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USMNT Talent Level vs. Expectations

Posted on 6/5/16 at 9:38 am
Posted by Poodlebrain
Way Right of Rex
Member since Jan 2004
19860 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 9:38 am
How many U.S. players are among the top 100 worldwide at their positions? Top 250, top 500? Is it realistic to think the U.S. should beat sides with more players among the top levels at more positions?

About the only position I would confidently put the U.S. player in the top 100 is goalkeeper. We have a few top 250 types, but most of our roster are below that level.

We debate who should be on the 23 man roster, but we are not looking at significantly better players who would likely have a significant impact on our results. We tend to argue over how one player might better allow us to change our strategies and tactics, but we ignore the fact that they are not going to make up significant talent deficiency to any significant extent.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
40305 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 10:27 am to
I can't think of 99 better wide midfielders than Fabian Johnson

250 right backs better than Yedlin? 250 CBs better than Cameron? 250 #6's better than Bradley?

That seems a bit hyperbolic doesn't it?

There's enough talent in the pool, the problem is they aren't talented enough to play with a tactical handicap
This post was edited on 6/5/16 at 10:28 am
Posted by cigsmcgee
LR
Member since May 2012
5233 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 10:39 am to
quote:

Is it realistic to think the U.S. should beat sides with more players among the top levels at more positions?



no, but its realistic to think we should always make the Gold Cup final, and should never get outplayed by concacaf sides like jamaica.

its also realistic to think that the ineptitude the usmnt showed in its last competitive tournament a year ago should have been corrected, instead of persisting and leading to an ugly loss against a much better team who forgot to bring their a-game and looked to be beatable.

i dont care much about the colombia game. it was rough to watch, but whatever. what worries me is it felt very much like the Gold Cup performances, and i dont feel good about getting 3 off Costa Rica and Paraguay. that is a problem. but if we do well in those matches then all my concerns will be forgotten until the next time we look like shite.

Posted by pvilleguru
Member since Jun 2009
60453 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 10:59 am to
I doubt there's 250 RBs better than Yedlin, CBs better than Brooks and Cameron, LW/RW better than Johnson, #6s better than Bradley, AMs better than Nagbe.
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
26888 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 11:35 am to
Sucks to think this but... there might be 100 strikers better than dempsey right now. I just don't think he should be our starter anymore. I love him and all he's done for us but it's time we bring in some younger blood

If he was able to hold the ball up better (c2010 Altidore) then yeah play him as a strong experienced strong type, but he's kinda useless besides a good free kick taker these days, and it shows.
Posted by SlowEasyConfident
Member since Nov 2015
6650 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 11:39 am to
quote:


Sucks to think this but... there might be 100 strikers better than dempsey right now. I just don't think he should be our starter anymore.


Yep. Dempsey is shite these days. So is Bradley but he gets a pass for some reason.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
40042 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 11:57 am to
The individual quality is less important than how those parts are employed. The US has been very successful playing one way, which was playing in the low block and counterattacking with speed. Yet now we are clueless in attacking positions and our defensive positioning is less than solid as well.

The positioning has been my biggest problem with Klinsmann. He doesn't seem to emphasize it like other managers who are trying to teach the possession game.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
481226 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

The positioning has been my biggest problem with Klinsmann. He doesn't seem to emphasize it like other managers who are trying to teach the possession game.


"you're American. you have no ability to makes such statements b/c you don't understand soccer"

-JK
Posted by Poodlebrain
Way Right of Rex
Member since Jan 2004
19860 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 12:04 pm to
You named one player you would put in the top 100, and 3 others in the top 250. That is the definition of few in my book. I think you unintentionally demonstrated my point regarding the talent level.
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9752 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

The individual quality is less important than how those parts are employed. The US has been very successful playing one way, which was playing in the low block and counterattacking with speed. Yet now we are clueless in attacking positions and our defensive positioning is less than solid as well.

The positioning has been my biggest problem with Klinsmann. He doesn't seem to emphasize it like other managers who are trying to teach the possession game.


I agree.

A good argument to be made that the less rigid tactical emphasis in favor of letting the players "express themselves" really throws the lack of world class individual talents into the spotlight.

Posted by pvilleguru
Member since Jun 2009
60453 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

You named one player you would put in the top 100, and 3 others in the top 250. That is the definition of few in my book. I think you unintentionally demonstrated my point regarding the talent level.
I was being extremely conservative in my numbers.
Posted by Poodlebrain
Way Right of Rex
Member since Jan 2004
19860 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

The individual quality is less important than how those parts are employed.
I agree with this up to a certain point. Execution is essential. And individual quality is a reflection of a player's ability to execute. So quality dictates how the players can be employed effectively. Higher quality provides more flexibility in employment.

quote:

The US has been very successful playing one way, which was playing in the low block and counterattacking with speed
Italy has been very successful using this approach. The U.S. has been more successful using it in the past than they are currently using a different approach. The difference in success between Italy and the U.S. is the individual quality.

quote:

The positioning has been my biggest problem with Klinsmann. He doesn't seem to emphasize it like other managers who are trying to teach the possession game.
I agree. I think any changes from the more successful approach discussed above should have been incremental rather than wholesale. I think the approach he has taken has led to some silly experimentation with the roster as he searches for players with "quality" to play the style he is employing.
Posted by cigsmcgee
LR
Member since May 2012
5233 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

The difference in success between Italy and the U.S. is the individual quality.


which team made it out of their group the past 2 WCs?
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87749 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:14 pm to
I think you're being too broad in your categorization. Let's say we do have a number of players in those categories.

