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Started By
Message
re: YouGov poll of people who have already voted in PA, MI, and WI
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:52 pm to Mr Perfect
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:52 pm to Mr Perfect
Well, he is a hack.
1
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:53 pm to Mr Perfect
quote:
nope. $700 enough for now
you are such a liar 
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:54 pm to Mr Perfect
quote:Wow! That’s.... embarrassing.
nate silver rate yougov polls with B grade
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:56 pm to Jake88
idk. if he gets this election wrong I'll agree with you on that dude
Posted on 10/26/20 at 10:58 pm to Mr Perfect
He got 16 wrong and did not see the historic gains in the Senate in 18. I recall he also over estimated the House for the democrats and missed on Gillum and Nelson in Fl and McCaskill in MO.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 11:05 pm to Jake88
I can't fathom how a 'professional" polling firm could only use invitees online for polling and think they are getting anything close to accurate data.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 11:05 pm to Jake88
yea but he said trump had 28% chance in 2016 dude
this year he saying trump only 12% chance
this year he saying trump only 12% chance
Posted on 10/26/20 at 11:06 pm to Mr Perfect
Fine, we'll see.
Posted on 10/26/20 at 11:10 pm to Mr Perfect
quote:
yea but he said trump had 28% chance in 2016 dude
this year he saying trump only 12% chance
You don't know how math works
Posted on 10/26/20 at 11:15 pm to gthog61
what do you mean dude?
i think if nate silver start changing his odds that will be a sign that he knows what's coming
so keep an eye out. currently sleepy Joe is 88% chance of winning. let's see what it says in a few days
i think if nate silver start changing his odds that will be a sign that he knows what's coming
so keep an eye out. currently sleepy Joe is 88% chance of winning. let's see what it says in a few days
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:29 am to UAinSOUTHAL
Look at the graph. There’s almost no discrepancy between mail in requests and total early votes. Either this model is way off or yougov is.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 7:37 am to Mr Perfect
Sooooo....you must enjoy being in an abusive relationship with your boyfriend....
Despite the fact that Silver got it EMBARRASSINGLY wrong last time and has LIED about his intent and methodology, you're standing by your man?
What is his methodology for rating the reliability of polls?
How does the best poll from 2016 rate a C-?
Despite the fact that Silver got it EMBARRASSINGLY wrong last time and has LIED about his intent and methodology, you're standing by your man?
What is his methodology for rating the reliability of polls?
How does the best poll from 2016 rate a C-?
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:04 pm to SCLibertarian
quote:You do not seem to understand. Wisconsin simply does not track party registration. Perhaps because it is an open primary state making party registration there pretty meaningless.
And his narrative is even further hampered by the party numbers for early votes in Wisconsin.
We simply cannot know the "party numbers" in that state.
When I lived and voted there I never applied for registration with a party label. It would have been meaningless. Most people don't bother.
On the other hand, I registered as a Republican in NY when I moved because otherwise I could never have voted in a primary. When I realized Republicans almost never have primaries and Democrats have lots of them in New York, I switched registrations.
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:06 pm to _Hurricane_
Let me fix it.
40% Biden
35% Trump
25% Hung up. Lied or told them to F**K Off
40% Biden
35% Trump
25% Hung up. Lied or told them to F**K Off
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:17 pm to The Boat
So half of the registered republicans who voted early are voting for Biden?
Yea ok
Yea ok
Posted on 10/27/20 at 1:27 pm to The Boat
Are they tallying votes by candidate already? I thought all they know is whether people are registered Democrats or Republicans
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