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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 7/4/20 at 9:24 pm to Volsfan82169
Posted on 7/4/20 at 9:24 pm to Volsfan82169
We are two weeks behind Italy!!!!
Numbers look ok today.
Numbers look ok today.
1
Posted on 7/4/20 at 10:25 pm to the808bass
My boss just posted an image from MSNBC that shows USVI now leading the nation in new cases with a 700% jump. If this blows up on MSM I want you to have some background.
St. Croix has an oil refinery that was shut down some years ago for EPA violations. It is in the process of modernization. As a result we have a "man camp" where workers from off island live in congested quarters. Last week we had one from Houston come into the ER. She was positive but not sick enough for admission to hospital. She was discharged with instructions to quarantine.
Today we have 20 cases in the camp and the USVI govt has orders for employees not to leave the camp.
I predict MSM will spin this as a result to reopening and nothing will be further from the truth. This is not a result of opening of beaches, restaurants, or barber shops. This is a result of poor screening at airports and the practices of the refinery.
St. Croix has an oil refinery that was shut down some years ago for EPA violations. It is in the process of modernization. As a result we have a "man camp" where workers from off island live in congested quarters. Last week we had one from Houston come into the ER. She was positive but not sick enough for admission to hospital. She was discharged with instructions to quarantine.
Today we have 20 cases in the camp and the USVI govt has orders for employees not to leave the camp.
I predict MSM will spin this as a result to reopening and nothing will be further from the truth. This is not a result of opening of beaches, restaurants, or barber shops. This is a result of poor screening at airports and the practices of the refinery.
Posted on 7/4/20 at 11:02 pm to IslandBuckeye
A lot of the cases in Missouri are workers being tested upon returning to work. A lot of them are asymptomatic.
I’m ok with our massive testing efforts as it’s giving us large chunks of data. We just have to be adults with what we do with the data. There’s no evidence that we’re able to handle the data.
I’m ok with our massive testing efforts as it’s giving us large chunks of data. We just have to be adults with what we do with the data. There’s no evidence that we’re able to handle the data.
Posted on 7/5/20 at 9:41 am to Chromdome35
quote:
Chromdome35
thanks for providing all of this information!
i have a quick question about the daily positives. i live in arizona and we can get drive up tests, but results don't come back for 7-10 days. does that mean that the daily positives that we see for example monday 6 july will be people that tested positive up to a week ago? just trying to figure out if we are looking at positive cases "in real time" or from up to a week ago.
Posted on 7/5/20 at 9:43 am to Bunsbert Montcroff
The latter.
Posted on 7/5/20 at 4:49 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 7/6/20 at 12:20 pm to Eat Your Crow
Chromedome, I keep an eye on Louisiana and compute two stats...
death rate of cases reported, which continues to drop, my calculation is 4.8% today
percentage of tests performed to cases reported, which is 8.1% today...
death rate of cases reported, which continues to drop, my calculation is 4.8% today
percentage of tests performed to cases reported, which is 8.1% today...
Posted on 7/6/20 at 1:31 pm to vl100butch
quote:Could be the obscure time when it makes more sense to watch the actual rolling absolute number of deaths. When compared against the spike, it tells a pretty good story.
death rate of cases reported, which continues to drop, my calculation is 4.8% today
Your 4.8% is right - and adjusted for projected "untested positives" - it's probably around .7% right now.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:07 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
Could be the obscure time when it makes more sense to watch the actual rolling absolute number of deaths. When compared against the spike, it tells a pretty good story.
And conventional wisdom is that "deaths lag cases" - COVID19 is going to challenge that for the future.
The new wisdom is, for good or bad, "testing drives cases." I think that is indisputable based on our experience the past 4 months.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 2:10 pm to Ace Midnight
Yep. Lag until November 4th.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 3:57 pm to Crimsonians
Average sneeze is clocked at 100mph with 27 foot spray area
Average cough is clocked at 50mph with 13 foot spray area
Yes sir, dem 6 foots of distance awfully effective
Bunch of fackin hacks
Average cough is clocked at 50mph with 13 foot spray area
Yes sir, dem 6 foots of distance awfully effective
Bunch of fackin hacks
Posted on 7/6/20 at 5:21 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 7/6/20 at 5:30 pm to Chromdome35
It's too early to know if the dip we're seeing in cases is real or an artifact of the holiday weekend. If the pattern holds, tomorrow will be a big day.
Testing was only 518K, substantially (120K) below the 7 day average. With a low number of testing, it would be expected to see the positivity rate increase and it did. At 9.1% for the day, that is 2.7% above last week and 1.3% above the 7 day average.
Deaths at 242, lowest Monday yet. As with cases, we will have to wait and see if there is a spike tomorrow.
Mortality down to 4.2% and falling.
We are a couple of weeks past the start of the increase in cases, if the death curve is going to start going up, it should be this week. Hopefully, we'll see it continue to decline.
Testing was only 518K, substantially (120K) below the 7 day average. With a low number of testing, it would be expected to see the positivity rate increase and it did. At 9.1% for the day, that is 2.7% above last week and 1.3% above the 7 day average.
Deaths at 242, lowest Monday yet. As with cases, we will have to wait and see if there is a spike tomorrow.
Mortality down to 4.2% and falling.
We are a couple of weeks past the start of the increase in cases, if the death curve is going to start going up, it should be this week. Hopefully, we'll see it continue to decline.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 5:32 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 5:30 pm to Chromdome35
Rolling deaths still looking good...
Posted on 7/6/20 at 5:52 pm to Big Scrub TX
WOM already has 288 for the day.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 6:38 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 6:13 pm to Crimsonians
When are we going to see stats on asymptomatic vs symptomatic positive tests?
This is a major point we aren't talking about.
This is a major point we aren't talking about.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 6:19 pm to TigerCruise
When it is politically expedient
Posted on 7/6/20 at 6:29 pm to TigerCruise
I don't know, call the CDC director and ask him.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 7:06 pm to Chromdome35
Worldometers showing 352 for me?
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