Are we expected to compete on a top 15 world level with a team full of top 250 level players and a handful of top 100s?
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9752 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

The difference in success between Italy and the U.S. is the individual quality.


quote:

which team made it out of their group the past 2 WCs?


Italy had disastrous WCs the last two times for various reasons but that doesn't dispel the fact that there's a huge degree of difference in individual quality on the rosters between USA and Italy (like there is between Costa Rica and Spain).

USA doesn't have a single player that would likely make this Italian Euro squad and it's also the weakest one in my lifetime even before the injuries to world class players like Verratti and Marchisio. On the other hand, one could name a sizeable list of players not even called in for Italy that would start for the US.





quote:


Italy has been very successful using this approach. The U.S. has been more successful using it in the past than they are currently using a different approach. The difference in success between Italy and the U.S. is the individual quality.



I thought Lippi could have possibly been a good manager for the USMNT team. . . not thinking about big picture of youth development etc but simply refining the work Bradley was doing to perhaps a different level.

Who knows though how that works out since it seems Ranieri would have been a good fit for Greece (must be some other big issues off the field with that team though)..


However, the point about talent you make is a good one. . . When Italy won the 2006 WC playing that style they had at least 6 players that many will consider not just in the "top 100" of their positions but often get mentioned among the "top 100 players ever".

This post was edited on 6/5/16 at 1:32 pm
Posted by uway
Member since Sep 2004
33109 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:26 pm to
I'm pretty down on the talent level, but the manager has to make the best of what he's got.
Nobody expects to be one of the best teams in big tournaments.

We expect to not go backwards, especially in relation to CONCACAF.

We have enough talent in the pool to beat that Colombia team a few times out of 10, for sure, but we went 90 minutes with barely any chances. That's not good enough.
Posted by cigsmcgee
LR
Member since May 2012
5233 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:37 pm to
quote:

Italy had disastrous WCs the last two times for various reasons but that doesn't dispel the fact that there's a huge degree of difference in individual quality on the rosters between USA and Italy (like there is between Costa Rica and Spain).



completely agree.

but Italy's recent international struggles, to me, only highlights the importance of team cohesion/chemistry in big international tournaments. England are the poster-boy for this.

there are so many ways to mitigate a talent gap, especially internationally where we're only talking about a handful of games. fundamental ability can easily be superseded by more intangible aspects in short windows, like these big tournaments.


Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
9752 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

completely agree.

but Italy's recent international struggles, to me, only highlights the importance of team cohesion/chemistry in big international tournaments. England are the poster-boy for this.

there are so many ways to mitigate a talent gap, especially internationally where we're only talking about a handful of games. fundamental ability can easily be superseded by more intangible aspects in short windows, like these big tournaments.





Yeah, I agree. It's tactical cohesion that gets you to the point where an amazing individual talent may pull something out of his hat to win in big tournaments.

England has certainly been the poster boys for how not to do this.


You're right about Italy too in the sense that there's been a big shift away from the traditional "Italian style" in Serie A and, along with some drop in elite talent, it's also been a period of playing with a lot more extreme tactical variations than in previous decades.


The reason Italy went for Conte was mainly about the team's mentality after Prandelli played a tricky game in bringing Cassano and Balotelli that worked out for Euros but then exploded on him in Brasil .

Conte may be going too far in the opposite direction where "grit" supercedes talent in every single choice.

This post was edited on 6/5/16 at 1:56 pm
Posted by Sheep
Neither here nor there
Member since Jun 2007
19699 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

We tend to argue over how one player might better allow us to change our strategies and tactics, but we ignore the fact that they are not going to make up significant talent deficiency to any significant extent.


Costa Rica made it to the final 8 of the last World Cup. Greece made the final 8 of the last Euro tournament. Peru made the semis of the last Copa America.

What's your point?
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
40042 posts
Posted on 6/5/16 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

The difference in success between Italy and the U.S. is the individual quality.



Sure, but we need to be pragmatic. We aren't able to play the possession game like Italy can, but we can do things to mitigate our weaknesses. The basic problem is that Klinsmann can't teach the possession game. Even with Germany he relied on counter-attacking. We don't even get the basics of positioning right. We looked slightly better in our defensive sets but we were toothless going forward.

What the low-block counter attacking game does for us is it plays to our strengths. We could have outrun Colombia but we weren't in positions to do so.
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