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Where are folks getting these early voting numbers?Votes can't be counted til Nov 3rd
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:12 pm
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:12 pm
Are these assumptions from previous absentee/mail in ballots? I've seen NC and Florida numbers posted several times.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 3:15 pm
4
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:13 pm to RD Dawg
Party affiliation of early votes and mail in votes.
Essentially votes cast are broken down by whether the person is R, D, or I.
Essentially votes cast are broken down by whether the person is R, D, or I.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 3:15 pm
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:14 pm to RD Dawg
quote:
Are these assumptions from previous absentee/mail in ballots? I've seen NC and Florida numbers posted several times.
These aren't votes...they are ballots cast by party.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:14 pm to RD Dawg
Affiliation votes.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:14 pm to Scruffy
It is just educated guesses based on your party affiliation. Mostly crap because not many people bother to change affiliation, even when they change who they vote for. I say this as a member of a Louisiana family that has probably 20 Uncles and Aunts who are registered Democrats but haven't voted Democrat since Bill Clinton.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:20 pm to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
Affiliation votes.
But those can only be tabulated in primaries not the general election.
No ballots,mail in it otherwise has that information.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:20 pm to RD Dawg
quote:They correlate “name” with “party affiliation”.
But those can only be tabulated in primaries not the general election.
No ballots,mail in it otherwise has that information.
That is all on file.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:20 pm to RD Dawg
quote:
Where are folks getting these early voting numbers?V
They are making foolish and pointless assumptions based on party registration. Utterly meaningless.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:22 pm to Indefatigable
quote:
They are making foolish and pointless assumptions based on party registration. Utterly meaningless
Pretty much what I thought.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:23 pm to Indefatigable
quote:I mean, not really.
They are making foolish and pointless assumptions based on party registration. Utterly meaningless.
It correlates pretty heavily with who the winner is.
You can make pretty good assumptions based on previous cross party voting.
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 3:24 pm
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:25 pm to Indefatigable
quote:
They are making foolish and pointless assumptions based on party registration. Utterly meaningless.
Party registration is a pretty strong indicator of how someone will vote.
I would put a lot more trust in data that says 1 million registered Democrats, 950,000 registered Republicans and 450,000 independents/unaffiliated votes were ALREADY received then I would a poll that says "we called xxx likely voters and 600 of them didn't hang up on us"
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:28 pm to Indefatigable
Not utterly meaninglessness at all. Some error built-in, yes. But a pretty good indicator.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 3:32 pm to Scruffy
Looks some states release the affiliation vote numbers (NC, Florida) and others don't. Correct?
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