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1
Posted on 9/30/22 at 5:00 pm to TigerTatorTots
Because double digit inflation is not going to hurt the economy.
K
K
Posted on 9/30/22 at 5:32 pm to TigerTatorTots
We have painted (printed) ourselves into a corner. The fed will keep trying to do shite but it looks like there really is no way out.
This post was edited on 9/30/22 at 5:33 pm
Posted on 9/30/22 at 5:44 pm to WaWaWeeWa
Whatever should be done, they'll screw it up 
Posted on 9/30/22 at 6:31 pm to Hussss
quote:
What the pundits won’t tell you:
Central banks will have to monetize all the debt they are about to issue under the cover of WWIII. When all else fails, they take ya to war. Endless wars, crises, pandemics, etc. are all excuses to issue debt. Without being able to issue debt, not only do central banks have no power but the system caves in on itself.
You’ve just said what I’ve been wondering for a while now. I’m concerned that’s exactly what’s going on and the process is well under way.
Posted on 9/30/22 at 6:39 pm to Strannix
quote:
Strannix
Oh so now you care about core and not headline inflation?
Posted on 9/30/22 at 6:41 pm to slackster
quote:
Inflation MoM in July was flat. In August it was up .1%. Even if we say it will go up .2% per month in September through next June, it will be sub 3% YoY by April and sub 2% YoY by May.
The FFR would be higher than the inflation rate by March under those conditions.
Slack always brings the actual numbers.
it does seem painfully honest we are headed for a overly manufactured hard landing that doesn't seem absolutely necessary if you can look outside our shitty lagging inflation indicators. This post was edited on 9/30/22 at 6:44 pm
Posted on 9/30/22 at 6:44 pm to slackster
quote:
Oh so now you care about core and not headline inflation?
Actual historical inflation NOW is 17%
Posted on 9/30/22 at 7:25 pm to Strannix
quote:
Actual historical inflation NOW is 17%
Agreed. Changing the formula does not change the impact to consumers.
Posted on 9/30/22 at 7:54 pm to fallguy_1978
It's the big lie
Posted on 9/30/22 at 8:25 pm to slackster
Do you not remember this part of the cycle after QE1?
Posted on 10/14/22 at 6:56 am to slackster
Bump.
Lol Slackster
Lol Slackster
This post was edited on 10/14/22 at 6:57 am
Posted on 10/14/22 at 7:44 am to Strannix
There’s at least 2 more 75 basis point increases coming. The Fed and the rest of DC painted themselves into a corner when they spent 6-9 months claiming inflation was transitory. Too bad they didn’t listen to the rest of the country.
This post was edited on 10/14/22 at 7:45 am
Posted on 10/14/22 at 8:16 am to Free888
Real world math:
Since 2008 there has been about 30 TRILLION dollars added through QE into the Global GDP. That is the same amount of money that the US owes, which is tremendous.
That 30T HAS to come back out of the system for the monetary system to get back to ground ZERO where things are actually worth what they are worth without inflation.
This is probably going to be that event where things get brought back down, at least close, over the next 2-3 years.
Prices are still higher NOW then they were before Covid struck.
I don't see the Fed pivoting anytime soon. Inflation is up, NOT GOING ANYWHERE, and gas is going BACK up, so most things are tied to fuel prices.
Since 2008 there has been about 30 TRILLION dollars added through QE into the Global GDP. That is the same amount of money that the US owes, which is tremendous.
That 30T HAS to come back out of the system for the monetary system to get back to ground ZERO where things are actually worth what they are worth without inflation.
This is probably going to be that event where things get brought back down, at least close, over the next 2-3 years.
Prices are still higher NOW then they were before Covid struck.
I don't see the Fed pivoting anytime soon. Inflation is up, NOT GOING ANYWHERE, and gas is going BACK up, so most things are tied to fuel prices.
Posted on 10/14/22 at 9:40 am to Shepherd88
quote:
This has been my thought. It’s going to take decades of gradualism to normalize rates, they’re not going to be able to rip the bandaid off on this and fix the system so quickly.
Exactly.
The other piece besides rates is Energy prices. They have to open up drilling in the United States. They could really lower inflation if they stopped killing US O&G.
Amazing how democrats would rather blow up the economy than be energy independent.
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