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Started By
Message
Help me with this bet
Posted on 9/14/23 at 4:14 pm
Posted on 9/14/23 at 4:14 pm
I laid $50 on a 2 team parlay back in March…
LSU to win the World Series
Brewers to win the World Series
Pays $10,800
The current buyout is $300… what buyout would you be looking for before you pulled the trigger on it?
Brewers are locks for the playoffs and should make the divisional round minimum.
Should I just wait and see what happens?
LSU to win the World Series
Brewers to win the World Series
Pays $10,800
The current buyout is $300… what buyout would you be looking for before you pulled the trigger on it?
Brewers are locks for the playoffs and should make the divisional round minimum.
Should I just wait and see what happens?
This post was edited on 9/14/23 at 5:24 pm
17
Posted on 9/14/23 at 4:17 pm to AZTiger7072
There’s no realistic, sober-minded scenario where the Brewers win the World Series this year.
This post was edited on 9/14/23 at 4:19 pm
Posted on 9/14/23 at 4:20 pm to AZTiger7072
What is the overall payout if the second leg hits?
You can't go wrong making 500% on the cash out
You can't go wrong making 500% on the cash out
Posted on 9/14/23 at 4:25 pm to AZTiger7072
I’d say cash out for $300 now, but what are their current odds to win the WS? If it will improve in playoffs, then cash out should increase
^I’d ignore the very biased opinion of a Braves fan
^I’d ignore the very biased opinion of a Braves fan
This post was edited on 9/14/23 at 4:27 pm
Posted on 9/14/23 at 4:47 pm to AZTiger7072
If someone is giving you a buyout with some hope that the Brewers are going to win the World Series, then you take that buyout immediately and wonder how that was even possible.
The Brewers have very little chance at winning the World Series. They are likely the 7th best odds to win it, at best.
The Brewers have very little chance at winning the World Series. They are likely the 7th best odds to win it, at best.
Posted on 9/14/23 at 4:52 pm to AZTiger7072
Can’t evaluate the buyout without knowing the payout if you let it ride. It’s late in the day but I don’t see that in the OP.
Posted on 9/14/23 at 4:56 pm to AZTiger7072
cash out before it goes away
Posted on 9/14/23 at 6:17 pm to AZTiger7072
Damn. $50 straight bet on LSU winning the world series should of paid at least $300 back in March. Surprised it isnt offering a little more.
This post was edited on 9/14/23 at 6:19 pm
Posted on 9/14/23 at 7:05 pm to AZTiger7072
The real answer is you hedge each round of the playoffs by taking the teams the brewers are against in a series bet.
Posted on 9/14/23 at 7:22 pm to AZTiger7072
If the Brewers win there first playoff series you will get offered more than $300. I would wait to see what they do hell its only $50 that you would lose let it ride for now
Posted on 9/14/23 at 7:47 pm to AZTiger7072
Take the 300 and go bet 50 on brewers to win. You profit either way. But they not winning any way.
Posted on 9/14/23 at 7:50 pm to AZTiger7072
I would let it ride for a bit, it should go up.
Posted on 9/14/23 at 7:51 pm to AZTiger7072
I don’t know shite about betting. But I’d say it’s only $50. Would you be more upset if you lost $50 or $10,500? I know people are saying that they’re not winning but what if they do? That $300 will be gone by the weekend.
Posted on 9/14/23 at 7:55 pm to AZTiger7072
ok you can definitely make way more than $300 on this bet, so anyone saying cash out now is just really dumb.
im not gonna do all the math and it will obviously depend on the odds, but your play is just to bet against the brewers in their playoff series as your hedge. if you wanted to get a little ballsy and try to make more money, you could wait until the NLDS to start it and just bank on them winning that first round as the likely 3 seed.
either way, it's a pretty simple hedge and will net you much more than $300, but obviously much less than 10k
you're gonna lose a little on the juice as you will be betting on the favorite in the NLDS, NLCS, and WS if they make it to those rounds.
but you should be able to get about $1k+ guaranteed.
im not gonna do all the math and it will obviously depend on the odds, but your play is just to bet against the brewers in their playoff series as your hedge. if you wanted to get a little ballsy and try to make more money, you could wait until the NLDS to start it and just bank on them winning that first round as the likely 3 seed.
either way, it's a pretty simple hedge and will net you much more than $300, but obviously much less than 10k
you're gonna lose a little on the juice as you will be betting on the favorite in the NLDS, NLCS, and WS if they make it to those rounds.
but you should be able to get about $1k+ guaranteed.
This post was edited on 9/14/23 at 7:58 pm
Posted on 9/15/23 at 6:51 am to AZTiger7072
I’d let it ride dude, it’s baseball and underdogs get hot in the postseason.
Also your current buyout offer sucks. LSU was 5/1 to 8/1 pretty much all year yet they are only offering you $300 with that win PLUS your current equity in the Brewers bet?
If you need the $300 to make rent, sure, take the payout. But I’d let it ride otherwise
Also your current buyout offer sucks. LSU was 5/1 to 8/1 pretty much all year yet they are only offering you $300 with that win PLUS your current equity in the Brewers bet?
If you need the $300 to make rent, sure, take the payout. But I’d let it ride otherwise
Posted on 9/15/23 at 7:26 am to AZTiger7072
when/if the brew crew goes down by one game in the playoffs, check the buyout no matter how early.
Posted on 9/15/23 at 7:32 am to AZTiger7072
Where did you place this cause I want in on that type of sceanrio
This post was edited on 9/15/23 at 7:34 am
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