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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
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re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Nice explanation!


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tiger91
LSU Fan
South of Lafayette
Member since Nov 2005
23910 posts
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re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

metric we have at this point. Unfortunately backing out infection rates from hopitalization rates is kinda shakey. I don't think the hospitalization admittance criteria is very consistent. I'd reckon you're a lot more likely to be admitted at a slow hospital than one in


People have asked about the hospitalization rate in Louisiana — I’m wondering if they were trying to fill the beds with some positive people who really maybe could have been at home.


scionofadrunk
Tennessee Fan
Williamson County, TN
Member since Mar 2020
858 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
TN reported 10 new deaths today. Our death toll is now at 23. :(

The nursing home outbreak in Gallatin is so sad. It's even sadder when it hits close to home.


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Taxing Authority
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
39607 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

I’m wondering if they were trying to fill the beds with some positive people who really maybe could have been at home.
From people I've heard from--they aren't in need of patients.


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TeLeFaWx
SMU Fan
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
27155 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
I realize how much I’ve been looking at this thread to have a grasp on what’s happening. It might be 20 times a day.

Thanks again, Chrome. We all appreciate it.
This post was edited on 4/1 at 7:35 am


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Tiguar
Auburn Fan
Alabama
Member since Mar 2012
28151 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
I can’t speak for other institutions but I know mine is sitting at 40% census and we send every covid patient home that we can


tiger91
LSU Fan
South of Lafayette
Member since Nov 2005
23910 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Heard from a friend of mine — her dad is in Nola in the VA hospital. He’s positive and was on a vent for a while but is now offf. He is on the med cocktail and isn’t better but isn’t worse. Don’t know how long he’s been on the meds and unsure of age or comirbiditoes but being off of the vent is of course awesome.


Tiguar
Auburn Fan
Alabama
Member since Mar 2012
28151 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Anytime a COVID patient gets put on a vent and is successfully taken off the vent, it is a huge win.


tiger91
LSU Fan
South of Lafayette
Member since Nov 2005
23910 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
I agree. She said he still has fluid in his lungs. I didn’t want to ask too much more.


Ace Midnight
LSU Fan
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
74717 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

She said he still has fluid in his lungs.


That's not the end of the world, plenty of ways to manage fluid pharmacologically. "Breathing on own" and "adequate O2 saturation" are the keys to beating this thing if you've already had a rough ride (like ventilator support).

Avoiding sepsis or serious secondary infections would be the other big deal.


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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1035 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Logarithmic Comparisons - Shows the US vs the other countries on the tracker.
4) Covid Vs Other Outbreaks - Compares the current COVID numbers to the last 10 years of flue and H1N1
5) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
6) Italy Summary
7) UK Summary
8) France Summary
9) Germany Summary
10) Sweden Summary
11) World Summary

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.









This post was edited on 4/1 at 9:30 am


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1035 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Lets all hope that we see a return to the declining trends today.
This post was edited on 4/1 at 9:31 am


LSURussian
LSU Fan
9 acres of paradise in Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
120500 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
It looks okay for me.

ETA: Maybe I should explain my post. Chrome has since edited his post that I replied to but his original post asked if his second graph was showing up. His view of it showed something strange so I posted the above to let him know it looked okay to me.
This post was edited on 4/1 at 9:42 am


Tiguar
Auburn Fan
Alabama
Member since Mar 2012
28151 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Another increase today may be a bad sign we are crossing the inflection point between NY and the rest of the country


nerd guy
LSU Fan
Grapevine
Member since Dec 2008
10371 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Lets all hope that we see a return to the declining trends today.



Still don't think anyone should expect to see deaths decline just yet. Hopefully new cases level off or decrease a little bit.


auggie
Auburn Fan
Opelika, Alabama
Member since Aug 2013
14171 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Another increase today may be a bad sign we are crossing the inflection point between NY and the rest of the country




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TeLeFaWx
SMU Fan
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
27155 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Still don't think anyone should expect to see deaths decline just yet. Hopefully new cases level off or decrease a little bit.


Total cases days to double has trended upward since St. Patrick's Day. Unless we have major outbreaks in Los Angeles/Dallas/Houston, I don't think there are enough population centers to see the new cases do anything but trend in the right direction.


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1035 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
Thanks LSU! It auto corrected itself


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the808bass
Louisville Fan
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
69364 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Another increase today may be a bad sign we are crossing the inflection point between NY and the rest of the country


The positive is that we have a model wherein, in our most densely populated city, our resources haven’t been broken by what appears to be the brunt of the virus.

That may provide the impetus for us slowly loosening the top-down control.


nerd guy
LSU Fan
Grapevine
Member since Dec 2008
10371 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 6:24 PM CST 5/29/20 Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Total cases days to double has trended upward since St. Patrick's Day. Unless we have major outbreaks in Los Angeles/Dallas/Houston, I don't think there are enough population centers to see the new cases do anything but trend in the right direction.



Yea that's a good point. There's been a spike in cases in DFW thanks to a few outbreaks at retirement homes and the assisted living center near Denton. Does any other metropolitan area use mass transit like New York? I remember BART in San Fran was popular along with other mass transit.


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