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Southeast Severe Weather: 12/28 - 12/29

Posted on 12/28/24 at 6:24 am
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
48860 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 6:24 am
Outlook for 12/29:







Current Regional Radar:

This post was edited on 12/29/24 at 12:04 am
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42841 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 6:29 am to
Already a healthy cell northwesst of Baton Rouge near New Roads, tons of lightning
Posted by Odysseus32
Member since Dec 2009
8602 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 6:36 am to
Should be an update to the SPC Day 1 in about 25 minutes. Waiting for it eagerly. Radar shows the storm more disorganized.
Posted by Twincam
Member since Nov 2021
866 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 6:49 am to
It's going to be a long day in central MS.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42841 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 6:54 am to
Posted by BabyTac
Austin, TX
Member since Jun 2008
14466 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 6:58 am to
The weather outside is…. Weather.
Posted by joeymg90
Pollock
Member since Nov 2017
277 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:00 am to
How do yall think this day pans out?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
48860 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:00 am to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42841 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:01 am to
Any sustained, discrete supercell in this environment will pose a
threat for cyclic, strong tornado production. As the primary
convective band organizes and moves into increasing moisture and
LLJ-enlarged hodographs in low levels this evening, embedded
LEWP/bowing features may produce both severe gusts and tornadoes.
The cumulative tornado threat suggests maintaining "moderate" level
probabilities with this outlook cycle, but enough uncertainty
remains to preclude a greater unconditional risk area.
As the event
proceeds through the overnight hours, one or two dominant QLCSs
should continue across AL and into portions of GA and the FL
Panhandle, with a threat persisting for embedded severe gusts and at
least a few tornadoes.
Posted by NOLA1128
Member since Dec 2011
3697 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:09 am to
Got gnarly in the Port Hudson area.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42841 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:11 am to
That rotation passed directly over Port hudson
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
47671 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:11 am to
Over in Ponchatoula we have been getting a lot of lightning and alittle thunder since about 5:30am. Not much rain, looks like it will be a rough day if predictions hold up.
Posted by Question
Member since May 2020
297 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:21 am to
Need to travel back to LC from Covington today. I can be flexible on when I leave. Better to leave this morning or wait til later?
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
47671 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:28 am to
quote:

Need to travel back to LC from Covington today. I can be flexible on when I leave. Better to leave this morning or wait til later?


I would check radar and get on the road as early as possible. Less traffic and you can take your time in case you need pull off it gets bad. Typical weather gets worse as the day goes along in situations like this.
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
164531 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:38 am to
Death, taxes, late December severe weather in the south.

So gay
Posted by sledgehammer
SWLA
Member since Oct 2020
5547 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:49 am to
The yard never dries up this time of year plus you get crawfish holes. More rain today after the deluge night before last. Yippee!
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
43438 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 7:49 am to
that storm that moved over Hammond about 630 was intense but thankfully short. Crazy lightning and a little hail
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65855 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 8:09 am to
SPC just keeps increasing the moderate risk area at every update
Posted by chinhoyang
Member since Jun 2011
25066 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 8:10 am to
Weird here .... Very dense fog, raining, thunder and a nearby likely approaching severe thunderstorm. I was about to take a late pasture walk when I heard the thunder.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65855 posts
Posted on 12/28/24 at 8:16 am to
quote:

SLIGHT Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...New Orleans, LA...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX..

This is one thing that aggravates me about the SPC. They will lazily just list key cities in concerned areas based solely on population.
Here you see Dallas, Ft. Worth AND Arlington all listed. Rarely would you ever get a area of concern and not be either all 3 adjacent cities or none of the 3.
In this case today, by picking solely on population, cities like Birmingham and Huntsville, AL are not listed.
This post was edited on 12/28/24 at 8:18 am
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