anything less than a CFP appearance will be a big disappointment.
Posted by Jebadeb
Member since Oct 2017
5324 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:18 pm to
OL is a huge question mark. There are few other question marks as well (Safety, DL). We need guys to step up.
Posted by iwyLSUiwy
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
38282 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

Don't NEED to, but a win at Clemson would be huge for this team


100% have to beat Clemson. A loss at Clemson would tell us all we need to know about this team, that they won't be able to win in the SEC.
Posted by markthetiger
alexandria
Member since Aug 2005
1075 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:25 pm to
Correct! you have to beat Clemson. There are 5/6 games that are tough outs and Clemson is one of them. You lose the first game of the year to one of those then you have to go 4-1 or 5-0 on the others....ain't happening
Posted by grich31
Youngsville, La
Member since May 2008
1607 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:27 pm to
Offense worry has to be OL replacing 4 starters who were drafted and still couldn’t run the ball with that veteran group is worrying, unless this OL steps up in run game and maintains the pass blocking, 10-2 or 9-3 is ceiling but if OL steps up then yes 11-1 is very possible
Posted by JerryTheKingBawler
South of Memphis
Member since Jan 2023
4982 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Can we beat clemson

No, haven’t you heard they have SIX FIRST ROUND DRAFT PICKS???
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
35334 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:32 pm to
I’m riding.



We’ve added where we need To add.


Now we let coaches game plan for fall. That’s all we can do.
Posted by White Tiger
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
13167 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:32 pm to
Another opening season loss. That's different. I have no idea what to expect from this team. Both sides are question marks but that is true of everyone else.

Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
25418 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:36 pm to
quote:

RB, Caden Durham is all that needs to be said


He is really good! What happens if he goes down the first half of the Clemson game out 6 tp 8 weeks, god forbid for the year?

Behind him there a kid that is legally blind and two true freshman that have no idea how pass protection works.
Posted by topherbrown21
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
316 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

I have not felt this good about LSU football since (insert year)


Never heard that one before
Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
5849 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 2:43 pm to
Hard to feel good when they can’t win the opening game.
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