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Florida's Trump advantage seems to be getting closer and closer to 15%
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:32 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:32 pm
Started off at over 20% today. Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victory. 15% and he has a chance but 20% is where we want it to be.
Don't hate me for this but we do need to temper our expectations.
Turnout all over the country is said to be very high, record high in some places, and that usually favors democrats.
Don't hate me for this but we do need to temper our expectations.
Turnout all over the country is said to be very high, record high in some places, and that usually favors democrats.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:32 pm to TDsngumbo
Wait until the panhandle gets off work
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:32 pm to TDsngumbo
wait for the panhandle. they will blow it out of the water, they always do
This post was edited on 11/5/24 at 3:33 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:33 pm to TDsngumbo

Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:33 pm to TDsngumbo
Well he just picked up another vote from me in southwest florida. Then I'm getting one of my best friends to go vote in the next hour.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
Summarizing above:
Hes at 18 without the Panhandle.
Relax
Hes at 18 without the Panhandle.
Relax
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
What is with you people? He's going to be over 20% by end of day
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victor
WTF

Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Turnout all over the country is said to be very high, record high in some places,
I've seen this said for every presidential election since I could vote in '04.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
Dude you are a legit retard. He is at 18%. Go take your medicine
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victory.
No, 20% would signify a major landslide nationally, per DataRepublican.
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Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
He's at 18% right now and from 6PM - 7PM Eastern we'll only have the panhandle reporting
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
I’m seeing 17.85%? Also the panhandle votes when they get off work mostly and that is good for a couple of percentage points at least
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Started off at over 20% today. Supposedly needs to be around 20% in order for him to have a good chance of a national victory. 15% and he has a chance but 20% is where we want it to be.
It’s stabilizing around 17.9. I’d wager it’s going to be anywhere between 17 and 19.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:34 pm to stuntman
quote:
stuntman
Attaboy.
Let’s do this.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:35 pm to TDsngumbo
It is tracking to end at 16.5 - 17 without making the assumption that the late shift will move it back towards the GOP.
The theory was that 20% signals a Trump blowout, 15% is close, 10% Kamala.
17-18 is on the Trump end of close.
The theory was that 20% signals a Trump blowout, 15% is close, 10% Kamala.
17-18 is on the Trump end of close.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 3:35 pm to John Barron
Did OP say election day usually favors the Dema? What a fig
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