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Do EV companies like Rivian or Lucid have a gameplan to cut costs?

Posted on 12/30/24 at 7:58 pm
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 12/30/24 at 7:58 pm
I'm sure these companies could make you a good profit if you got in today and they somehow figured out a damn way to make profit but their financials are horrible. Lucid particularly. $200 mil in Revenue, $1.2 bil in opex, losing a bil last quarter. How do you even come back from something like that? Why was Elon successful in it? Rivian at least does a bil a quarter in revenue, but quarterly revenue is down 30% since Q1 2024. It also loses $1 bil in net income a quarter.

What's the concept here? That they just sell a shite ton down the road to get opex per unit down? Just seems like a company that won't ever profit unless they have 5%+ of the entire car market to themselves each.

Hilarious how these companies bring in under 2% of the revenue that Ford gets per year, yet they are worth 25-33% of Ford each. That's a 12-17x premium over Nati for just being an EV.

I at least get the Quantum multiples because it does seem like it could be a huge market with software/AWS/AI type net income margins, but Rivian and Lucid seem they are Mt Himalaya away from ever turning a profit.
This post was edited on 12/30/24 at 8:05 pm
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40212 posts
Posted on 12/30/24 at 8:19 pm to
Lucid is backed by saudi so until that changes they have a practically unlimited money supply
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
51048 posts
Posted on 12/30/24 at 8:21 pm to
quote:

How do you even come back from something like that? Why was Elon successful in it?


Building a car company from scratch with manufacturing is extremely capital intensive.

Elon had first mover advantage but people seem to forget most never thought he would ever turn a profit. Tesla was not even profitable from selling cars until very recently. Tesla was the benefactor of selling billions of regulatory credits to other car companies who had not made any transition to making electric vehicles yet. That window obviously has closed for new entrants into the space. Also like the new deal rivian received, Tesla took almost 500 million from the government to help build is it's manufacturing base.

Due to the costs of starting alone not sure anyone makes it without some sort of help.

I think lucid doesn't seem to be a on strong position yet.. Rivian sales are stronger and was able to get the loan from the US government to help build it's manufacturing plant in Georgia.. They have to keep their plants in the USA though unlike Tesla which transitioned to China very quickly

Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4446 posts
Posted on 12/30/24 at 8:40 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/25/25 at 12:07 pm
Posted by AllDayEveryDay
Nawf Tejas
Member since Jun 2015
9280 posts
Posted on 12/30/24 at 10:29 pm to
Elon also had a metric crap ton of government subsidies to help him along from 2012 to basically now. I remember they knocked about 30k off a Tesla three early on.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
18762 posts
Posted on 12/31/24 at 12:32 am to
I think in a nutshell they just need to be able to sell a ton of cars to spread the capex out.
But will require more capex to do so.
Tough spot for a company tight on cash.
Posted by Longhorn Actual
Member since Dec 2023
2871 posts
Posted on 12/31/24 at 7:14 am to
quote:

cut costs?


quote:

EV companies


Why would taxpayer funded boondoggles need to cut costs?
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7578 posts
Posted on 12/31/24 at 7:18 am to
In theory the batteries and the components of those batteries should become cheaper over time because companies will emerge that compete on that front and make them cheaper + more efficient.

Could take a LONG time though.
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4446 posts
Posted on 12/31/24 at 10:26 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/25/25 at 12:06 pm
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
7578 posts
Posted on 12/31/24 at 11:49 am to
quote:

We’re at a point where every device with a battery is simply discarded as soon as it loses a charge.


That seems wasteful. I can't remember the last product that wasn't a cellphone that I got rid of for battery issues.
Posted by LSUregit
Member since Dec 2013
1663 posts
Posted on 12/31/24 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

Elon



You mean Kekius Maximus
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4446 posts
Posted on 12/31/24 at 4:24 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/25/25 at 12:06 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40200 posts
Posted on 1/2/25 at 10:27 am to
Cap ex up front is tremendous.
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