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re: Crackpot ASOIAF Theories SPOILERS

Posted on 12/18/13 at 1:37 pm to
Posted by ladytiger118
Member since Aug 2009
20922 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 1:37 pm to
It was definitely a gamble for sure. I also think that either Oberyn or Varys had slowly poisoned Tywin to begin with. And then you have to wonder if Tywin had fricked Shae the whole time or if Varys placed her in there as a risk to get Tyrion to finish the job.
Posted by FalseProphet
Mecca
Member since Dec 2011
11706 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 1:39 pm to
Wait. Tywin was already dying when Tyrion showed up?

Man, I might just need to re-read the whole damn series. I clearly wasn't paying attention.
Posted by ladytiger118
Member since Aug 2009
20922 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 1:51 pm to
He was severely constipated...hadn't gone in weeks I think. Plus Oberyn told Tyrion that "Your father can't live forever." I would say it's 50/50 though: half the fans are convinced Oberyn poisoned him, the other half don't believe it. As for me, I think Oberyn poisoned him, albeit very slowly. Pycelle mentions a poison called Widows Blood which slowly shuts down the bowels. Plus the description of Tywin during that scene...his face is green and had some nasty puss leaking out of his body . Oh and his corpse absolutely reaked and rotted faster; basically all the characters commented about the nasty stench.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
41159 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

Wait. Tywin was already dying when Tyrion showed up?


I'm pretty sure the Red Viper had already poisoned Tywin prior to the crossbow.Pretty much everything that Ladytiger said, plus Oberyn gives thanks to Cersi for blaming Tyrion, “Who knows more of poison than the Red Viper of Dorne, after all?” Plus the Red Viper doesn't go to Tyrion until after he had a private supper with Tywin& Mace.



It didn't seem like Varys wanted him to go, but then pretty much the only weapon that Tyrion could have used just happened to be there. Not to mention Shae was also there.

This post was edited on 12/18/13 at 1:58 pm
Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Im still not sure what varys motivation is

It's pretty clear Varys considers Tyrion an asset to whatever his plans may be.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
108098 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

Im still not sure what varys motivation is


He wants Tyrion to train Dany's dragons for her, as well as get the Westerlands on his side once he eliminates the other Lannisters.
Posted by Mr. Wayne
Member since Feb 2008
10047 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

He wants Tyrion to train Dany's dragons for her, as well as get the Westerlands on his side once he eliminates the other Lannisters.



I could be on board with this, but it would have to lead to a uniting of the blood line with Aegon (Blackfyre) and Dany.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
108098 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

I could be on board with this, but it would have to lead to a uniting of the blood line with Aegon (Blackfyre) and Dany.


Once Aegon marries Dany though, all Varys has to do is find a way to subtlety kill her.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
41159 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Aegon marries Dany


I don't see that happening, Dany is barren correct?
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
108098 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

I don't see that happening, Dany is barren correct?


I don't either, but it was in Varys' plan for the two to get married.
Posted by saintsfan92612
Taiwan
Member since Oct 2008
28854 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

Dany is barren correct?


probably not, she was having her bleeding at the end of the last book.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
41159 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

it was in Varys' plan for the two to get married


What I find confusing was when did Varys/Illyrio hatch this plan? Before she was married, before Viserys died, before he tried to have Dany murdered?
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
108098 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

What I find confusing was when did Varys/Illyrio hatch this plan? Before she was married, before Viserys died, before he tried to have Dany murdered?


I'm guessing either once Dany got her dragons or when she got the Unsullied.
Posted by Josh Fenderman
Ron Don Volante's PlayPen
Member since Jul 2011
6704 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

What's y'all opinion on whether when Vary's led Tyrion to his father's chamber

I think he definitely wanted Tyrion to go to Tywin's room. The way he says it all is key. When they are under the chamber, Varys gives him exact instructions on how to get there first and then gives a protest, which in my opinion is just a ruse to make Tyrion feel like he doesn't want him to go.

quote:

He looked up the shaft. "How far must I climb?"
"My lord, you are too weak for such follies, and there is besides no time. We must go."
"I have business above. How far?"
"Two hundred and thirty rungs, but whatever you intend...
"Two hundred and thirty rungs, and then?"
"The tunnel to the left, but hear me - "
"How far along to the bedchamber?" Tyrion lifted a foot to the lowest rung of the ladder.
"No more than sixty feet. Keep one hand on the wall as you go. You will feel the doors. The
bedchamber is the third." He sighed. "This is folly, my lord. Your brother has given you your life back.
Would you cast it away, and mine with it?"

He didn't have to give him exact instructions on how to get there.
Posted by ladytiger118
Member since Aug 2009
20922 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 4:46 pm to
He wanted Dany murdered but then notified Jorah to stop the assassin, right?

