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Trump margin shift by state, 2020 vs 2024.

Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:38 am
Posted by Night Vision
Member since Feb 2018
18964 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:38 am
Posted by TheBeezer
Texas
Member since Apr 2013
1963 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:41 am to
California and NY shifted by 12%. Imagine how bad the shift would have been if 100's of thousands of conservatives hadn't moved out of those Blue state in the past 4 years.
Posted by Limitlesstigers
Lafayette
Member since Nov 2019
3803 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:45 am to
The most surprising thing is that he only lost Jersey by 5 points.
Posted by BHTiger
Charleston
Member since Dec 2017
8404 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:52 am to
NC and GA disappointing as usual.
Posted by PaperTiger
Ruston, LA
Member since Feb 2015
26323 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:54 am to
Washington. You were so close
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
14239 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 11:55 am to
quote:


NC and GA disappointing as usual.


Demographics continue to get worse every year for the GOP in these states, especially GA. ATL, Charlotte and Raleigh are to blame.
Posted by MidWestGuy
Illinois
Member since Nov 2018
1805 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 1:16 pm to
Even Minnesota, with Tim Walz on the ticket, had a +2.9 point move to the red.

Oh, that's right - Tim Walz was on the ticket. :)

10 states had a lesser shift than MN, all the way down to a negative 0.3 for WA .
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26155 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Even Minnesota, with Tim Walz on the ticket, had a +2.9 point move to the red.


Well there’s probably a national swing of around 6 points to the right from 2020 so relative to the national environment, Minnesota and the other swing states moved a little to the left this election.

Georgia went from being 4 points right of the national vote in 2020 to 4 points left of it in 2024.
Posted by inelishaitrust
Oxford, MS
Member since Jan 2008
26155 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

NC and GA disappointing as usual.


Will most likely be to the left of PA, WI, and MI going forward.
Posted by John Casey
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2016
3719 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 1:41 pm to
Need this chart again once all votes have been counted.
Posted by Happygilmore
Happy Place
Member since Mar 2009
1828 posts
Posted on 11/7/24 at 2:29 pm to
i dont think the shifts are as good as that graph indicates, being that 15 million of the votes in 2020 were fictitious anyway.

still a great trend.
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