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Closing on Home- Interest Rate Forecast

Posted on 4/16/25 at 2:09 pm
Posted by SmokinBurger
Bayou Self
Member since Sep 2021
495 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 2:09 pm
Coming up on the end of our build by the end of this month. Construction loan is through July. Do I close now or wait it out to see if the rates will be lower? Don't know what to do at this point, need help.
Posted by Upperdecker
St. George, LA
Member since Nov 2014
32702 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 2:10 pm to
Magic 8 ball says… you’ll make the wrong decision either way. Just go with your gut and accept it as your best guess, then don’t beat yourself up if it ends up being wrong
Posted by SmokinBurger
Bayou Self
Member since Sep 2021
495 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 2:14 pm to
You have a good point. I'm just stressed thinking about it.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
44875 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 2:37 pm to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93160 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 2:53 pm to
Just refinance it now and it rates drop refi again
Posted by Artificial Ignorance
Member since Feb 2025
1424 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 3:59 pm to
10 year treasury yield is your canary in cave.
Feathers are flying.

IMO, propensity for Mortgage rate Upside (higher) risk > downside (lower) gain.

Bond traders have spoken.
Posted by BigOrangeVols
Knoxville
Member since Jul 2015
3082 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 4:02 pm to
I locked mine in the other week per my lender's advice, though my closing is in May so not the same timetable. Seems like a crapshoot to predict.
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
28178 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

Magic 8 ball says… you’ll make the wrong decision either way.




Always worked for me!

Fall in love with the house, not the rate. Can refi later...much much much much later.
Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7361 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 4:43 pm to
I would probably risk it at this point but nobody knows what Trump will say next.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35394 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 4:47 pm to
Get a consensus from this thread and do the opposite.
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
28178 posts
Posted on 4/16/25 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

I would probably risk it at this point


Sure. We are a ways away of from the "long term gain" part.
Posted by pwejr88
Red Stick
Member since Apr 2007
37574 posts
Posted on 4/17/25 at 6:30 am to
Interest rates went up this past Monday.
I would lock in now with a bank that keeps the loan in-house.
Save up cash so if you need to refi, you don’t have to roll in the closing costs.
And if you refi with the same bank that already has your info on file, it’ll save you a lot of closing costs
Posted by Harry Boutte
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2024
3702 posts
Posted on 4/17/25 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Fall in love with the house, not the rate. Can refi later...much much much much later.

I wouldn't wait too long, you're paying mostly interest up front. You might have already paid 25% of the total interest in just the first 5 years.
Posted by MyRockstarComplex
The airport
Member since Nov 2009
4881 posts
Posted on 4/18/25 at 5:16 am to
Overextend yourself on a 5 year ARM. Houses always appreciate and interest rates always go down.

By the way, what did you think about the series finale of The Sopranos and have you heard that iPods are about to be phones?
Posted by bama1959
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2008
5029 posts
Posted on 4/19/25 at 7:19 am to
The answer is in DOGE execution. Do you believe Elon can knock out $1T in government spending? If so, rates will be down significantly next year so get a 3 or 5 year ARM. If we cut spending less than say $500B then we are still facing extreme rate pressure from our federal debt.

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