I think that Viserys and Dany were always his 'backup plan' and never a part of his Faegon plan; I think he just wanted the Dothraki horde with Dany and Viserys to go to Westeros during the war and *maybe* once Drogo died to get Dany to marry Faegon, but for her to never supersede him in power of course (plus Dany marrying Faegon would provide some legitimacy to his claim that he wasn't a fake)...and I think that Illyrio wanted Viserys to stay with him in Pentos and not go off with the Dothraki (where he died). Although, I think the only wrench it threw into the plans was how he was secretly betrothed to Arianne Martell.

But I'm curious to see if all these years of plans with Illyrio, Varys, and even Doran are going to play out to their liking. I think that Faegon would be a good "Summer King", but can he really handle the Long Night ahead?

I also support the Crackpot theory that Varys paid for Gendry's smith apprenticeship in case his backup plan with Faegon didn't work--legitimize him, say that he can relate to the commoners/peasants, he was an apprentice (educated in a trade/skill), and Ned and Jon Arryn saw that the boy was Robert reincarnate (and Brienne thought he was Renly's clone). Plus, I think Varys wanted Faegon to be well educated, but to also associate with commoners and have a humble upbringing; he wouldn't be entitled like the other Targs and would be loved. I think the same can be applied to Gendry: very humble beginnings, but he would know how to take care of the commonfolk in hard times.

Back to Gendry: Ned said "If the day comes when that boy decides to wield a sword instead of forge one, come find me." So Gendry would possibly have the same battle acumen as his father (it's in the blood/genes). Plus I've also thought that Robert saying "I have a son, you have a daughter, let's join our houses" is going to foreshadow either Sansa or Arya marrying Gendry.

Hence why I think Jon Snow would be an excellent king; Winter is coming and his is the song of ice and fire. Jon was a bastard, albeit well educated and raised within a Great House. However, he knows what it feels like to be an outsider, unlike his cousin Robb (who was to inherit Winterfell). Plus, I also think that fans think he's exactly like Ned, but that's only surface level. To me, Jon's maneuvering and political machinations and doing what he can to survive reflects his Targ heritage/similar to his Aunt Dany. I think Jon has a great set of skills to be a leader, and will do what is asked of him. He wanted no part in being Lord Commander, but his brothers (and with Sam's help) wanted him to be. He didn't want to exactly join the Wildlings, but Qhorin urged him to follow his orders and to do as he is ordered to to find out why they are all fleeing south from the true enemy. And I think that Jon really grew to understand the Wildlings (and their culture) and realize that he as a Northerner isn't all that much different from a Wildling (same religious beliefs, similar cultures, etc.). Plus he joined Alys Karstark to Sigorn Thenn, which I doubt is something that Ned or Robb would've done (Ned probably wouldn't have taken too kindly to a Wildling taking over Karhold). And to be honest, I seriously think that Jon 'stealing' Val (which has kind of inadvertently happened already) is going to come to frutition in TWoW. And if people ask him to head south (away from where he was betrayed), I think he'll do just that. Martin 'killing' Jon allows him to somewhat honorably leave the Watch and take care of matters.
Posted by glassman
Next to the beer taps at Finn's
Member since Oct 2008
116092 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

Plus I've also thought that Robert saying "I have a son, you have a daughter, let's join our houses" is going to foreshadow either Sansa or Arya marrying Gendry.


I think Arya is out of the "marriage game" at this point.

But, an excellent post.

Posted by ladytiger118
Member since Aug 2009
20922 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 5:42 pm to
Thanks glassman.

I don't think Arya is going to survive the series, but I could see Sansa potentially marrying him. With that being said, as of AFFC, Sansa/Alayne doesn't like the idea of being forced into marriages, and I think her story has been paralleling Lyanna's somewhat. She wasn't crazy about hearing that Harry has 2 Vale bastards, similar to how Lyanna told Ned that she wasn't crazy about Robert having a Vale bastard . Maybe she'll run away? Plus Sansa has come to learn that men like Joffrey and Harry, although physically attractive, aren't worthy husbands. Plus she's always thinking about the UnKiss .
Posted by glassman
Next to the beer taps at Finn's
Member since Oct 2008
116092 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 5:47 pm to
quote:

I could see Sansa potentially marrying him.


I can agree with this.

Just think about Arya.. a ruthless killer before she is a faceless warging killing machine. Makes Lorena Bobbitt look like an ideal wife.

Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

Pycelle mentions a poison called Widows Blood which slowly shuts down the bowels. Plus the description of Tywin during that scene...his face is green and had some nasty puss leaking out of his body . Oh and his corpse absolutely reaked and rotted faster; basically all the characters commented about the nasty stench


So Tywin basically started rotting from within before Tyrion shot him in the gut with the crossbow. What a fitting way for him to die as he was a truly rotten person.

One of my favorite characters though. Original Gangsta.
Posted by ladytiger118
Member since Aug 2009
20922 posts
Posted on 12/18/13 at 6:37 pm to
If Arya was still betrothed to that Frey boy, I guarantee you she'd kill him on their wedding night .
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