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Started By
Message
re: UPDATED latest early voting & absentee voting numbers for states who reported for 10/26/18
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:25 pm to wickowick
Posted on 10/30/18 at 3:25 pm to wickowick
quote:I also think there is an issue with interpreting “mail voting” with early voting.
Historically, in most states, the Dems outperform the Reps in early voting. You need to look at the history of each state to help determine how things are looking this election.
For example, for Florida in 2016 Rs had 58,244 more early votes by mail than Ds, but they trailed by 155,000 in early voting.
1
Posted on 10/30/18 at 4:01 pm to buckeye_vol
California 10/29
Democrats: 1,115,513 = 57%
Republican: 737,720 = 38%
Unaffiliated: 91,069 = 4%
Colorado:
Democrats 332,520 = 45%
Republicans 343,854 = 47%
Unaffiliated 53,070 = 7%
Florida:
Democrat: 1,225,503 = 45%
Republican 1,336,841 = 49%
Unaffiliated 148,600 = 7%
Indiana:
Dems 115,378 = 35%
Reps 176,219 = 54%
Unaf 30,061 = 9%
Michigan:
Dems 204,667 = 33%
Reps 311,399 = 50%
UnKn 104,226 = 16%
North Dakota:
Dems 7,537 = 11%
Reps 45,281 = 69%
Unaf 12,349 + 18%
Nevada:
Dems 183,807 = 48%
Reps 168,293 = 44%
Unaf 25,950 = 6%
Ohio:
Dems 255,039 = 38%
Reps 327,118 = 49%
Unaf 77,467 = 11%
Tennessee:
Dems 265,291 = 27%
Reps 619,348 = 65%
Unaf 69,003 = 7%
Texas:
Dems 1,357,335 = 38%
Reps 1,913,098 = 53%
Unkn 276,244 = 7%
West Virginia:
Dems 23,304 = 33%
Reps 36,853 = 53%
Unkn 9,087 = 13%
Democrats: 1,115,513 = 57%
Republican: 737,720 = 38%
Unaffiliated: 91,069 = 4%
Colorado:
Democrats 332,520 = 45%
Republicans 343,854 = 47%
Unaffiliated 53,070 = 7%
Florida:
Democrat: 1,225,503 = 45%
Republican 1,336,841 = 49%
Unaffiliated 148,600 = 7%
Indiana:
Dems 115,378 = 35%
Reps 176,219 = 54%
Unaf 30,061 = 9%
Michigan:
Dems 204,667 = 33%
Reps 311,399 = 50%
UnKn 104,226 = 16%
North Dakota:
Dems 7,537 = 11%
Reps 45,281 = 69%
Unaf 12,349 + 18%
Nevada:
Dems 183,807 = 48%
Reps 168,293 = 44%
Unaf 25,950 = 6%
Ohio:
Dems 255,039 = 38%
Reps 327,118 = 49%
Unaf 77,467 = 11%
Tennessee:
Dems 265,291 = 27%
Reps 619,348 = 65%
Unaf 69,003 = 7%
Texas:
Dems 1,357,335 = 38%
Reps 1,913,098 = 53%
Unkn 276,244 = 7%
West Virginia:
Dems 23,304 = 33%
Reps 36,853 = 53%
Unkn 9,087 = 13%
Posted on 10/30/18 at 4:09 pm to MrLSU
Thanks MrLsu
When you get the chance can you provide update also for:
Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Wisconsin?
When you get the chance can you provide update also for:
Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Wisconsin?
Posted on 10/30/18 at 4:49 pm to Magician2
Those haven’t been updated yet
Posted on 10/30/18 at 4:54 pm to MrLSU
lol at North Dakota, that's awesome
Posted on 10/30/18 at 4:59 pm to wickowick
anyone remember their dad saying how “dems win early vote because republicans are at work”
still cracks me up
still cracks me up
Posted on 10/30/18 at 5:19 pm to MrLSU
quote:These don’t appear to be correct.
Florida:
Democrat: 1,225,503 = 45%
Republican 1,336,841 = 49%
Unaffiliated 148,600 = 7%
Florida Department of Elections
Most notably unaffiliated represents over 17%
This post was edited on 10/30/18 at 5:20 pm
Posted on 10/30/18 at 5:20 pm to MrLSU
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/30/18 at 5:25 pm
Posted on 10/30/18 at 7:10 pm to MrLSU
Is republicans have half the votes in Michigan and James loses then that state is shade or dumb as hell.
A lot of states with good percentages of Republicans voting . Hopefully we can improve on those numbers and get a red wave . It looks like they will call North Dakota as soon as they start counting votes.
A lot of states with good percentages of Republicans voting . Hopefully we can improve on those numbers and get a red wave . It looks like they will call North Dakota as soon as they start counting votes.
Posted on 10/30/18 at 7:14 pm to buckeye_vol
Vote-by-Mail Provided (Not Yet Returned)
Please don’t count these numbers.
Please don’t count these numbers.
Posted on 10/30/18 at 7:44 pm to MrLSU
It still doesn’t matchup . It looks like it’s closer then target early has . Hopefully the rest of them are correct .
Posted on 10/30/18 at 7:49 pm to MrLSU
Colorado is lost forever voting a Republican majority. It has been over run by the same voters who ruined California.
This post was edited on 10/30/18 at 7:54 pm
Posted on 10/30/18 at 7:54 pm to 25smeckles
quote:No.
anyone remember their dad saying how “dems win early vote because republicans are at work”
Posted on 10/30/18 at 9:05 pm to MrLSU
quote:I'm not. 320,000 voted by mail (returned), 208,000 voted early, and 384,000 have not returned a ballot but we're provided a vote-by-mail ballot. And wouldn't only 7% in a swing state seem awfully low anyways considering a third of nation (and rising) doesn't identify with the two major parties?
Vote-by-Mail Provided (Not Yet Returned)
Please don’t count these numbers.
What data source are you using using? Florida's election site is pretty awesome, and you can even request specific demos as they update (race, sex, etc). I started following a professor from Florida in 2016 because he would update the disaggregated data as he processed it.
Posted on 10/30/18 at 9:10 pm to MrLSU
Michigan
I felt it move
My upset call, you heard it here first:
Shherod going down, bitch
I felt it move
My upset call, you heard it here first:
Shherod going down, bitch
Posted on 10/30/18 at 9:20 pm to KeyserSoze999
I want Michigan so bad.
I think James look like an amazing candidate and I will honestly be bummed out if he loses.
I think James look like an amazing candidate and I will honestly be bummed out if he loses.
Posted on 10/30/18 at 9:23 pm to MrLSU
Do Wisconsin and Michigan normally vote Republican in midterms?
Posted on 10/30/18 at 9:23 pm to buckeye_vol
Independents currently account for around 24% of the votes in FL.
Posted on 10/30/18 at 9:23 pm to MrLSU
Fna
What type law dog are you?
What type law dog are you?
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