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re: LSU Baseball 2023 (and beyond) Recruiting Thread - Old Thread - Please unpin

Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:34 pm to
Posted by LesnarF5
Member since Apr 2015
9219 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:34 pm to
Quote:

Now on to Burns Holman & Montgomery
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Yes Indeed!!!
Posted by WJP23
Member since Feb 2023
251 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:34 pm to
Bingham wasn't drafted. Montgomery in the portal may change our urgency on him.
Posted by AkronTiger
Rubber City
Member since May 2021
1555 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:35 pm to
quote:

I thought the word with Cam was always he wants to be in pro. I’m still worried


If that was the case, his number would’ve been lower and he’d be gone
Posted by beardkp
H-Town
Member since Feb 2013
1024 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:36 pm to
I know JUCO lets him draft again asap but how does it get him drafted higher without his asking price dropping? I don’t get it. The competition there isn’t the same. And yea, he’ll make money while at LSU
This post was edited on 7/11/23 at 4:37 pm
Posted by beardkp
H-Town
Member since Feb 2013
1024 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:37 pm to
Oh I agree, just saying that’s always been the rumblings
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
72571 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:41 pm to
Well JUCO is better competition and he had a slight arm issue going into this draft.

In theory, he can be 100% healthy, against better competition, and he’s a year older while still not being very old. A little less risk for the team drafting him at 19 instead of 18.

That’d be his line of thinking, not saying I agree 100%
Posted by beardkp
H-Town
Member since Feb 2013
1024 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:41 pm to
Cam noooo

This post was edited on 7/11/23 at 4:42 pm
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
72571 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:42 pm to
welp

You really can’t ever put any stock into someone’s “number” can you
Posted by Tifway419
Member since Sep 2022
942 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:42 pm to
quote:

STL has the 4th least bonus pool money of $6.3MM (no 2nd round or comp picks). Interestingly, they drafted exclusively coll

Cam Johnson was their only high schooler drafted, the other 18 were College or Juco.

This is realistically what I think they can come up with for him. $150K (20th slot) + $315K (5% bonus pool) + $500K (4th Rd Quinn Mathews savings) + $225K (7th round Charles Harrison savings). That’s about $1.2Mil.

Getting more into the weeds, they might be able to find another $150-300K to get up to $1.5Mil, but unless Chase Davis took less than slot in the first (which I don’t think I would if I were him), then they’re not signing Cam. Plus I almost zeroed out their 2 seniors value, which may not be the case for Quinn Matthews.
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
71132 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:42 pm to
I mean, he should be excited about being drafted. It's a big deal. Doesn't change that he'd have to come off his number significantly to sign though.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
67802 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:42 pm to
i’m pretty sure his number is north of 150k he’s gonna have to wait to see what the Cards can carve away from their tiny bonus pool.
Posted by tigers33
Member since Oct 2007
781 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:43 pm to
The guy can’t be excited to be drafted? He may sign if they get him enough $$ but a “yessir” hardly screams that he’s gone.
Posted by beardkp
H-Town
Member since Feb 2013
1024 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:43 pm to
No excitement allowed
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
72571 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:43 pm to
Matthews has another year of eligibility too, fwiw
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
72571 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:44 pm to
No. He should be at Alex Box now, imho
Posted by tigers33
Member since Oct 2007
781 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

No. He should be at Alex Box now, imho


Agreed. Get it done Gordon
Posted by BayTiger13
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2022
2171 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:45 pm to
Like we mentioned in the Jake Brown conversation, this is with them saving every penny for just Cam which is unlikely. They will probably have to spread it around a little here and there.
Posted by Tifway419
Member since Sep 2022
942 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Matthews has another year of eligibility too, fwiw
I didn’t realize that, then I take back that $500K I shaved off his number
Posted by Tifway419
Member since Sep 2022
942 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:47 pm to
Yep I agree. I was just trying to come up with worst case scenario for both and I can’t make the numbers work.
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22257 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 4:47 pm to
They only drafted one HS player and it was Cam. They’re not going to have to spread much around if anything for players drafted 11-20 (sans Cam).
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